Oliveirense vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 21:00

Projected 84-82

Projected total 166.0

Final 87-93

26-16 31-34 19-26 11-17

Position#6

Record3-1

FormLWLWW

Points / game93.8

Allowed / game90.8

Oliveirense

54%

46%

■ OLIV 54%■ OVAR 46%

Pythia win probability

Ovarense 🏆

Position#2

Record4-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game74.0

LPBRound 6· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado

Other2026-27

Meetings · Oliveirense v Ovarense

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Oliveirense and Ovarense face off in the LPB on 7 November 2026, a match that feels almost evenly matched with only a slight edge to the home side. Oliveirense enters with a 3-1 record, averaging 93.8 points and conceding 90.8, while Ovarense sits at 4-1, 81.8 points for and 74.0 against. The home team has won its sole home game 104-80, and the visitors have split their two road outings 78.5 to 71.0. In the last five games Oliveirense won three and lost two, highlighted by a 113-109 victory over CAB Madeira and a 104-80 win at home, whereas Ovarense won four of five, including a 78-76 triumph over FC Porto. Historically, Ovarense has a 6-4 advantage in their ten meetings, with the last encounter ending 69-65 in favour of Oliveirense. Pythia rates Oliveirense 54% to win against Ovarense's 46%, projecting a close 84-82 finish and a total of 165.9 points. The home line of 1.5 gives Oliveirense a 57% chance to cover, while the 163.5 total offers a 55% probability of an over, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Oliveirense can sustain its recent offensive output against Ovarense's solid defence.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winLost

54.4%fair 1.84

Best odds2.00

Implied48.6%

Edge+5.7pp

Ovarense winWon

45.6%fair 2.19

Best odds1.83

Implied51.4%

Edge-5.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oliveirense Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOliveirense

Date

Competition

Ovarense

79-93

-14

65avg 76

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

90-72

+18

89avg 76

H13/05

LPB

Ovarense

69-65

64avg 76

A16/05

LPB

Benfica

76-98

-22

68avg 76

A21/05

LPB

Benfica

61-86

-25

52avg 76

A23/05

LPB

Benfica

78-86

-8

75avg 76

H28/05

LPB

Portimonense

#11

91-82

82avg 76

A03/10

LPB

Benfica

67-92

-25

49avg 76

A17/10

LPB

Esgueira

#12

104-80

104

+24

105avg 76

H24/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#10

113-109 OT

113

109

103avg 76

A31/10

LPB

18-25

19-21

15-18

27-29

27-23

25-24

19-13

19-12

10-16

17-18

18-18

24-13

17-24

10-29

20-25

29-20

18-17

14-24

16-19

13-26

23-15

23-23

16-25

16-23

34-20

19-19

16-16

22-27

13-21

19-24

18-26

17-21

23-24

32-8

24-20

25-28

21-20

24-25

21-20

169.1Avg total

82.8Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	93.8	90.8	184.5	+3.0	75%
Season at home (1)	104.0	80.0	184.0	+24.0	100%
Season away (3)	90.3	94.3	184.7	-4.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	86.3	169.1	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	89.8	180.4	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.2	87.8	162.0	-13.5	12%
vs Similar (9)	83.2	82.7	165.9	+0.6	56%
vs Weaker (13)	91.0	81.7	172.7	+9.3	77%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOvarense

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

#12

83-82

75avg 72

A18/04

LPB

Braga

67-74

-7

60avg 72

H25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

93-79

+14

90avg 72

H09/05

LPB

Oliveirense

72-90

-18

56avg 72

A13/05

LPB

Oliveirense

65-69

-4

48avg 72

H16/05

LPB

Braga

96-83

+13

47avg 72

H03/10

LPB

Vitoria

87-71

+16

81avg 72

A10/10

LPB

CD Povoa

78-69

63avg 72

H17/10

LPB

Sporting CP

70-71

-1

64avg 72

A24/10

LPB

FC Porto

78-76

56avg 72

H31/10

LPB

17-24

26-20

18-24

22-14

21-28

14-16

19-18

13-12

25-18

21-19

18-15

29-27

23-27

24-25

13-19

12-19

16-10

18-17

18-18

13-24

26-19

26-9

23-20

21-35

17-21

20-17

30-9

20-24

17-12

20-17

25-23

16-17

24-16

12-22

16-14

18-19

23-12

15-24

17-20

23-20

155.3Avg total

78.9Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.8	74.0	155.8	+7.8	80%
Season at home (3)	84.0	76.0	160.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (2)	78.5	71.0	149.5	+7.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	76.4	155.3	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	74.0	155.8	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.3	80.7	156.0	-5.4	29%
vs Similar (8)	80.0	77.2	157.2	+2.8	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	84.6	76.8	161.4	+7.8	80%

