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Ostersund W vs Marbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-58
16-16 19-10 16-16 16-16
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game70.0
Ostersund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Marbo W
Sweden
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game76.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Ostersunds Sporthall (Ostersund)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Ostersund W v Marbo W
04 Nov 2023
OSTE67
MARB58
15 Mar 2023
OSTE91
MARB88
05 Feb 2022
OSTE99
MARB75
10 Dec 2016
OSTE86
MARB52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
H10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
no box
H22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
A24/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
55-84
55
84
-29
no box
A02/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
62-98
62
98
-36
no box
A04/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
no box
H12/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
88-59
88
59
+29
82avg 59
A08/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-76
51
76
-25
33avg 59
H14/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 59
A21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
14-20
15-11
27-12
31-17
18-18
25-22
17-31
14-10
11-14
14-22
23-13
14-25
17-9
20-16
20-13
11-23
15-25
5-23
24-13
14-26
20-26
19-24
9-22
22-14
15-22
9-24
14-17
25-16
26-13
13-15
24-15
17-22
4-19
11-19
19-16
20-15
18-22
17-22
15-16
143.3Avg total
69.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.770.0139.7-0.333%
Season at home (1)51.076.0127.0-25.00%
Season away (2)79.067.0146.0+12.050%
Last 10 (10)69.074.3143.3-5.350%
Last 5 (5)66.277.0143.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.783.4147.1-19.710%
vs Similar (7)77.474.3151.7+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.370.0152.3+12.385%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H21/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H26/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-127
68
127
-59
no box
A03/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
H12/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
35avg 50
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
46avg 50
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 50
H22/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
22-18
25-9
26-27
28-21
15-18
16-22
20-22
16-40
21-22
14-35
17-30
16-18
16-24
16-21
19-25
17-31
18-18
22-25
31-17
13-38
21-24
14-22
14-18
12-30
19-30
20-27
17-19
16-15
18-26
17-29
7-27
19-19
10-11
14-9
10-13
16-15
18-17
22-22
22-27
160.8Avg total
71.4Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.076.7139.7-13.733%
Season at home (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Season away (2)55.574.5130.0-19.050%
Last 10 (10)71.489.4160.8-18.020%
Last 5 (5)63.887.6151.4-23.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.293.3163.6-23.112%
vs Similar (7)77.774.7152.4+3.057%
vs Weaker (7)80.771.9152.6+8.957%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Ostersund WMarbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A02/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A04/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A08/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H14/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/10
Basketligan W
72.7Avg total
35.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.275.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.535.673.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.477.8-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.772.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.075.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.543.076.5-9.520%-
vs Similar (7)36.735.672.3+1.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.935.876.8+5.154%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H26/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A03/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H12/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/10
Basketligan W
79.9Avg total
35.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.442.579.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.975.2-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.546.184.6-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.144.879.9-9.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.445.077.4-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.547.683.1-12.119%-
vs Similar (7)39.138.978.0+0.343%-
vs Weaker (7)39.934.774.6+5.171%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.320.0
42.3%
44.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.35.0
30.6%
30.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.3
69.0%
73.7%13.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.714.7
37.0%
44.5%29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.3
26.8%
30.9%22.0
🏀 Free throws14.311.0
76.7%
73.7%11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostersund W
LLWLLLWWWW
Marbo W
LWLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#6
-2.2
Net rating
-17.9
89.4
Offensive rating
77.7
91.6
Defensive rating
95.5
43.2%
Effective FG%
38.3%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
22.5%
Turnover %
25.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.6%
3-point %
26.8%
60.0%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 77.7Defence91.6 · 95.5Shooting43.2% · 38.3%3-point %30.6% · 26.8%Ball care22.5% · 25.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Ostersund W   ■ Marbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ostersund W wins
2
Marbo W wins
DateGameScore
15/03/23Ostersund W v Marbo W91-88
22/10/22Marbo W v Ostersund W88-95
05/02/22Ostersund W v Marbo W99-75
04/12/21Marbo W v Ostersund W78-83
12/03/17Marbo W v Ostersund W86-80
10/12/16Ostersund W v Marbo W86-52
16/10/16Marbo W v Ostersund W85-75 OT
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AUppsala W70-75
14/10/23HSodertalje W51-76
08/10/23ALund W88-59
12/04/23HLulea W60-77
04/04/23ALulea W62-98
02/04/23ALulea W55-84
24/03/23AUppsala W71-63
22/03/23HUppsala W62-59
15/03/23HMarbo W91-88
10/03/23HSjuharads W80-64
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HVisby W78-81
14/10/23ASjuharads W53-52
07/10/23AUppsala W58-97
24/03/23HLulea W68-106
22/03/23ALulea W62-102
15/03/23AOstersund W88-91
12/03/23HUppsala W67-88
03/03/23ALulea W68-127
26/02/23HSodertalje W79-83
21/02/23HSjuharads W93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game69.751.079.0
Allowed / game70.076.067.0
Point differential-0.3-25.0+12.0
Avg total139.7127.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game63.078.055.5
Allowed / game76.781.074.5
Point differential-13.7-3.0-19.0
Avg total139.7159.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W440100%87.550.8+36.8
2 Sodertalje W440100%90.055.8+34.2
3 Uppsala W330100%89.362.0+27.3
4 Norrkoping W32167%76.074.0+2.0
5 Hogsbo W42250%70.272.0-1.8
6 Sjuharads W42250%55.858.0-2.2
7 Ostersund W31233%69.770.0-0.3
8 Marbo W31233%63.076.7-13.7
9 Lund W41325%70.582.5-12.0
10 Alvik W41325%65.284.5-19.2
11 Visby W41325%58.086.2-28.2
12 AIK Basket W4040%53.072.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ostersund W1619161667
Marbo W1610161658
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