Oregon State faces East. Washington on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model clearly favouring the Beavers because of their 2-0 record, 99.0 points per game and 64.5 allowed per game, placing them 28th in the league. East. Washington, meanwhile, is 0-2, averaging 68.0 points and conceding 86.0, ranked 349th. Oregon State's home form is flawless, winning both games at home with the same averages, and their last five games include two victories over California Baptist 96-68 and Weber State 102-61, though they suffered a 56-65 loss to Gonzaga away. East. Washington's five-game stretch shows only one win, with recent defeats to Oregon 71-98, Stanford 65-74 and Idaho 68-81. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia assigns a 91% chance to Oregon State and 9% to East. Washington, projecting an 85-70 score for a total of 155.8 points. The Beavers are listed at -16.5 with a 45% chance to cover, while the over on the 160.5 line has a 38% probability; the game has a 2% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oregon State winWon
90.5%fair 1.10
Best odds1.06
Implied90.6%
Edge-0.1pp
East. Washington winLost
9.5%fair 10.54
Best odds13.50
Implied9.4%
Edge+0.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
48.0%
@ 1.50-14.8pp
Under 156.5
52.0%
@ 2.60+14.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
36.1%
@ 1.91-13.9pp
Under 161.5
63.9%
@ 1.92+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.91
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Over 166.5
Over 166.5
25.4%
@ 2.50-12.1pp
Under 166.5
74.6%
@ 1.50+12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Oregon State total 85Actual: Oregon State over 85
Over 85
52.0%
Under 85
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon State total 89 · main lineActual: Oregon State over 89
Over 89
35.5%
@ 1.85-14.6pp
Under 89
64.5%
@ 1.86+14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Oregon State total 93Actual: Oregon State over 93
Over 93
21.5%
Under 93
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East. Washington total 68Actual: East. Washington over 68
Over 68
59.2%
Under 68
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East. Washington total 72 · main lineActual: East. Washington over 72
Over 72
42.8%
@ 1.85-7.5pp
Under 72
57.2%
@ 1.87+7.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
East. Washington total 76Actual: East. Washington over 76
Over 76
27.7%
Under 76
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Oregon State -20Actual: East. Washington +20
OREG -20
32.4%
@ 2.40-6.4pp
EAST +20
67.6%
@ 1.52+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Bet365
2.40
EAST
Bet365
1.52
Spread Oregon State -17 · main lineActual: East. Washington +17
OREG -17
42.8%
@ 1.95-6.3pp
EAST +17
57.2%
@ 1.88+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.84
EAST
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Spread Oregon State -14Actual: East. Washington +14
OREG -14
53.9%
@ 1.57-5.0pp
EAST +14
46.1%
@ 2.25+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Bet365
1.57
EAST
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Oregon StateEast. Washington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A13/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H22/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A01/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H09/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Weber State
#373
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#362
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
34.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 77
Last 30 (30)
33.5
35.7
69.2
-2.1
37%
27%
Last 30 at home (19)
33.8
34.6
68.5
-0.8
42%
21%
Last 30 away (11)
33.0
37.5
70.5
-4.5
27%
36%
Last 10 (10)
34.7
35.3
70.0
-0.6
40%
40%
Last 5 (5)
34.8
35.4
70.2
-0.6
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)
31.9
35.9
67.8
-3.9
26%
16%
vs Similar (8)
34.5
34.6
69.1
-0.1
50%
25%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)
41.0
37.0
78.0
+4.0
67%
100%
This opponent (East. Washington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: East. Washington win
OREG win
no forecast
@ 1.24
EAST win
no forecast
@ 4.15
2nd half Spread Oregon State -7.5 · main lineActual: East. Washington +7.5
OREG -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
EAST +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 83.5 · main lineActual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Oregon State (regulation)
OREG
no forecast
@ 1.26
Draw
no forecast
@ 22.00
EAST
no forecast
@ 4.10
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Oregon State under 91.5
72.9%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
Oregon State under 93.5
79.2%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
Oregon State under 92.5
76.2%
1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
Under 165
72.1%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Lost
Under 166
74.1%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Lost
Oregon State under 94.5
81.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
Under 164.5
70.6%
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
Under 165.5
72.6%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
Under 166.5
74.6%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Lost
Oregon State under 96.5
86.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Under 167
76.1%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Under 168
78.0%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Lost
Under 167.5
76.5%
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Lost
Under 168.5
78.4%
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Under 169
79.8%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Lost
Oregon State under 95.5
84.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Under 169.5
80.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Lost
Oregon State under 98.5
90.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
Oregon State under 99.5
92.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Oregon State under 100.5
93.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Won
Under 171.5
83.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Lost
Oregon State under 102.5
95.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
East. Washington under 76.5
73.2%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Lost
East. Washington +24.5
79.8%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
East. Washington under 77.5
76.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
East. Washington +21.5
71.7%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Under 176.5
89.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Lost
East. Washington under 79.5
81.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
East. Washington +22.5
74.6%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
East. Washington +23.5
77.3%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
East. Washington +22
73.8%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
East. Washington +21
70.8%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
East. Washington +23
76.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
East. Washington under 78.5
79.2%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Lost
Under 181.5
94.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
East. Washington +24
79.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Oregon State (regulation)
89.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Oregon State +3.5
93.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Oregon State -1.5
89.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
East. Washington over 55.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Oregon State win
90.5%
1.04
BetVictor
1.06
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.04
WilliamHill
1.03
-0.1pp
Won
Oregon State over 72.5
90.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
East. Washington over 57.5
89.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Oregon State -6.5
78.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Oregon State over 74.5
86.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Oregon State -8.5
72.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
East. Washington over 59.5
85.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Oregon State -9
71.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Over 136.5
88.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Oregon State over 76.5
81.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
East. Washington over 61.5
80.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
East. Washington over 63.5
75.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
East. Washington over 62.5
78.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Oregon State over 78.5
76.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Oregon State over 79.5
72.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Over 141.5
81.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
Over 146.5
71.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-13.5pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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