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Osaka vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-58
13-18 28-5 11-18 24-17
Position#17
Record12-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.2
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record10-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.3
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Koshigaya Alphas
04 Jan 2026
OSAK76
KOSH58
03 Jan 2026
OSAK86
KOSH56
09 Feb 2025
OSAK77
KOSH70
08 Feb 2025
OSAK80
KOSH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
68-93
68
93
-25
55avg 76
H07/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 76
H10/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 76
A13/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 76
A14/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
68-86
68
86
-18
62avg 76
H20/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
77avg 76
H21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 76
A24/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
61avg 76
A27/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
78-51
78
51
+27
73avg 76
A28/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
86-56
86
56
+30
92avg 76
H03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-28
11-26
18-23
17-25
15-20
20-28
24-13
26-26
24-23
15-18
15-20
13-18
20-16
15-14
23-15
16-19
12-22
24-15
16-30
28-18
16-21
16-18
13-18
18-24
10-20
20-14
22-22
14-18
17-14
19-26
15-15
13-14
24-19
22-11
19-7
24-10
20-20
16-15
26-11
148.5Avg total
73.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.381.2161.5-1.041%
Season at home (14)80.882.6163.4-1.936%
Season away (15)79.879.9159.7-0.147%
Last 10 (10)73.575.0148.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)74.467.0141.4+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.585.6163.1-8.110%
vs Similar (17)79.178.8157.9+0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.081.7176.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
64avg 66
A07/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 66
H10/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
54-87
54
87
-33
38avg 66
A13/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
61avg 66
A14/12
B League
Shiga
#18
L
73-80
73
80
-7
56avg 66
A20/12
B League
Shiga
#18
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 66
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
92avg 66
H24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
61-86
61
86
-25
51avg 66
H27/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 66
H28/12
B League
Osaka
#17
L
56-86
56
86
-30
40avg 66
A03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
19-27
18-20
21-21
23-21
22-16
24-15
19-20
11-23
12-24
19-24
12-16
16-26
21-21
15-23
17-23
21-25
17-18
19-18
16-19
27-18
25-17
13-21
15-27
21-19
21-24
23-21
25-19
20-17
11-30
21-21
9-18
8-14
14-23
11-21
34-22
10-24
20-20
15-16
11-26
156.3Avg total
71.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.079.3151.3-7.334%
Season at home (16)72.177.7149.8-5.638%
Season away (13)71.881.4153.2-9.531%
Last 10 (10)71.484.9156.3-13.520%
Last 5 (5)70.883.6154.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.283.3154.5-12.126%
vs Similar (11)73.172.9146.0+0.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
OsakaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A13/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H20/12
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A24/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/01
B League
75.7Avg total
36.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.182.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.5-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.382.3+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.175.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.480.9-5.930%-
vs Similar (17)42.439.181.5+3.359%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.345.092.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A07/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A13/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/12
B League
Shiga
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H27/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H28/12
B League
Osaka
#17
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/01
B League
79.5Avg total
35.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.777.8-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.638.976.4-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)36.642.879.4-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.879.5-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.276.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.142.578.5-6.432%-
vs Similar (11)38.937.676.5+1.355%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.7
51.4%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.4
33.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.19.9
65.6%
73.1%9.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.2
46.8%
53.1%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.3
34.2%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws12.29.1
74.6%
73.1%9.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WWLLLLWLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWLLLLWL
#17
League position
#19
-2.4
Net rating
-19.1
102.6
Offensive rating
96.7
105.0
Defensive rating
115.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.1%
3-point %
34.2%
72.3%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 96.7Defence105.0 · 115.8Shooting50.6% · 49.0%3-point %33.1% · 34.2%Ball care20.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds34.0% · 19.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Osaka   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Osaka wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Osaka v Koshigaya Alphas86-56
09/02/25Osaka v Koshigaya Alphas77-70
08/02/25Osaka v Koshigaya Alphas80-77
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HKoshigaya Alphas86-56
28/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya78-51
27/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya65-73
24/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa70-80
21/12/25HSendai73-75
20/12/25HSendai68-86
14/12/25AYokohama71-63
13/12/25AYokohama80-87
10/12/25HUtsunomiya Brex76-86
07/12/25HAltiri Chiba68-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AOsaka56-86
28/12/25HUtsunomiya Brex67-80
27/12/25HUtsunomiya Brex61-86
24/12/25HSendai90-83
21/12/25AShiga80-83
20/12/25AShiga73-80
14/12/25AGunma69-93
13/12/25AGunma54-87
10/12/25HIbaraki Robots88-72
07/12/25ANagasaki76-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%36%47%
Points / game80.380.879.8
Allowed / game81.282.679.9
Point differential-1.0-1.9-0.1
Avg total161.5163.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL34%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %34%38%31%
Points / game72.072.171.8
Allowed / game79.377.781.4
Point differential-7.3-5.6-9.5
Avg total151.3149.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2926390%94.277.2+17.0
2 Chiba2923679%83.474.4+9.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2923679%85.177.6+7.5
4 Hokkaido2923679%88.082.7+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2922776%83.472.4+11.0
6 SeaHorses Mikawa30201067%84.178.7+5.5
7 Gunma29181162%82.975.3+7.6
8 Alvark29181162%78.877.7+1.1
9 Ryukyu30181260%82.276.8+5.4
10 Hiroshima D.29171259%85.782.3+3.4
11 Shimane29171259%83.581.2+2.3
12 Sendai29171259%79.877.8+2.0
13 Saga29151452%81.882.3-0.6
14 NeoPhoenix29121741%82.483.0-0.6
15 Osaka29121741%80.381.2-1.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29121741%80.982.9-2.0
17 Yokohama29111838%78.482.3-3.9
18 Shiga29111838%81.586.7-5.2
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya29101934%75.982.4-6.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas29101934%72.079.3-7.3
21 Toyama2992031%83.190.9-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2982128%75.380.2-4.9
23 Altiri Chiba2982128%79.485.2-5.7
24 Kyoto2972224%70.680.9-10.3
25 Brave Thunders2962321%75.484.1-8.7
26 Akita2952417%71.184.1-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka1328112476
Koshigaya Alphas185181758
← all games of the day
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