PythiaBasketballBETA
FIBA Europe CupRound 7· Viceucelova hala Opava
Opava will host Batumi in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Opava the clear favourite, assigning a 79% chance to win based on their 1-5 season record, 83.2 points scored and 86.8 allowed per game, and a league position of 44, while Batumi sits 0-6 with 66.8 points scored and 99.2 allowed per game and a league position of 50. Opava has struggled at home, going 0-2 with 74.0 points per game and 88.5 allowed, and has lost four of its last five games, including defeats to Split 77-81, Pardubice 80-99 and Promitheas 92-112, all away; Batumi has also lost four of five, with losses to Trier 57-122, Split 77-97 and a lone home win over TSU 85-82. Their only previous encounter ended in a 102-62 victory for Opava on 14 October 2026. Pythia projects a 90-79 score, a total of 168.8 points, and a 79% probability that Opava will cover the spread, while the over is expected with a 3% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Opava can maintain its offensive output against a Batumi side that has struggled defensively.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 83.2 | 86.8 | 170.0 | -3.7 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 74.0 | 88.5 | 162.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 87.8 | 86.0 | 173.8 | +1.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 90.5 | 174.4 | -6.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.6 | 97.6 | 183.2 | -12.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 79.7 | 94.5 | 174.2 | -14.8 | 12% |
| vs Similar (10) | 91.2 | 84.6 | 175.8 | +6.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 97.0 | 72.0 | 169.0 | +25.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 66.8 | 99.2 | 166.0 | -32.3 | 0% |
| Season at home (4) | 66.5 | 103.0 | 169.5 | -36.5 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 67.5 | 91.5 | 159.0 | -24.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.2 | 90.4 | 161.6 | -19.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 94.4 | 166.4 | -22.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 68.6 | 96.0 | 164.6 | -27.4 | 0% |
| vs Similar (7) | 83.1 | 77.3 | 160.4 | +5.9 | 86% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 91.1 | 80.1 | 171.2 | +11.1 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.2 | 45.7 | 87.9 | -3.5 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.2 | 44.9 | 86.2 | -3.7 | 25% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.3 | 46.6 | 89.9 | -3.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 45.4 | 86.8 | -4.0 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 49.8 | 93.0 | -6.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 38.8 | 48.8 | 87.6 | -10.1 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 46.4 | 42.2 | 88.6 | +4.2 | 70% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 46.5 | 34.5 | 81.0 | +12.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 43.2 | 84.9 | -1.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.0 | 43.2 | 83.2 | -3.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.8 | 43.2 | 87.1 | +0.6 | 46% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.8 | 49.7 | 86.5 | -12.9 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 52.2 | 89.6 | -14.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 35.0 | 53.8 | 88.8 | -18.8 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 40.9 | 40.3 | 81.1 | +0.6 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 45.7 | 39.2 | 84.9 | +6.5 | 64% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.9 | 22.1 | 53.4% | 44.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 8.8 | 32.5% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 13.1 | 72.8% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.0 | 19.2 | 53.4% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.2 | 6.4 | 32.5% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.8 | 16.7 | 72.8% | 16.7 |
Opava
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Split | 77-81 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Pardubice | 80-99 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Promitheas | 92-112 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Hradec Kralove | 83-75 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 96-121 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Trier | 80-103 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Brno | 72-75 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Trepca | 80-89 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Srsni Pisek | 77-88 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Batumi | 102-62 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 17% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 74.0 | 87.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.8 | 88.5 | 86.0 |
| Point differential | -3.7 | -14.5 | +1.8 |
| Avg total | 170.0 | 162.5 | 173.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLLL | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 66.8 | 66.5 | 67.5 |
| Allowed / game | 99.2 | 103.0 | 91.5 |
| Point differential | -32.3 | -36.5 | -24.0 |
| Avg total | 166.0 | 169.5 | 159.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trier | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 69.7 | +30.3 |
| 2 | Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 96.3 | 71.0 | +25.3 |
| 3 |  Basquet Girona | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.3 | 75.0 | +16.3 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.2 | 72.5 | +14.7 |
| 5 | Korfez Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.3 | 73.7 | +13.7 |
| 6 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 94.3 | 83.8 | +10.5 |
| 7 |  Mykonos | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 84.0 | 76.3 | +7.7 |
| 8 |  Dziki Warszawa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.5 | 80.3 | +7.2 |
| 9 |  Chalon/Saone | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.8 | 72.7 | +12.2 |
| 10 |  Kolossos Rhodes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.8 | 70.2 | +11.7 |
| 11 |  Iraklis | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 87.2 | 76.0 | +11.2 |
| 12 |  VEF Riga | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 95.0 | 84.7 | +10.3 |
| 13 |  Wurzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.5 | 75.5 | +9.0 |
| 14 |  Promitheas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.0 | 81.8 | +8.2 |
| 15 |  CSM Oradea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.3 | 80.3 | +6.0 |
| 16 |  Szczecin | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.8 | 81.7 | +5.2 |
| 17 |  Geneva Lions | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 88.2 | 84.0 | +4.2 |
| 18 |  Keravnos | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 80.8 | 76.7 | +4.2 |
| 19 |  Zielona Gora | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.5 | 83.2 | +1.3 |
| 20 |  Split | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.5 | 80.3 | +1.2 |
| 21 |  Oostende | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.3 | 77.8 | +0.5 |
| 22 |  Bakken Bears | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 82.0 | 83.3 | -1.3 |
| 23 |  BC Prievidza | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.1 | 83.2 | +6.9 |
| 24 |  Lok. Plovdiv | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 83.5 | -0.2 |
| 25 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 79.5 | 80.0 | -0.5 |
| 26 |  Valmiera Glass Via | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.0 | 83.3 | -2.3 |
| 27 |  BC Kalev/Cramo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.0 | 83.7 | -3.7 |
| 28 |  Sporting CP | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.7 | 80.3 | -3.7 |
| 29 |  Trepca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.5 | 81.2 | -3.7 |
| 30 |  Dinamo Bucharest | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 87.8 | 81.6 | +6.1 |
| 31 | Denizli Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 81.5 | 83.5 | -2.0 |
| 32 |  Vienna Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 85.2 | -4.7 |
| 33 |  Levice | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 72.7 | 78.2 | -5.5 |
| 34 |  SCM Craiova | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.0 | 96.3 | -8.3 |
| 35 | Nitra Blue Wings | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.8 | 88.2 | -9.3 |
| 36 |  Szolnoki Olaj | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.5 | 88.3 | -10.8 |
| 37 |  Tartu Ulikool | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.0 | 99.7 | -11.7 |
| 38 |  Neftchi IK | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 75.6 | 82.6 | -7.0 |
| 39 |  Parnu | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 71.4 | 79.0 | -7.6 |
| 40 |  Bashkimi | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.6 | 83.2 | -9.6 |
| 41 |  Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 75.8 | 88.8 | -13.0 |
| 42 |  Manchester Basketball | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 75.8 | 90.0 | -14.2 |
| 43 | Gence | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.2 | 88.2 | -17.0 |
| 44 | Opava | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 83.2 | 86.8 | -3.7 |
| 45 |  Absheron Lions | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 83.7 | 95.3 | -11.7 |
| 46 |  Fribourg Olympic | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 73.0 | 87.3 | -14.3 |
| 47 |  MZT Skopje | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 72.0 | 87.2 | -15.2 |
| 48 |  Samobor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 74.0 | 100.5 | -26.5 |
| 49 |  Peja | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.5 | 100.5 | -30.0 |
| 50 | Batumi | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 66.8 | 99.2 | -32.3 |
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