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Oulu vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-99
22-32 20-25 19-24 17-18
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game95.4
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game86.9
FinlandI Divisioona A· Oulun Urheilutalo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oulu v HBA-Marsky Helsinki
11 Dec 2024
OULU78
HBA-99
18 Nov 2023
OULU97
HBA-100
19 Mar 2023
OULU76
HBA-90
19 Dec 2021
OULU98
HBA-72
19 Nov 2020
OULU79
HBA-98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HBA-Marsky Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
60avg 76
A24/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
88-97
88
97
-9
76avg 76
A11/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 76
H19/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
110-97
110
97
+13
114avg 76
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
101-81
101
81
+20
85avg 76
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
67avg 76
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 76
H23/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
93-103
93
103
-10
78avg 76
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
83-151
83
151
-68
54avg 76
A06/12
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
18-12
24-28
13-26
22-12
20-20
19-28
27-37
18-18
18-19
20-23
13-27
24-27
34-19
26-27
26-24
21-22
22-13
27-25
31-21
18-27
26-19
20-17
20-19
22-24
16-24
37-19
8-14
22-18
33-17
23-24
20-21
31-34
14-20
18-26
30-23
16-44
22-36
20-35
25-36
181.7Avg total
87.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.995.4185.3-5.656%
Season at home (4)90.286.5176.8+3.875%
Season away (5)89.6102.6192.2-13.040%
Last 10 (10)87.794.0181.7-6.350%
Last 5 (5)88.299.4187.6-11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.590.3168.8-11.825%
vs Similar (8)83.684.2167.9-0.650%
vs Weaker (2)90.566.5157.0+24.0100%
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
85avg 74
A14/03
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
103-58
103
58
+45
102avg 74
H24/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
97-88
97
88
+9
86avg 74
H11/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 74
H25/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
69avg 74
A31/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
90-68
90
68
+22
75avg 74
H08/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
62-86
62
86
-24
44avg 74
A17/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 74
H22/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-108
86
108
-22
79avg 74
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 74
H06/12
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
25-12
14-22
26-18
21-9
31-25
26-9
25-15
12-22
20-20
28-19
37-27
18-16
18-23
25-19
9-23
17-28
18-25
16-22
25-15
19-22
23-17
21-19
27-10
20-14
14-26
7-22
21-24
24-24
21-18
28-29
20-15
16-31
32-27
20-26
18-24
19-24
25-24
24-21
27-19
168.0Avg total
85.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.686.9170.5-3.250%
Season at home (6)88.586.5175.0+2.067%
Season away (2)69.088.0157.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)85.782.3168.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)85.287.2172.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.291.9170.1-13.79%
vs Similar (12)77.284.0161.2-6.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.178.6171.7+14.686%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
OuluHBA-Marsky Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H23/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
38-80
38
80
-42
A06/12
I Divisioona A
87.0Avg total
43.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.382.5-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.341.682.9-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)37.444.982.2-7.544%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.087.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.052.696.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.545.785.2-6.230%-
vs Similar (8)37.639.677.2-2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.576.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/03
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H24/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H25/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A31/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A17/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H22/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H06/12
I Divisioona A
83.8Avg total
41.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.481.8-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.141.480.5-2.224%-
Last 30 away (13)41.941.583.5+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.583.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.488.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.642.783.4-2.127%-
vs Similar (12)39.340.980.2-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.640.381.9+1.343%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.823.1
50.4%
52.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
30.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.3
66.5%
70.0%13.3
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA-Marsky Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA-Marsky Helsinki: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.3
52.5%
52.4%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.1
26.5%
30.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.416.5
67.6%
70.0%16.5
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
LLWWWWWLLL
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
WLWLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#7
-8.3
Net rating
+5.1
104.6
Offensive rating
101.6
112.9
Defensive rating
96.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.4%
3-point %
26.5%
48.9%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 101.6Defence112.9 · 96.5Shooting49.1% · 48.4%3-point %31.4% · 26.5%Ball care18.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds37.4% · 36.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oulu   ■ HBA-Marsky Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oulu wins
7
HBA-Marsky Helsinki wins
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AKipina83-151
29/11/24AToPo Helsinki93-103
23/11/24HRaholan Pyrkiva98-80
17/11/24AHelsingin NMKY83-81
09/11/24HPyrinto Tampere 284-82
01/11/24ALappeenranta101-81
27/10/24HHuima110-97
19/10/24HLahti Basketball69-87
11/10/24AHBA-Marsky Helsinki88-97
24/03/24AHelsingin NMKY68-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HRaiders Basket95-88
29/11/24HKipina86-108
22/11/24HToPo Helsinki93-86
17/11/24ARaholan Pyrkiva62-86
08/11/24HHelsingin NMKY90-68
31/10/24APyrinto Tampere 276-90
25/10/24HLappeenranta70-81
11/10/24HOulu97-88
24/03/24HKristika Turku103-58
14/03/24APyrinto Tampere 285-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game89.990.289.6
Allowed / game95.486.5102.6
Point differential-5.6+3.8-13.0
Avg total185.3176.8192.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game83.688.569.0
Allowed / game86.986.588.0
Point differential-3.2+2.0-19.0
Avg total170.5175.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball990100%94.371.3+23.0
2 Kipina97278%109.686.9+22.7
3 Pyrinto Tampere 296367%88.282.4+5.8
4 ToPo Helsinki95456%88.384.3+4.0
5 Oulu95456%89.995.4-5.6
6 HBA-Marsky Helsinki84450%83.686.9-3.2
7 Jyvaskyla94544%79.482.6-3.1
8 Lappeenranta94544%78.882.7-3.9
9 Raholan Pyrkiva93633%76.884.6-7.8
10 Huima82625%80.292.4-12.1
11 Helsingin NMKY92722%78.788.9-10.2
12 Raiders Basket92722%80.992.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu2220191778
HBA-Marsky Helsinki3225241899
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