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5

Over 158.5

66.6%

@ 1.51+4.4pp

Under 158.5

33.4%

@ 2.42-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.51

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

55.0%

@ 1.85+4.6pp

Under 163.5

45.0%

@ 1.95-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.95

BetVictor

1.88

SBO

1.87

Betano

1.85

WilliamHill

1.85

Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5

Over 168.5

43.0%

@ 2.32+2.7pp

Under 168.5

57.0%

@ 1.57-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Oliveirense total 78.5Actual: Oliveirense over 78.5

Over 78.5

68.7%

@ 1.50+8.3pp

Under 78.5

31.3%

@ 2.37-8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Under

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.15

Oliveirense total 82.5 · main lineActual: Oliveirense over 82.5

Over 82.5

54.0%

@ 1.95+7.1pp

Under 82.5

46.0%

@ 1.83-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.95

1xBet

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.61

Oliveirense total 86.5Actual: Oliveirense over 86.5

Over 86.5

38.7%

@ 2.67+4.8pp

Under 86.5

61.3%

@ 1.40-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.64

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.32

Ovarense total 77.5Actual: Ovarense over 77.5

Over 77.5

67.7%

@ 1.42+2.8pp

Under 77.5

32.3%

@ 2.70-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.35

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.50

Ovarense total 81.5 · main lineActual: Ovarense over 81.5

Over 81.5

52.9%

@ 1.83+1.1pp

Under 81.5

47.1%

@ 1.93-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.75

Marathon Be

1.75

1xBet

1.66

Under

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Ovarense total 85.5Actual: Ovarense over 85.5

Over 85.5

37.7%

@ 2.40-1.0pp

Under 85.5

62.3%

@ 1.52+1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.26

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Oliveirense -2Actual: Ovarense +2

OLIV -2

49.2%

@ 2.10+4.8pp

OVAR +2

50.8%

@ 1.68-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

OLIV

Bet365

2.10

OVAR

Bet365

1.68

Marathon Be

1.58

Spread Oliveirense +1 · main lineActual: Ovarense -1

OLIV +1

55.9%

@ 1.84+5.7pp

OVAR -1

44.1%

@ 1.86-5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

OLIV

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.80

OVAR

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.81

Spread Oliveirense +4Actual: Ovarense -4

OLIV +4

66.9%

@ 1.53

OVAR -4

33.1%

Best 5 market prices

OLIV

Marathon Be

1.53

OVAR

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OliveirenseOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (13)	24.6	21.8	46.4	+2.8	54%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	38%	38%
vs Similar (9)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	44%	67%
vs Weaker (13)	23.9	21.2	45.1	+2.8	62%	54%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	57%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.1	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	43%	14%
vs Similar (8)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.6	75%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	53%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.4	41.4	+0.7	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	19.3	43.0	+4.4	69%	85%
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	21.2	40.2	-2.1	29%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.8	43.2	+3.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	38%	38%
vs Similar (9)	21.2	22.4	43.7	-1.2	33%	89%
vs Weaker (13)	22.7	18.5	41.2	+4.2	62%	69%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.9	42.6	+0.7	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	57%	29%
vs Similar (8)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	62%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	60%	67%

OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

37-46

-9

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

52-47

H13/05

LPB

Ovarense

27-34

-7

A16/05

LPB

Benfica

27-53

-26

A21/05

LPB

Benfica

32-41

-9

A23/05

LPB

Benfica

46-38

H28/05

LPB

Portimonense

#11

53-39

+14

A03/10

LPB

Benfica

32-45

-13

A17/10

LPB

Esgueira

#12

55-32

+23

H24/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#10

45-45

A31/10

LPB

82.6Avg total

40.6Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (30)	43.2	41.4	84.5	+1.8	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	48.3	41.1	89.4	+7.2	85%	85%
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	41.6	80.8	-2.4	35%	41%
Last 10 (10)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	46.2	39.8	86.0	+6.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.2	42.5	79.8	-5.2	38%	38%
vs Similar (9)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.7	56%	78%
vs Weaker (13)	46.6	39.7	86.3	+6.9	69%	62%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

