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Osos de Manati vs Aguada Santeros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-78
23-15 18-17 23-26 24-20
Position#4
Record10-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game94.9
vs
Position#8
Record9-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.0
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Juan Aubin Cruz Abreu
Other2024
Meetings · Osos de Manati v Aguada Santeros
24 Mar 2025
OSOS89
AGUA86
27 May 2024
OSOS88
AGUA78
01 Apr 2016
OSOS75
AGUA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osos de Manati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada Santeros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Osos de ManatiPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManati
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
79avg 86
A02/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
115-94
115
94
+21
116avg 86
H04/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
102-92
102
92
+10
102avg 86
H05/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 86
A10/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 86
H12/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 86
A16/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 86
H18/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
110-88
110
88
+22
106avg 86
A21/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
128-132 OT
128
132
-4
123avg 86
A22/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 86
H26/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
28-17
23-23
19-14
29-20
23-21
35-23
28-30
27-26
22-18
30-23
23-25
14-16
21-16
17-16
28-22
17-21
11-22
21-23
27-28
21-28
15-14
26-24
18-24
20-25
33-11
25-24
23-31
27-26
18-18
30-21
35-23
28-25
29-29
29-32
31-31
16-26
18-21
21-22
25-22
187.7Avg total
95.7Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)93.394.9188.2-1.648%
Season at home (10)91.394.3185.6-3.040%
Season away (11)95.195.5190.5-0.455%
Last 10 (10)95.792.0187.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)99.898.4198.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.199.5189.6-9.412%
vs Similar ◀ (19)95.396.3191.6-0.953%
vs Weaker (3)83.086.0169.0-3.033%
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aguada SanterosPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSanteros
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 79
A05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
96avg 79
A07/05
BSN
San German
#11
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
88avg 79
H09/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
44avg 79
H12/05
BSN
San German
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 79
A13/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
98-97
98
97
+1
101avg 79
H15/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
63avg 79
A17/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
95avg 79
H19/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
84avg 79
H21/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
68avg 79
A24/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-15
23-24
16-21
17-21
34-18
22-28
16-25
24-18
19-20
14-26
21-14
14-14
13-15
19-24
17-15
15-20
22-20
21-26
19-23
19-17
27-23
23-23
29-34
18-29
11-19
26-4
14-25
24-18
20-19
18-20
28-20
23-12
18-16
15-23
21-26
22-31
15-18
18-32
21-18
166.8Avg total
81.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.183.0165.1-1.038%
Season at home (12)86.182.5168.6+3.658%
Season away (12)78.183.6161.7-5.517%
Last 10 (10)81.585.3166.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)83.886.6170.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (28)83.483.8167.2-0.343%
vs Weaker (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
This opponent (Osos de Manati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Osos de ManatiAguada Santeros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Osos de ManatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A02/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H04/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H05/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H18/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A22/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/05
BSN
85.6Avg total
43.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.287.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.587.2-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.045.887.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.485.6+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.689.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.647.289.9-4.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.445.187.5-2.747%-
vs Weaker (3)41.040.081.0+1.033%-
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aguada SanterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/05
BSN
San German
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H12/05
BSN
San German
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A17/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H21/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/05
BSN
77.3Avg total
39.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.278.2+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.780.9-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.377.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (28)40.440.480.8+0.043%-
vs Weaker (1)27.029.056.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Osos de Manati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osos de Manatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osos de Manati: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.625.9
59.4%
53.4%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.7
37.5%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.514.6
67.9%
74.6%14.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguada Santerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada Santeros: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.3
51.7%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.714.4
81.4%
74.6%14.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osos de Manati
LLWWLLWWWW
Aguada Santeros
LWWLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#8
+5.1
Net rating
-5.3
118.9
Offensive rating
105.0
113.7
Defensive rating
110.3
58.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
32.8%
59.6%
Assist %
74.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 105.0Defence113.7 · 110.3Shooting58.2% · 50.7%3-point %37.5% · 32.8%Ball care13.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Osos de Manati   ■ Aguada Santeros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Osos de Manati wins
2
Aguada Santeros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24HMets de Guaynabo80-91
22/05/24ACapitanes de Arecibo128-132 OT
21/05/24ACriollos de Caguas110-88
18/05/24HVaqueros de Bayamon101-91
16/05/24AVaqueros de Bayamon80-90
12/05/24HMets de Guaynabo76-94
10/05/24AMets de Guaynabo80-70
05/05/24HCangrejeros102-92
04/05/24HCriollos de Caguas115-94
02/05/24AIndios de Mayaguez85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24ACapitanes de Arecibo76-99
21/05/24HGigantes de Carolina86-83 OT
19/05/24HMets de Guaynabo90-77
17/05/24ALeones De Ponce69-77
15/05/24HIndios de Mayaguez98-97
13/05/24ASan German77-89
12/05/24HVaqueros de Bayamon63-68
09/05/24HSan German93-91 OT
07/05/24AGigantes de Carolina89-92
05/05/24AIndios de Mayaguez74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osos de Manati
BSN 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game93.391.395.1
Allowed / game94.994.395.5
Point differential-1.6-3.0-0.4
Avg total188.2185.6190.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Aguada Santeros
BSN 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game82.186.178.1
Allowed / game83.082.583.6
Point differential-1.0+3.6-5.5
Avg total165.1168.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capitanes de Arecibo2117481%96.289.7+6.5
2 Criollos de Caguas2012860%93.091.2+1.9
3 Mets de Guaynabo2012860%88.388.3+0.0
4 Indios de Mayaguez22121055%87.085.8+1.2
5 Cangrejeros189950%90.389.7+0.6
6 Piratas de Quebradillas21101148%85.085.2-0.2
7 Osos de Manati21101148%93.394.9-1.6
8 Gigantes de Carolina2091145%95.393.1+2.2
9 San German24101442%86.686.5+0.0
10 Vaqueros de Bayamon2391439%84.986.9-2.0
11 Leones De Ponce1871139%79.387.7-8.3
12 Aguada Santeros2491538%82.183.0-1.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osos de Manati2318232488
Aguada Santeros1517262078
← all games of the day
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