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Orleans vs Poitiers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 87-83
Projected total 170.0
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game81.3
Vs
61%
39%
■ ORL 61%■ POI 39%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.3
FrancePro BRound 11· CO
Other2026-27
Meetings · Orleans v Poitiers
20 Nov 2026
ORL v POI
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ORL85
POI80
27 Dec 2024
ORL86
POI72
03 Feb 2024
ORL89
POI85
18 Dec 2018
ORL111
POI85
17 Apr 2018
ORL87
POI71
06 Apr 2013
ORL73
POI67
16 May 2012
ORL83
POI67
20 Nov 2010
ORL88
POI81
02 Jan 2010
ORL84
POI52
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Orleans host Poitiers in the Pro B. Pythia makes Orleans the favourite at 61% and projects 87-83, about 170 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Orleans are 6-3 this season (88.6 scored, 81.3 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Poitiers are 6-4 this season (87.0 scored, 84.3 allowed a game), form WWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orleans win
61.4%fair 1.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers win
38.6%fair 2.59
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrleansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrleans
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
69avg 75
H06/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
72avg 75
H26/09
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 75
H03/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 75
A09/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
70avg 75
A16/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
80-103
80
103
-23
72avg 75
H20/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
93avg 75
A23/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
100-71
100
71
+29
96avg 75
H31/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
17-23
25-10
19-28
16-17
28-20
17-19
15-20
31-18
14-18
28-24
18-14
16-15
16-28
19-20
34-26
14-16
14-13
28-26
23-9
14-27
26-21
16-35
24-20
17-26
30-27
25-10
21-19
21-26
21-15
29-14
29-16
27-22
28-21
25-22
15-27
20-21
21-9
19-23
30-16
170.4Avg total
88.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.681.3169.9+7.267%
Season at home (4)88.884.0172.8+4.850%
Season away (5)88.479.2167.6+9.280%
Last 10 (10)88.282.2170.4+6.060%
Last 5 (5)91.683.4175.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
vs Similar (17)85.382.4167.6+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.877.2162.0+7.575%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Evreux
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 78
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
90avg 78
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 78
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
89avg 78
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 78
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 78
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 78
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
77-102
77
102
-25
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-28
20-18
16-17
22-29
19-23
30-17
21-36
18-22
26-16
32-12
14-23
12-18
27-18
25-24
28-17
18-22
23-11
20-18
19-16
14-17
26-21
22-14
17-22
25-23
26-23
13-22
25-17
23-19
15-20
33-22
30-22
18-23
22-24
17-24
33-20
14-23
11-34
22-20
30-25
171.3Avg total
87.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.084.3171.3+2.760%
Season at home (5)88.282.4170.6+5.860%
Season away (5)85.886.2172.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)87.084.3171.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)87.287.0174.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)95.096.5191.5-1.550%
vs Similar (17)85.682.0167.6+3.665%
vs Weaker (11)86.883.5170.3+3.473%
This opponent (Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
68.8%
Under 161.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
57.4%
Under 166.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
45.4%
Under 171.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Orleans total 80.5
Over 80.5
72.3%
Under 80.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orleans total 84.5
Over 84.5
58.0%
Under 84.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orleans total 88.5
Over 88.5
42.5%
Under 88.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Poitiers total 78
Over 78
69.9%
Under 78
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Poitiers total 82
Over 82
54.7%
Under 82
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Poitiers total 86
Over 86
39.0%
Under 86
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Orleans -3
ORL -3
52.6%
POI +3
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
POI
No market prices yet.
Spread Orleans 0
ORL 0
61.4%
POI 0
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
POI
No market prices yet.
Spread Orleans +3
ORL +3
70.0%
POI -3
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
POI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
OrleansPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H06/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H26/09
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A16/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/11
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.7Avg total
41.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.580.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.041.384.3+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.776.9+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.282.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.088.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.340.581.8+0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.838.280.0+3.775%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/11
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A13/11
Pro B
84.0Avg total
40.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.885.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.943.086.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.582.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.784.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.484.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (17)44.042.086.0+2.047%-
vs Weaker (11)39.043.282.2-4.236%-
This opponent (Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orleanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orleans: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.2
55.0%
53.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.2
31.7%
33.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.418.0
76.9%
74.0%18.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
74.0%
74.0%17.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orleans
WWWWLWLWLL
Poitiers
LLWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#6
+2.8
Net rating
+4.1
94.2
Offensive rating
96.8
91.5
Defensive rating
92.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.7%
3-point %
35.4%
67.3%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 96.8Defence91.5 · 92.7Shooting51.3% · 53.1%3-point %31.7% · 35.4%Ball care17.0% · 15.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Orleans   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Orleans wins
3
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Poitiers v Orleans92-90
28/10/25Orleans v Poitiers85-80
08/04/25Poitiers v Orleans79-71
27/12/24Orleans v Poitiers86-72
03/02/24Orleans v Poitiers89-85
24/11/23Poitiers v Orleans91-83
12/05/19Poitiers v Orleans79-83
18/12/18Orleans v Poitiers111-85
17/04/18Orleans v Poitiers87-71
12/01/18Poitiers v Orleans74-80
Orleanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AEvreux90-69
06/11/26ALe Havre95-92
31/10/26HQuimper100-71
23/10/26ALevallois93-82
20/10/26HAda Blois80-103
16/10/26AHyeres-Toulon79-64
09/10/26AAntibes85-89
03/10/26HRouen91-74
26/09/26HChalons-Reims84-88 OT
06/06/26HPau-Orthez85-90
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ARouen77-102
06/11/26HAntibes90-91
03/11/26ALevallois101-83
30/10/26HLa Rochelle89-85
23/10/26ACaen79-74
21/10/26AFos-sur-Mer80-67
16/10/26HChalons-Reims92-77
09/10/26HNantes90-73
03/10/26AAda Blois92-105
25/09/26HEvreux80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orleans
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game88.688.888.4
Allowed / game81.384.079.2
Point differential+7.2+4.8+9.2
Avg total169.9172.8167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game87.088.285.8
Allowed / game84.382.486.2
Point differential+2.7+5.8-0.4
Avg total171.3170.6172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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