#12

43-44

-1

A18/04

LPB

Braga

35-44

-9

H25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

46-37

H09/05

LPB

Oliveirense

47-52

-5

A13/05

LPB

Oliveirense

34-27

H16/05

LPB

Braga

52-28

+24

H03/10

LPB

Vitoria

37-38

-1

A10/10

LPB

CD Povoa

37-29

H17/10

LPB

Sporting CP

36-38

-2

A24/10

LPB

FC Porto

38-36

H31/10

LPB

77.8Avg total

40.5Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.3	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.6	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.3	77.8	+3.2	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	33.8	73.8	+6.2	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.9	39.6	77.4	-1.7	29%	14%
vs Similar (8)	41.5	39.1	80.6	+2.4	62%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.3	40.1	82.5	+2.2	40%	53%

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Oliveirense win

OLIV win

no forecast

@ 1.95

OVAR win

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Oliveirense 0 · main lineActual: Oliveirense 0

OLIV 0

no forecast

@ 1.83

OVAR 0

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 82 · main lineActual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Oliveirense 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Oliveirense over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Ovarense 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Ovarense over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half: OLIV + total 81.5

OLIV & over

no forecast

@ 3.70

OLIV & under

no forecast

@ 3.65

1st half: Draw + total 81.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: OVAR + total 81.5

OVAR & over

no forecast

@ 3.75

OVAR & under

no forecast

@ 3.70

1st half Over/Under 80.75Actual: Over 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Oliveirense -1Actual: Oliveirense -1

OLIV -1

no forecast

@ 2.00

OVAR +1

no forecast

@ 1.69

1st half Spread Oliveirense +1Actual: Oliveirense +1

OLIV +1

no forecast

@ 1.73

OVAR -1

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.60

Under

no forecast

@ 1.45

1st half Spread Oliveirense -2.5Actual: Oliveirense -2.5

OLIV -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.45

OVAR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Ovarense (regulation)

OLIV

no forecast

@ 2.02

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

OVAR

no forecast

@ 1.91

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	62%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.8	18%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	21.6	40.1	-3.1	25%	62%
vs Similar (9)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.6	22%	33%
vs Weaker (13)	21.8	19.2	40.9	+2.6	54%	46%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.7	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	69%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.7	38.9	+1.4	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.4	57%	29%
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	62%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.3	67%	47%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	33%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	31%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.2	35%	59%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	23.6	42.1	-5.1	12%	50%
vs Similar (9)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.4	56%	67%
vs Weaker (13)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.5	31%	69%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.1	39.1	-1.0	44%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.1	37.4	+1.3	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	14%	57%
vs Similar (8)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	38%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.7	16.9	36.5	+2.8	60%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.3	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (13)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	54%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	42.6	82.4	-2.9	29%	71%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.5	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	46.2	86.0	-6.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.0	45.2	82.2	-8.2	12%	50%
vs Similar (9)	39.8	39.9	79.7	-0.1	33%	33%
vs Weaker (13)	42.6	40.5	83.2	+2.1	62%	69%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.7	77.1	+1.8	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	38.4	77.9	+1.0	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.7	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.1	77.5	-0.7	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.4	41.1	78.6	-3.7	29%	57%
vs Similar (8)	38.5	38.1	76.6	+0.4	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.9	35.8	76.7	+5.1	73%	40%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

OLIV win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

OVAR win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: OLIV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: OVAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (OLIV:OVAR): OLIV wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Oliveirense over 76.5	75.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Oliveirense +9.5	82.3%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Oliveirense over 75.5	78.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Oliveirense over 77.5	72.1%	1.40	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Oliveirense +7.5	77.3%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Oliveirense over 71.5	87.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Oliveirense over 72.5	85.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Oliveirense +5.5	71.4%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Oliveirense +23.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Oliveirense +6.5	74.4%	1.33	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Ovarense +21.5	95.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Oliveirense +18.5	95.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Oliveirense over 69.5	91.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Oliveirense +8.5	79.9%	1.25	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Oliveirense over 73.5	83.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Oliveirense +13.5	89.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Ovarense over 70.5	87.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Ovarense over 66.5	93.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Ovarense +16.5	90.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 156.5	70.9%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Ovarense over 68.5	91.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 139.5	94.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 149.5	83.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Ovarense over 67.5	92.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Ovarense over 73.5	80.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Ovarense under 92.5	83.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Oliveirense under 99.5	93.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Ovarense over 72.5	82.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Ovarense over 71.5	85.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Ovarense over 69.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Ovarense +11.5	81.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	-
Over 144.5	90.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Ovarense under 93.5	85.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Ovarense under 95.5	89.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Ovarense under 91.5	81.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Ovarense over 76.5	71.1%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 154.5	75.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Ovarense under 89.5	75.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Oliveirense under 97.5	91.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Ovarense over 75.5	74.4%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Under 189.5	91.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Oliveirense under 93.5	83.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Oliveirense under 95.5	87.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Oliveirense under 92.5	80.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Under 184.5	86.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Oliveirense under 91.5	77.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Under 179.5	79.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Ovarense +8.5	73.5%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Oliveirense under 89.5	71.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Under 174.5	70.3%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Lost
Ovarense +7.5	70.5%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	21.8	54.6%	51.2%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	7.6	27.8%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.3%	71.6%	16.2

