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Orlovik vs Sloboda Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.0
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 14· KSC Don Bosco
Other2026-27
Meetings · Orlovik v Sloboda
16 Jan 2027
ORLO v SLOB
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
ORLO97
SLOB90
07 Dec 2024
ORLO91
SLOB79
20 Jan 2024
ORLO71
SLOB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlovik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrlovik
Date
Competition
Student Igokea
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 76
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
91avg 76
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 76
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
65avg 76
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
99-84
99
84
+15
100avg 76
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 76
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
75avg 76
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
75-55
75
55
+20
no box
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H14/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
21-26
19-22
26-19
24-23
19-28
24-16
21-21
19-17
19-24
22-16
17-25
19-23
12-17
25-19
28-22
29-20
29-27
20-16
21-21
22-19
19-25
16-24
19-20
29-19
17-18
19-20
18-11
21-24
13-22
12-27
26-22
21-19
21-15
15-8
18-13
17-14
21-21
25-15
19-17
161.6Avg total
82.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.676.9158.4+4.771%
Season at home (3)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)76.879.8156.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.778.9161.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)77.674.6152.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.579.0158.5+0.550%
vs Similar (13)81.383.5164.8-2.246%
vs Weaker (15)84.473.5157.9+10.973%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 74
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
31avg 74
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
59avg 74
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 74
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 74
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
109avg 74
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
94avg 74
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 74
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
20-25
30-27
31-21
31-23
24-10
15-20
24-17
17-19
162.5Avg total
85.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.076.0163.0+11.067%
Season at home (4)84.077.0161.0+7.050%
Season away (2)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.177.4162.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)91.872.2164.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.676.5165.1+12.176%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
OrlovikSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Student Igokea
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H14/11
Prvenstvo BiH
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.481.6+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.082.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.980.6+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.541.282.7+0.454%-
vs Weaker (15)43.937.781.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.778.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.682.1+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
vs Similar (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.938.282.2+5.776%-
This opponent (Orlovik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.9
56.9%
53.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
67.4%13.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
67.4%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlovik
WWLWLWWLWW
Sloboda
WWLWWWWLLL
#2
League position
#4
+5.5
Net rating
+7.4
95.3
Offensive rating
95.1
89.8
Defensive rating
87.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.4%
3-point %
31.2%
56.6%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 95.1Defence89.8 · 87.7Shooting53.7% · 52.5%3-point %33.4% · 31.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Orlovik   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlovik wins
4
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Sloboda v Orlovik81-84
11/04/26Orlovik v Sloboda97-90 OT
05/01/26Sloboda v Orlovik80-73
15/03/25Sloboda v Orlovik83-79
07/12/24Orlovik v Sloboda91-79
20/01/24Orlovik v Sloboda71-84
28/10/23Sloboda v Orlovik78-57
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBasket Zivinice82-67
08/11/26ALeotar Trebinje75-55
02/11/26ABorac Banja Luka72-95
24/10/26HPromo83-68
17/10/26AZrinjski Mostar76-88
11/10/26HRadnicki Gorazde99-84
03/10/26ASloboda84-81
18/04/26ABasket Zivinice77-82
11/04/26HSloboda97-90 OT
05/04/26AStudent Igokea82-79
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDrina80-66
03/11/26APodgorica112-96
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game81.688.076.8
Allowed / game76.973.079.8
Point differential+4.7+15.0-3.0
Avg total158.4161.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.084.093.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.0
Point differential+11.0+7.0+19.0
Avg total163.0161.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
2 Orlovik75271%81.676.9+4.7
3 Basket Zivinice75271%74.973.0+1.9
4 Sloboda64267%87.076.0+11.0
5 Leotar Trebinje64267%69.771.7-2.0
6 Zrinjski Mostar74357%78.974.4+4.4
7 Borac Banja Luka74357%80.075.9+4.1
8 Slavija74357%84.682.6+2.0
9 Igman74357%86.785.9+0.9
10 Drina72529%75.481.0-5.6
11 Promo72529%70.175.9-5.7
12 Gradina Tesanj72529%72.780.3-7.6
13 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
14 Mrkonjic Grad61517%72.785.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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