PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 99-76
31-18 27-19 20-18 21-21
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#19
Record8-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game76.4
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Koshigaya Alphas
07 Dec 2025
NAGA99
KOSH76
06 Dec 2025
NAGA91
KOSH58
19 Mar 2025
NAGA88
KOSH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 76
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 76
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 76
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 76
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 76
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 76
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 76
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 76
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 76
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 76
H06/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
19-14
28-13
22-5
22-26
170.5Avg total
93.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.575.8168.3+16.689%
Season at home (10)92.476.3168.7+16.190%
Season away (9)92.675.3167.9+17.289%
Last 10 (10)93.477.1170.5+16.390%
Last 5 (5)92.071.2163.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.683.4157.0-9.914%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.375.4166.7+15.990%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 69
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
62avg 69
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 69
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 69
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
69-85
69
85
-16
59avg 69
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 69
A09/11
B League
Chiba
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 69
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 69
H15/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
77avg 69
H16/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
46avg 69
A06/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
23-20
23-7
17-12
20-11
18-22
18-24
9-11
20-21
8-15
14-19
17-22
18-21
24-10
14-19
20-15
22-23
11-20
21-25
15-17
18-13
22-17
20-13
22-21
24-25
25-18
25-28
15-19
18-19
19-18
19-26
27-12
24-24
24-20
17-15
18-21
14-19
13-28
5-22
26-22
150.3Avg total
74.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.376.4148.7-4.142%
Season at home (12)70.776.8147.5-6.233%
Season away (7)75.175.7150.9-0.657%
Last 10 (10)74.276.1150.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)79.080.0159.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.882.6153.4-11.824%
vs Similar (11)69.470.5139.8-1.155%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
NagasakiKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
B League
88.1Avg total
47.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.383.6+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.182.1+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)43.441.484.9+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)47.640.588.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.041.776.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.539.986.3+6.680%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A09/11
B League
Chiba
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/12
B League
77.1Avg total
38.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.175.2-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.437.173.5-0.759%-
Last 30 away (13)35.641.877.4-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.177.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.141.378.4-4.235%-
vs Similar (11)33.536.269.7-2.655%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.3
57.3%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.5
40.5%
33.7%40.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
73.1%13.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.3
48.9%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.610.8
69.2%
73.1%10.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWLWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#19
+21.6
Net rating
-1.7
117.5
Offensive rating
98.1
95.8
Defensive rating
99.9
59.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.5%
3-point %
35.9%
73.8%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 98.1Defence95.8 · 99.9Shooting59.0% · 51.0%3-point %40.5% · 35.9%Ball care17.7% · 20.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-58
16/11/25HAkita97-61
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ANagasaki58-91
16/11/25HNeoPhoenix83-80
15/11/25HNeoPhoenix83-75
12/11/25HChiba89-90
09/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-64
08/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles69-85
05/11/25HBrave Thunders76-65
02/11/25HRyukyu59-77
01/11/25HRyukyu65-68
29/10/25AToyama78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%90%89%
Points / game92.592.492.6
Allowed / game75.876.375.3
Point differential+16.6+16.1+17.2
Avg total168.3168.7167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %42%33%57%
Points / game72.370.775.1
Allowed / game76.476.875.7
Point differential-4.1-6.2-0.6
Avg total148.7147.5150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%8%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki1917289%92.575.8+16.6
2 Diamond Dolphins2017385%83.871.0+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%84.276.5+7.8
4 Chiba2016480%82.475.3+7.0
5 Hokkaido2016480%87.783.8+3.9
6 Ryukyu2014670%83.475.6+7.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2014670%85.979.5+6.5
8 Gunma2013765%83.075.4+7.6
9 Hiroshima D.2011955%85.981.5+4.5
10 Shimane2011955%84.382.6+1.8
11 Alvark20101050%76.279.0-2.8
12 Saga2091145%82.283.2-1.1
13 Osaka2091145%83.085.0-1.9
14 Shiga2091145%81.084.0-3.0
15 Sendai2091145%77.281.2-3.9
16 Koshigaya Alphas1981142%72.376.4-4.1
17 NeoPhoenix2081240%80.881.2-0.3
18 Yokohama2081240%79.382.8-3.5
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya2081240%77.081.2-4.2
20 Altiri Chiba2071335%81.083.0-2.1
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2071335%78.081.6-3.5
22 Kyoto2061430%73.278.9-5.7
23 Toyama2061430%83.591.5-8.0
24 Brave Thunders2041620%74.584.0-9.5
25 Ibaraki Robots2031715%74.081.4-7.4
26 Akita2031715%69.584.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki3127202199
Koshigaya Alphas1819182176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.