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.3	48.9%	51.2%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	6.8	27.5%	31.6%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.0	73.2%	71.6%	12.0

They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	21.6	53.9%	51.2%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	8.5	29.7%	31.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.7	72.8%	71.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	16.6	50.6%	51.2%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.6	30.5%	31.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	23.4	16.5	70.5%	71.6%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.8	54.6%	51.2%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.1	30.1%	31.6%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.7	70.9%	71.6%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.6	52.1%	51.2%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.3	30.6%	31.6%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.7	70.3%	71.6%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.0	54.0%	51.2%	42.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.6	30.5%	31.6%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.0	72.4%	71.6%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	16.6	48.2%	51.2%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.6	31.2%	31.6%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	24.4	17.1	70.2%	71.6%	17.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Oliveirense

WWLWLLLWWL

Ovarense

WLWWWLLWLW

League position

-0.9

Net rating

-5.3

89.7

Offensive rating

83.9

90.6

Defensive rating

89.2

49.4%

Effective FG%

46.0%

50.0%

Opp. effective FG%

48.4%

17.4%

Turnover %

14.8%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.26

27.8%

3-point %

27.5%

60.9%

Assist %

64.0%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Oliveirense ■ Ovarense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oliveirense wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
16/05/26	Ovarense v Oliveirense	65-69
13/05/26	Oliveirense v Ovarense	90-72
09/05/26	Ovarense v Oliveirense	93-79
07/02/26	Oliveirense v Ovarense	82-97
18/10/25	Ovarense v Oliveirense	87-82
17/05/25	Oliveirense v Ovarense	82-83
14/05/25	Ovarense v Oliveirense	92-77
10/05/25	Oliveirense v Ovarense	87-74
03/05/25	Ovarense v Oliveirense	66-77
08/04/25	Oliveirense v Ovarense	71-82

Oliveirenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	CAB Madeira	113-109 OT
24/10/26	H	Esgueira	104-80
17/10/26	A	Benfica	67-92
03/10/26	A	Portimonense	91-82
28/05/26	H	Benfica	78-86
23/05/26	A	Benfica	61-86
21/05/26	A	Benfica	76-98
16/05/26	A	Ovarense	69-65
13/05/26	H	Ovarense	90-72
09/05/26	A	Ovarense	79-93

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	FC Porto	78-76
24/10/26	A	Sporting CP	70-71
17/10/26	H	CD Povoa	78-69
10/10/26	A	Vitoria	87-71
03/10/26	H	Braga	96-83
16/05/26	H	Oliveirense	65-69
13/05/26	A	Oliveirense	72-90
09/05/26	H	Oliveirense	93-79
25/04/26	H	Braga	67-74
18/04/26	A	Galitos Barreiro	83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWW	75%
Home	W	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	75%	100%	67%
Points / game	93.8	104.0	90.3
Allowed / game	90.8	80.0	94.3
Point differential	+3.0	+24.0	-4.0
Avg total	184.5	184.0	184.7
Over 163.5	75%	100%	67%
Win by 10+	25%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	25%	0%	33%

Ovarense

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	81.8	84.0	78.5
Allowed / game	74.0	76.0	71.0
Point differential	+7.8	+8.0	+7.5
Avg total	155.8	160.0	149.5
Over 163.5	20%	33%	0%
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	6	5	1	83%	91.5	75.5	+16.0
2	Braga	5	4	1	80%	91.4	79.2	+12.2
3	Ovarense	5	4	1	80%	81.8	74.0	+7.8
4	FC Porto	5	4	1	80%	93.4	86.0	+7.4
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	75%	93.8	90.8	+3.0
6	CD Povoa	6	4	2	67%	76.0	72.2	+3.8
7	CA Queluz	5	3	2	60%	89.2	92.2	-3.0
8	Sporting CP	6	3	3	50%	81.8	75.5	+6.3
9	Vitoria	6	2	4	33%	69.3	82.3	-13.0
10	CAB Madeira	6	1	5	17%	86.2	89.3	-3.2
11	Portimonense	6	0	6	0%	75.7	87.8	-12.2
12	Esgueira	6	0	6	0%	77.7	97.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oliveirense	26	31	19	11	87
Ovarense	16	34	26	17	93

← all games of the day

Oliveirense vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature