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Oregon vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 86-83 (OT)
38-35 35-38 13-10
Position#75
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game73.3
Oregon 🏆
USA
vs
Position#347
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oregon v Michigan
17 Jan 2026
OREG71
MICH81
02 Dec 2023
OREG86
MICH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A11/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#31
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#10
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H19/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H22/03
NIT
Georgia
#197
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A21/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
91-99
91
99
-8
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-32
0-0
26-43
0-0
35-22
0-0
49-36
0-0
33-24
0-0
35-30
0-0
26-27
0-0
32-34
0-0
40-30
0-0
42-41
0-0
37-37
0-0
38-24
0-0
48-40
0-0
44-27
0-0
28-27
0-0
39-27
0-0
34-39
0-0
48-49
0-0
39-47
0-0
52-52
144.3Avg total
75.5Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.573.3154.8+8.267%
Season at home (4)85.074.5159.5+10.575%
Season away (2)74.571.0145.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)75.568.8144.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)81.473.8155.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.280.0154.2-5.817%
vs Similar (15)72.569.1141.7+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.660.6133.2+12.075%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#26
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H14/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#8
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A18/03
NIT
UNC Asheville
#83
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H10/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A13/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H18/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-25
0-0
22-37
0-0
40-42
0-0
50-38
0-0
30-29
0-0
35-37
0-0
48-32
0-0
51-42
0-0
46-23
0-0
46-39
0-0
48-38
0-0
41-35
0-0
50-48
0-0
36-46
0-0
25-37
0-0
42-34
0-0
45-44
0-0
38-34
0-0
21-35
0-0
36-38
151.1Avg total
77.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.975.0156.9+6.957%
Season at home (5)85.475.8161.2+9.660%
Season away (2)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)77.873.3151.1+4.550%
Last 5 (5)76.477.8154.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.475.0155.4+5.450%
vs Similar (18)70.668.2138.8+2.344%
vs Weaker (3)71.363.7135.0+7.767%
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
OregonMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A11/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#31
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H19/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H22/03
NIT
Georgia
#197
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A21/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H25/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.431.866.1+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.732.268.9+4.472%-
Last 30 away (11)30.631.061.6-0.445%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.567.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
vs Similar (15)34.833.167.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.926.960.8+7.075%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#26
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#8
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/03
NIT
UNC Asheville
#83
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H10/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A13/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A24/11
NCAA
73.4Avg total
38.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.967.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.933.070.9+4.967%-
Last 30 away (12)30.532.863.2-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.373.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.837.277.0+2.562%-
vs Similar (18)33.031.364.3+1.761%-
vs Weaker (3)32.328.060.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oregon wins
0
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Michigan v Oregon70-71 OT
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HAlabama91-99
25/11/23ASanta Clara82-88
21/11/23AFlorida A&M67-54
18/11/23HTennessee State92-67
11/11/23HMontana75-61
06/11/23HGeorgia82-71
22/03/23HWisconsin58-61
19/03/23HUCF Knights68-54
16/03/23HUC Irvine84-58
11/03/23AUCLA56-75
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ATexas Tech57-73
24/11/23HStanford83-78
22/11/23HMemphis67-71
18/11/23HLong Beach State86-94
13/11/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)89-73
10/11/23HYoungstown State92-62
08/11/23HUNC Asheville99-74
18/03/23AVanderbilt65-66
14/03/23HToledo90-80
09/03/23HRutgers50-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.585.074.5
Allowed / game73.374.571.0
Point differential+8.2+10.5+3.5
Avg total154.8159.5145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game81.985.473.0
Allowed / game75.075.873.0
Point differential+6.9+9.6+0.0
Avg total156.9161.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska770100%81.661.9+19.7
2 Purdue87188%84.667.1+17.5
3 Ohio State76186%80.064.6+15.4
4 Northwestern76186%73.766.9+6.9
5 Indiana76186%73.668.4+5.1
6 Illinois65183%77.858.7+19.2
7 Rutgers65183%70.555.5+15.0
8 Wisconsin86275%74.063.9+10.1
9 Iowa75271%90.775.7+15.0
10 Minnesota75271%79.766.6+13.1
11 UCLA75271%71.057.9+13.1
12 USC75271%79.368.7+10.6
13 Washington64267%82.772.3+10.3
14 Oregon64267%81.573.3+8.2
15 Michigan State74357%74.962.3+12.6
16 Michigan74357%81.975.0+6.9
17 Penn State84450%75.869.1+6.6
18 Maryland84450%68.563.0+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Oregon38351386
Michigan35381083
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