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Orlovik vs Sloboda Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.0
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 14· KSC Don Bosco
Other2026-27
Meetings · Orlovik v Sloboda
16 Jan 2027
ORLO v SLOB
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
ORLO97
SLOB90
07 Dec 2024
ORLO91
SLOB79
20 Jan 2024
ORLO71
SLOB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlovik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A08/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-24
22-16
18-15
19-22
21-12
13-13
16-20
12-29
15-14
19-9
20-14
16-12
21-26
19-22
26-19
24-23
19-28
24-16
21-21
19-17
19-24
22-16
17-25
19-23
12-17
25-19
28-22
29-20
29-27
20-16
21-21
22-19
19-25
16-24
19-20
29-19
17-18
19-20
18-11
160.7Avg total
82.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.580.2165.8+5.275%
Season at home (2)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)80.084.5164.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)82.278.5160.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)83.880.6164.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.382.7160.0-5.333%
vs Similar (12)81.083.2164.2-2.242%
vs Weaker (15)84.874.7159.5+10.173%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H17/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#1
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#15
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
26-18
20-19
15-19
19-22
15-13
9-7
20-15
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
154.0Avg total
79.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.478.0166.4+10.460%
Season at home (3)85.380.7166.0+4.733%
Season away (2)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.974.1154.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)93.473.4166.8+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.576.2161.8+9.275%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
OrlovikSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#14
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
81.2Avg total
40.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.683.8+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.380.2-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.181.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.884.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.041.774.7-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)41.741.583.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (15)44.138.482.5+5.767%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#15
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
76.4Avg total
40.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.979.8+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.178.8+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.780.7+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.776.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.082.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
vs Similar (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.138.881.9+4.475%-
This opponent (Orlovik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.9
56.9%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
67.8%13.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
67.8%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlovik
WLWWLWWLWW
Sloboda
LWWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+5.5
Net rating
+7.4
95.3
Offensive rating
95.1
89.8
Defensive rating
87.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.4%
3-point %
31.2%
56.6%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 95.1Defence89.8 · 87.7Shooting53.7% · 52.5%3-point %33.4% · 31.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Orlovik   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlovik wins
4
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Sloboda v Orlovik81-84
11/04/26Orlovik v Sloboda97-90 OT
05/01/26Sloboda v Orlovik80-73
15/03/25Sloboda v Orlovik83-79
07/12/24Orlovik v Sloboda91-79
20/01/24Orlovik v Sloboda71-84
28/10/23Sloboda v Orlovik78-57
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPromo83-68
17/10/26AZrinjski Mostar76-88
11/10/26HRadnicki Gorazde99-84
03/10/26ASloboda84-81
18/04/26ABasket Zivinice77-82
11/04/26HSloboda97-90 OT
05/04/26AStudent Igokea82-79
29/03/26HMrkonjic Grad75-79 OT
21/03/26AJahorina69-67
08/03/26ALeotar Trebinje80-67
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73
20/05/26ABorac Banja Luka63-57
17/05/26HJahorina77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.591.080.0
Allowed / game80.276.084.5
Point differential+5.2+15.0-4.5
Avg total165.8167.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game88.485.393.0
Allowed / game78.080.774.0
Point differential+10.4+4.7+19.0
Avg total166.4166.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
2 Orlovik43175%85.580.2+5.2
3 Basket Zivinice43175%74.072.0+2.0
4 Leotar Trebinje43175%73.271.8+1.5
5 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
6 Zrinjski Mostar53260%77.272.4+4.8
7 Slavija53260%86.883.2+3.6
8 Igman53260%88.887.6+1.2
9 Borac Banja Luka42250%76.875.2+1.5
10 Gradina Tesanj41325%72.079.0-7.0
11 Promo41325%66.276.5-10.2
12 Drina41325%73.886.2-12.5
13 Mrkonjic Grad51420%72.883.2-10.4
14 Radnicki Gorazde4040%82.290.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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