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Oulu vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 97-100
11-26 32-20 17-21 37-33
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.5
Oulu
Finland
vs
HBA-Marsky Helsinki 🏆
Finland
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game91.8
FinlandI Divisioona A· Oulun Urheilutalo (Oulu)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oulu v HBA-Marsky Helsinki
11 Dec 2024
OULU78
HBA-99
18 Nov 2023
OULU97
HBA-100
19 Mar 2023
OULU76
HBA-90
19 Dec 2021
OULU98
HBA-72
19 Nov 2020
OULU79
HBA-98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HBA-Marsky Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
51avg 72
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
86avg 72
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
95-63
95
63
+32
104avg 72
A29/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 72
H05/11
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
57-105
57
105
-48
47avg 72
A11/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
18-18
17-23
19-21
15-25
19-20
31-27
17-9
24-14
26-27
17-38
25-20
15-20
20-17
25-22
16-31
11-20
19-17
22-31
26-22
15-18
25-21
28-15
16-16
20-11
16-18
23-28
12-14
26-19
13-8
34-6
22-30
22-16
23-24
23-23
14-26
17-29
16-30
15-23
9-23
166.4Avg total
81.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.582.5162.0-3.050%
Season at home (3)80.385.7166.0-5.333%
Season away (3)78.779.3158.0-0.767%
Last 10 (10)81.584.9166.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.187.3165.4-9.224%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.679.8159.4-0.162%
vs Weaker (5)82.679.0161.6+3.640%
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H10/03
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
113-88
113
88
+25
no box
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A23/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 79
H06/10
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 79
A12/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
80avg 79
H20/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
72avg 79
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
101avg 79
A05/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-15
17-23
20-23
34-21
27-18
26-27
26-22
20-15
17-20
22-25
31-16
14-19
24-16
15-27
17-17
26-18
21-20
19-21
17-26
27-17
22-24
23-35
19-24
16-23
18-22
19-27
17-22
19-25
20-15
22-27
32-20
21-24
15-19
18-27
30-29
27-15
27-17
25-22
19-25
174.1Avg total
87.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.291.8179.0-4.640%
Season at home (3)89.395.3184.7-6.033%
Season away (2)84.086.5170.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)87.187.0174.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)87.291.8179.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.089.8170.8-8.88%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.384.7170.0+0.657%
vs Weaker (11)90.980.5171.5+10.464%
This opponent (Oulu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
OuluHBA-Marsky Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A29/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/11
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A11/11
I Divisioona A
78.8Avg total
39.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.680.1-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.677.8-1.433%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.682.4-0.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.478.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.877.4-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.442.182.5-1.841%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.139.677.8-1.562%-
vs Weaker (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/10
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A12/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A05/11
I Divisioona A
82.2Avg total
43.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.784.7+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.483.4-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.582.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.641.782.2-1.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.144.785.9-3.629%-
vs Weaker (11)45.539.584.9+6.055%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.0
55.9%
52.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.2
32.4%
31.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.610.6
72.6%
69.0%10.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA-Marsky Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA-Marsky Helsinki: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.2
54.0%
52.1%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
31.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
69.0%11.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
LLWWWLLLWW
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
WLWLLLLWWL
#11
League position
#10
-5.5
Net rating
-4.1
97.1
Offensive rating
106.6
102.6
Defensive rating
110.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
23.6%
Turnover %
21.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
36.2%
62.3%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 106.6Defence102.6 · 110.8Shooting52.6% · 54.1%3-point %32.4% · 36.2%Ball care23.6% · 21.5%Off. rebounds25.0% · 33.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oulu   ■ HBA-Marsky Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oulu wins
5
HBA-Marsky Helsinki wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Oulu v HBA-Marsky Helsinki76-90
16/12/22HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Oulu106-83
04/02/22HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Oulu90-89
19/12/21Oulu v HBA-Marsky Helsinki98-72
09/02/21HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Oulu106-72
19/11/20Oulu v HBA-Marsky Helsinki79-98
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AHonka57-105
05/11/23HToPo Helsinki82-89
29/10/23AKristika Turku95-63
21/10/23HPyrinto Tampere 281-78 OT
14/10/23AHuima84-70
07/10/23HRaiders Basket78-90
19/03/23HHBA-Marsky Helsinki76-90
09/03/23AJyvaskyla92-99
04/03/23HBisons Loimaa82-81
25/02/23ARaiders Basket88-84
HBA-Marsky Helsinkilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ARaholan Pyrkiva98-79
27/10/23HJyvaskyla84-99
20/10/23HHelsingin NMKY93-87
12/10/23AHonka70-94
06/10/23HToPo Helsinki91-100
25/03/23HJyvaskyla83-85
23/03/23AJyvaskyla70-79
19/03/23AOulu90-76
15/03/23AKristika Turku113-88
10/03/23HToPo Helsinki79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.580.378.7
Allowed / game82.585.779.3
Point differential-3.0-5.3-0.7
Avg total162.0166.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game87.289.384.0
Allowed / game91.895.386.5
Point differential-4.6-6.0-2.5
Avg total179.0184.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Honka770100%90.168.6+21.6
2 Jyvaskyla65183%85.872.8+13.0
3 Kipina65183%89.881.2+8.7
4 ToPo Helsinki64267%91.884.0+7.8
5 Raiders Basket85362%81.683.2-1.6
6 Oulu63350%79.582.5-3.0
7 Huima73443%74.079.9-5.9
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki52340%87.291.8-4.6
9 Pyrinto Tampere 262433%82.078.2+3.8
10 Raholan Pyrkiva62433%84.286.0-1.8
11 Helsingin NMKY6060%80.295.0-14.8
12 Kristika Turku7070%70.392.6-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu1132173797
HBA-Marsky Helsinki26202133100
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