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Ovarense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-69
17-12 20-17 25-23 16-17
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game77.0
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game66.5
PortugalLPBRound 3· Arena de Ovar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ovarense v CD Povoa
17 Oct 2026
OVAR78
CD P69
15 Feb 2025
OVAR83
CD P71
21 Oct 2023
OVAR95
CD P93
14 Oct 2023
OVAR92
CD P91
24 Sep 2022
OVAR88
CD P70
19 Dec 2021
OVAR99
CD P71
07 Nov 2021
OVAR86
CD P68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 73
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-60
83
60
+23
84avg 73
H04/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 73
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
83-82
83
82
+1
75avg 73
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 73
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 73
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 73
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 73
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 73
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 73
A10/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
14-18
21-23
22-24
20-14
24-21
22-9
17-16
16-25
16-13
24-14
17-22
17-24
26-20
18-24
22-14
21-28
14-16
19-18
13-12
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
156.0Avg total
78.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.577.0168.5+14.5100%
Season at home (1)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)87.071.0158.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.977.1156.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.084.3156.3-12.311%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.080.8165.8+4.267%
vs Weaker (15)84.676.8161.4+7.880%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 74
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
57avg 74
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
77avg 74
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
54avg 74
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
82avg 74
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 74
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 74
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 74
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 74
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 74
H10/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
19-9
22-18
20-25
25-17
13-20
12-11
21-18
17-16
23-27
18-20
23-18
22-20
15-17
14-13
8-9
23-19
21-26
18-16
21-22
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
153.6Avg total
79.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)84.064.0148.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.274.4153.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)79.471.2150.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)81.770.7152.4+11.183%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
OvarenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#4
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
78.2Avg total
39.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.881.5-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.378.9+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.384.2-0.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.578.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.479.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.942.777.6-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.539.785.2+5.867%-
vs Weaker (15)42.340.182.5+2.240%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
77.6Avg total
40.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.079.6+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.375.6+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.577.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.5
47.9%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.6
29.1%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
71.1%13.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.0
47.7%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.6
30.3%
31.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.612.6
61.2%
71.1%12.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWLLWLWLWL
CD Povoa
WWWWLWLWWL
#2
League position
#5
-5.4
Net rating
+3.8
84.5
Offensive rating
84.0
90.0
Defensive rating
80.1
46.2%
Effective FG%
46.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
30.3%
74.5%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.5 · 84.0Defence90.0 · 80.1Shooting46.2% · 46.8%3-point %29.1% · 30.3%Ball care15.6% · 14.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ovarense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ovarense wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Ovarense v CD Povoa83-71
02/11/24CD Povoa v Ovarense69-75
10/02/24CD Povoa v Ovarense87-76
21/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa95-93
14/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa92-91 OT
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
07/11/21Ovarense v CD Povoa86-68
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
25/04/26HBraga67-74
18/04/26AGalitos Barreiro83-82
11/04/26HCA Queluz73-74
04/04/26HFC Porto83-60
28/03/26ABenfica70-89
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
17/05/26HPortimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26HPortimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26APortimonense93-90 OT
01/05/26HPortimonense71-66
25/04/26AMaia73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.596.087.0
Allowed / game77.083.071.0
Point differential+14.5+13.0+16.0
Avg total168.5179.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.573.084.0
Allowed / game66.569.064.0
Point differential+12.0+4.0+20.0
Avg total145.0142.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ovarense220100%91.577.0+14.5
2 CD Povoa220100%78.566.5+12.0
3 FC Porto330100%99.390.0+9.3
4 Benfica32167%87.377.0+10.3
5 Braga21150%94.083.5+10.5
6 Vitoria21150%77.082.5-5.5
7 Oliveirense21150%79.087.0-8.0
8 Sporting CP31233%81.079.0+2.0
9 CAB Madeira31233%80.080.0+0.0
10 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
11 Esgueira3030%71.789.0-17.3
12 Portimonense2020%76.598.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1720251678
CD Povoa1217231769
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