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Oulu vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-87
18-33 24-30 10-16 24-8
Position#8
Record10-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game98.4
Oulu
Finland
vs
Lahti Basketball 🏆
Finland
Position#1
Record24-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game75.0
FinlandI Divisioona AI Divisioona A - Quarter-finals· Oulun Urheilutalo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oulu v Lahti Basketball
28 Mar 2025
OULU76
LAHT87
21 Mar 2025
OULU97
LAHT69
19 Oct 2024
OULU69
LAHT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 69
A30/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 69
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
60avg 69
A15/02
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
107-68
107
68
+39
93avg 69
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
102-75
102
75
+27
96avg 69
H01/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
98-80
98
80
+18
93avg 69
H09/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
64-123
64
123
-59
40avg 69
A16/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
56-114
56
114
-58
36avg 69
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
W
97-69
97
69
+28
92avg 69
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
60avg 69
A26/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
27-23
25-17
17-24
17-11
15-25
23-16
18-31
22-24
18-25
21-21
16-18
33-18
25-23
21-13
28-14
31-17
33-26
16-17
22-15
26-18
26-20
15-15
31-27
20-41
16-19
19-25
9-38
13-25
18-24
12-34
13-31
27-20
29-22
20-12
21-15
17-18
21-31
18-23
12-22
169.6Avg total
82.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.498.4179.9-17.040%
Season at home (12)86.486.2172.6+0.258%
Season away (13)76.8109.8186.6-32.923%
Last 10 (10)82.786.9169.6-4.250%
Last 5 (5)76.696.0172.6-19.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.796.8177.5-16.136%
vs Similar (2)68.073.5141.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
96avg 94
A02/02
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 94
H07/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
105-84
105
84
+21
109avg 94
A14/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 94
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 94
A28/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
98-91
98
91
+7
89avg 94
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
82avg 94
H16/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
114-56
114
56
+58
114avg 94
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
L
69-97
69
97
-28
53avg 94
A21/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
81avg 94
H26/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
36-18
26-26
17-23
22-16
21-12
12-18
15-19
32-17
33-19
26-27
14-21
16-20
23-12
26-19
16-27
32-17
18-27
11-18
32-25
26-18
24-25
23-27
25-21
22-20
28-18
19-16
24-34
25-13
24-18
34-12
31-13
20-27
22-29
12-20
15-21
18-17
31-21
23-18
22-12
172.5Avg total
91.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)97.075.0172.1+22.096%
Season at home (13)101.572.2173.7+29.2100%
Season away (12)92.278.1170.3+14.292%
Last 10 (10)91.980.6172.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)93.680.0173.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.093.8177.8-9.820%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)97.075.0172.1+22.096%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
OuluLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/02
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H01/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A16/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A26/03
I Divisioona A
89.1Avg total
45.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.988.6-5.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.944.489.3+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)38.849.287.9-10.438%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.189.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.690.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)42.348.390.6-6.036%-
vs Similar (2)32.028.060.0+4.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A02/02
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A14/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A28/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A21/03
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/03
I Divisioona A
88.5Avg total
49.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.838.687.4+10.287%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.037.189.1+14.993%-
Last 30 away (15)45.640.185.7+5.580%-
Last 10 (10)49.638.988.5+10.790%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.289.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.849.695.4-3.840%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)49.436.485.8+13.096%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.423.4
50.4%
52.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.2
28.0%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
70.0%14.7
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.624.2
59.6%
52.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.7
30.0%
30.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.013.6
68.0%
70.0%13.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
LWLLWWWLLW
Lahti Basketball
WLWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-3.6
Net rating
+14.0
99.0
Offensive rating
111.2
102.6
Defensive rating
97.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.0%
3-point %
30.0%
42.5%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 111.2Defence102.6 · 97.1Shooting47.4% · 53.2%3-point %28.0% · 30.0%Ball care17.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Oulu   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oulu wins
4
Lahti Basketball wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Lahti Basketball v Oulu94-68
21/03/25Oulu v Lahti Basketball97-69
19/03/25Lahti Basketball v Oulu114-56
10/01/25Lahti Basketball v Oulu201-54
19/10/24Oulu v Lahti Basketball69-87
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ALahti Basketball68-94
21/03/25HLahti Basketball97-69
19/03/25ALahti Basketball56-114
16/03/25AJyvaskyla64-123
09/03/25HRaiders Basket98-80
01/03/25HKipina102-75
22/02/25HToPo Helsinki107-68
15/02/25ARaholan Pyrkiva77-88
08/02/25HHelsingin NMKY73-83
30/01/25APyrinto Tampere 285-75
Lahti Basketballlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HOulu94-68
21/03/25AOulu69-97
19/03/25HOulu114-56
16/03/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki93-88
09/03/25AHelsingin NMKY98-91
28/02/25AJyvaskyla93-87
18/02/25HPyrinto Tampere 281-78
14/02/25ARaiders Basket105-84
07/02/25HLappeenranta70-65
02/02/25AKipina102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game81.486.476.8
Allowed / game98.486.2109.8
Point differential-17.0+0.2-32.9
Avg total179.9172.6186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lahti Basketball
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game97.0101.592.2
Allowed / game75.072.278.1
Point differential+22.0+29.2+14.2
Avg total172.1173.7170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%77%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball2524196%97.075.0+22.0
2 Kipina2519676%103.390.3+13.0
3 ToPo Helsinki25131252%85.084.2+0.7
4 Jyvaskyla26131350%84.677.8+6.8
5 Pyrinto Tampere 226131350%83.883.7+0.1
6 Huima25121348%86.787.4-0.7
7 HBA-Marsky Helsinki25111444%83.685.8-2.2
8 Oulu25101540%81.498.4-17.0
9 Raholan Pyrkiva2281436%78.883.1-4.3
10 Lappeenranta2281436%78.883.4-4.6
11 Helsingin NMKY2271532%81.087.5-6.4
12 Raiders Basket2271532%79.890.5-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu1824102476
Lahti Basketball333016887
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