Ontario Univ. vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 87-63

21-14 22-15 27-13 17-21

Position#6

Record6-2

FormLLWWW

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game73.2

Ontario Univ. 🏆

Guelph

Position#41

Record3-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game81.4

U Sports

Other2023-24

Meetings · Ontario Univ. v Guelph

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ontario Univ. winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Guelph winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ontario Univ. Canada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurentian

#45

79-70

A18/02

U Sports

Nipissing

#42

88-85

A19/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#46

77-65

+12

H03/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#43

81-77 OT

H05/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#43

75-65

+10

A11/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#46

49-75

-26

A12/11

U Sports

Queens

53-74

-21

A17/11

U Sports

Queens

78-75

H19/11

U Sports

TMU

#18

74-72

A25/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

94-83

+11

H01/12

U Sports

13-24

27-15

24-19

15-12

22-23

20-17

21-14

25-31

21-18

11-14

20-17

25-16

19-17

13-24

20-16

18-13

14-16

17-14

23-9

21-26

12-20

13-21

10-21

14-13

11-17

13-20

14-11

15-26

16-21

24-14

17-19

21-21

25-23

15-15

21-16

13-18

27-16

28-24

21-17

18-26

148.9Avg total

74.8Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	72.6	73.2	145.9	-0.6	75%
Season at home (4)	82.5	75.0	157.5	+7.5	100%
Season away (4)	62.8	71.5	134.2	-8.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	74.1	148.9	+0.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	75.8	145.4	-6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	71.0	82.5	153.5	-11.5	12%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	74.0	73.3	147.3	+0.7	67%

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Guelph

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

74-93

-19

A25/02

U Sports

University of Ottawa

66-86

-20

H04/11

U Sports

Carleton

#19

84-89

-5

H05/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#37

69-81

-12

H09/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#37

68-74 OT

-6

A11/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

89-79

+10

H18/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

83-58

+25

H18/11

U Sports

Laurier

#13

79-91

-12

H23/11

U Sports

Laurier

#13

96-87

A25/11

U Sports

Queens

87-88

-1

A02/12

U Sports

21-20

17-24

15-22

21-27

20-20

14-23

11-22

21-21

16-23

26-15

23-23

19-28

17-24

10-25

20-12

22-20

14-8

18-14

19-25

13-17

22-16

26-22

26-13

15-28

21-13

19-16

21-11

22-18

11-25

31-23

22-21

15-22

26-17

25-25

28-21

17-24

21-28

25-20

20-16

21-24

162.1Avg total

79.5Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	80.1	81.4	161.6	-1.3	33%
Season at home (6)	78.3	80.7	159.0	-2.3	33%
Season away (3)	83.7	83.0	166.7	+0.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	82.6	162.1	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	80.6	167.4	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	77.1	85.2	162.4	-8.1	29%
vs Similar (6)	79.5	87.2	166.7	-7.7	17%
vs Weaker (10)	89.6	71.4	161.0	+18.2	100%

This opponent (Ontario Univ.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Ontario Univ.Guelph

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.3	35.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.5	37.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.8	18.2	34.9	-1.4	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	20.2	41.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	20.1	39.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	17.2	38.9	+4.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.7	38.8	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.5	39.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	20.5	39.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.2	46.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.8	23.9	44.6	-3.1	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	90%	-

Ontario Univ.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurentian

#45

40-39

A18/02

U Sports

Nipissing

#42

42-40

A19/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#46

32-32

H03/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#43

32-41

-9

H05/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#43

31-30

A11/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#46

25-41

-16

A12/11

U Sports

Queens

24-37

-13

A17/11

U Sports

Queens

40-35

H19/11

U Sports

TMU

#18

40-38

A25/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

55-40

+15

H01/12

U Sports

73.4Avg total

36.1Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.9	74.7	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	36.5	73.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	41.3	76.1	-6.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.3	73.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	38.2	75.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.4	39.5	74.9	-4.1	41%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	34.4	37.0	71.4	-2.6	33%	-

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

38-44

-6

A25/02

U Sports

University of Ottawa

34-43

-9

H04/11

U Sports

Carleton

#19

42-38

H05/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#37

27-49

-22

H09/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#37

32-22

+10

A11/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

48-38

+10

H18/11

U Sports

Algoma

#47

40-29

+11

H18/11

U Sports

Laurier

#13

42-48

-6

H23/11

U Sports

Laurier

#13

51-42

A25/11

U Sports

Queens

46-48

-2

A02/12

U Sports

80.1Avg total

40.0Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.3	81.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	42.1	84.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.0	86.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.9	44.0	83.9	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.2	41.7	80.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.7	34.4	78.1	+9.3	90%	-

This opponent (Ontario Univ.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	19.7	35.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.3	36.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.9	35.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.2	20.3	35.5	-5.1	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.4	39.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.7	16.0	40.7	+8.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.1	40.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.2	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	22.5	41.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	18.6	37.1	+0.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	21.4	39.4	-3.5	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	40.2	76.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.4	39.1	74.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	36.1	73.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	37.6	70.4	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.2	42.5	77.6	-7.3	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	40.8	78.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	38.3	35.6	73.9	+2.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.3	80.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	40.7	83.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.2	41.2	78.4	-4.0	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	43.8	83.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.9	37.0	82.9	+8.9	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ontario Univ. wins

Guelph wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/23	Guelph v Ontario Univ.	93-78
09/01/20	Ontario Univ. v Guelph	72-94

Ontario Univ.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/23	H	Algoma	94-83
25/11/23	A	TMU	74-72
19/11/23	H	Queens	78-75
17/11/23	A	Queens	53-74
12/11/23	A	Laurentian	49-75
11/11/23	A	Nipissing	75-65
05/11/23	H	Nipissing	81-77 OT
03/11/23	H	Laurentian	77-65
19/02/23	A	Nipissing	88-85
18/02/23	A	Laurentian	79-70

Guelphlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/23	A	Queens	87-88
25/11/23	A	Laurier	96-87
23/11/23	H	Laurier	79-91
18/11/23	H	Algoma	83-58
18/11/23	H	Algoma	89-79
11/11/23	A	Waterloo	68-74 OT
09/11/23	H	Waterloo	69-81
05/11/23	H	Carleton	84-89
04/11/23	H	University of Ottawa	66-86
25/02/23	A	Windsor	74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ontario Univ.

U Sports 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	75%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	72.6	82.5	62.8
Allowed / game	73.2	75.0	71.5
Point differential	-0.6	+7.5	-8.8
Avg total	145.9	157.5	134.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Guelph

U Sports 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	33%
Home	LLWWL	33%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	6	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	80.1	78.3	83.7
Allowed / game	81.4	80.7	83.0
Point differential	-1.3	-2.3	+0.7
Avg total	161.6	159.0	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	University of Ottawa	8	8	0	100%	86.0	69.8	+16.2
2	Regina	7	7	0	100%	72.6	63.7	+8.9
3	Victoria	6	5	1	83%	92.0	79.2	+12.8
4	UQAM	6	5	1	83%	71.5	66.2	+5.3
5	West. Ontario Univ.	9	7	2	78%	91.7	80.4	+11.2
6	Laurier	9	7	2	78%	81.4	73.2	+8.2
7	Manitoba	9	7	2	78%	82.3	76.2	+6.1
8	Brandon	9	7	2	78%	84.2	80.2	+4.0
9	Queens	8	6	2	75%	82.4	63.5	+18.9
10	Ontario Univ.	8	6	2	75%	72.6	73.2	-0.6
11	Winnipeg	10	7	3	70%	81.2	70.7	+10.5
12	Bishop's	6	4	2	67%	87.3	75.2	+12.2
13	Concordia	6	4	2	67%	73.3	69.5	+3.8
14	McMaster	9	6	3	67%	77.4	76.2	+1.2
15	UNBC	8	5	3	62%	81.9	74.9	+7.0
16	Carleton	8	5	3	62%	79.9	77.0	+2.9
17	StFX	8	5	3	62%	80.0	77.5	+2.5
18	UBC	10	6	4	60%	80.9	74.6	+6.3
19	TMU	10	6	4	60%	82.2	77.9	+4.3
20	Saskatchewan	10	6	4	60%	73.3	71.2	+2.1
21	Memorial	10	6	4	60%	81.1	79.9	+1.2
22	Alberta	7	4	3	57%	80.4	77.6	+2.9
23	Dalhousie	9	5	4	56%	79.2	76.2	+3.0
24	Cape Breton	9	5	4	56%	85.6	84.6	+1.0
25	Calgary	9	5	4	56%	83.4	83.7	-0.2
26	Waterloo	9	5	4	56%	64.7	65.1	-0.4
27	Brock	8	4	4	50%	70.9	70.5	+0.4
28	UNB	8	4	4	50%	79.2	80.5	-1.2
29	UPEI	9	4	5	44%	76.4	74.3	+2.1
30	Acadia	9	4	5	44%	82.2	83.6	-1.3
31	York	9	4	5	44%	81.9	85.3	-3.4
32	Mount Royal	9	4	5	44%	77.8	85.1	-7.3
33	Toronto	8	3	5	38%	89.1	90.6	-1.5
34	UFV	8	3	5	38%	78.8	82.5	-3.8
35	Guelph	9	3	6	33%	80.1	81.4	-1.3
36	Windsor	8	2	6	25%	75.6	79.8	-4.1
37	Saint Marys	8	2	6	25%	75.0	83.1	-8.1
38	UBC Okanagan	8	2	6	25%	74.9	85.8	-10.9
39	Lakehead	9	2	7	22%	81.0	85.3	-4.3
40	Nipissing	9	2	7	22%	66.9	80.9	-14.0
41	Thompson Rivers	6	1	5	17%	72.2	73.5	-1.3
42	Laval	6	1	5	17%	70.0	71.8	-1.8
43	McGill	6	1	5	17%	60.7	80.2	-19.5
44	Trinity Western	7	1	6	14%	73.3	82.4	-9.1
45	Laurentian	9	1	8	11%	59.7	74.2	-14.6
46	Algoma	9	1	8	11%	69.0	84.9	-15.9
47	Lethbridge	9	0	9	0%	76.2	86.1	-9.9
48	MacEwan	8	0	8	0%	69.8	88.4	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ontario Univ.	21	22	27	17	87
Guelph	14	15	13	21	63

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Ontario Univ. vs Guelph Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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