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Oulu vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 107-68
33-18 25-23 21-13 28-14
Position#8
Record6-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game102.1
Oulu 🏆
Finland
vs
ToPo Helsinki
Finland
Position#4
Record9-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game84.9
FinlandI Divisioona A· Oulun Urheilutalo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oulu v ToPo Helsinki
22 Feb 2025
OULU107
TOPO68
05 Nov 2023
OULU82
TOPO89
28 Jan 2023
OULU81
TOPO71
10 Oct 2021
OULU65
TOPO103
23 Jan 2021
OULU65
TOPO125
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
L
83-151
83
151
-68
54avg 67
A06/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
78-99
78
99
-21
60avg 67
H11/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 67
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
53-132
53
132
-79
33avg 67
H20/12
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
54-201
54
201
-147
34avg 67
A10/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
67-119
67
119
-52
48avg 67
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 67
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 67
A30/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 67
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
60avg 67
A15/02
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-44
22-36
20-35
25-36
22-32
20-25
19-24
17-18
21-28
18-21
23-23
18-28
12-40
13-26
15-31
13-35
11-44
18-54
11-51
14-52
22-37
21-19
14-37
10-26
16-17
19-26
19-17
14-22
16-11
27-23
25-17
17-24
17-11
15-25
23-16
18-31
22-24
18-25
21-21
16-18
184.8Avg total
71.8Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.2102.1182.3-21.933%
Season at home (8)79.192.8171.9-13.638%
Season away (10)81.1109.6190.7-28.530%
Last 10 (10)71.8113.0184.8-41.210%
Last 5 (5)74.089.4163.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.798.2176.9-19.525%
vs Similar (5)81.485.2166.6-3.840%
vs Weaker (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Oulu
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
100avg 87
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
87-88
87
88
-1
91avg 87
A07/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
102-81
102
81
+21
104avg 87
H13/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 87
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
85-60
85
60
+25
82avg 87
A05/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
83-63
83
63
+20
83avg 87
H12/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
79-100
79
100
-21
75avg 87
H19/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
106-127
106
127
-21
106avg 87
A26/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
77avg 87
A28/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
81avg 87
H02/02
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
20-14
26-18
23-30
23-22
21-21
24-18
19-27
24-25
23-19
32-23
23-14
25-20
15-16
16-19
22-19
26-21
23-7
18-12
18-20
20-23
23-10
13-11
27-19
19-24
19-25
24-25
17-26
19-31
31-40
34-32
22-24
19-19
20-26
23-19
17-27
18-24
20-24
19-22
22-19
174.7Avg total
88.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.484.9172.4+2.553%
Season at home (8)90.285.6175.9+4.662%
Season away (9)84.984.3169.2+0.644%
Last 10 (10)88.186.6174.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)85.294.0179.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.8104.0187.8-20.20%
vs Similar (9)84.987.7172.6-2.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.276.6169.8+16.688%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -11.3-11.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -12.8-12.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -11.3-11.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -12.8-12.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
OuluToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
L
38-80
38
80
-42
A06/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H11/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
25-66
25
66
-41
H20/12
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
29-98
29
98
-69
A10/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/02
I Divisioona A
93.4Avg total
36.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.347.286.5-7.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.845.485.2-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)38.948.887.6-9.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.656.893.4-20.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.682.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.748.888.5-9.125%-
vs Similar (5)36.440.677.0-4.240%-
vs Weaker (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oulu
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A05/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H19/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A26/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H02/02
I Divisioona A
88.4Avg total
44.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.888.1+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.541.288.7+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.187.6-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.288.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.290.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.052.693.6-11.620%-
vs Similar (9)41.845.687.3-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.738.186.8+10.681%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.6
45.4%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.68.1
25.6%
30.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.710.7
72.8%
70.0%10.7
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.5
57.5%
52.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.9
34.3%
30.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.511.6
62.7%
70.0%11.6
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
LLWLLLLLLL
ToPo Helsinki
LLLLWWWWLW
#8
League position
#4
-46.7
Net rating
+1.8
81.9
Offensive rating
104.9
128.6
Defensive rating
103.1
42.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
24.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.6%
3-point %
34.3%
47.9%
Assist %
76.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 104.9Defence128.6 · 103.1Shooting42.4% · 54.7%3-point %25.6% · 34.3%Ball care24.9% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Oulu   ■ ToPo Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oulu wins
7
ToPo Helsinki wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24ToPo Helsinki v Oulu103-93
03/02/24ToPo Helsinki v Oulu87-67
05/11/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki82-89
28/01/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki81-71
29/10/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu81-74
09/01/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu89-96
10/10/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-103
23/01/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-125
31/10/20ToPo Helsinki v Oulu114-96
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ARaholan Pyrkiva77-88
08/02/25HHelsingin NMKY73-83
30/01/25APyrinto Tampere 285-75
25/01/25HLappeenranta68-82
18/01/25AHuima67-119
10/01/25ALahti Basketball54-201
20/12/24HJyvaskyla53-132
13/12/24ARaiders Basket80-100
11/12/24HHBA-Marsky Helsinki78-99
06/12/24AKipina83-151
ToPo Helsinkilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HRaiders Basket79-89
28/01/25AJyvaskyla79-91
26/01/25AKipina106-127
19/01/25HLahti Basketball79-100
12/01/25HRaholan Pyrkiva83-63
05/01/25AHelsingin NMKY85-60
20/12/24APyrinto Tampere 278-74
13/12/24HLappeenranta102-81
07/12/24AHuima87-88
29/11/24HOulu103-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%38%30%
Points / game80.279.181.1
Allowed / game102.192.8109.6
Point differential-21.9-13.6-28.5
Avg total182.3171.9190.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.490.284.9
Allowed / game84.985.684.3
Point differential+2.5+4.6+0.6
Avg total172.4175.9169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball19190100%98.273.1+25.1
2 Kipina1814478%105.788.3+17.4
3 Jyvaskyla1810856%84.977.3+7.7
4 ToPo Helsinki179853%87.484.9+2.5
5 Pyrinto Tampere 21910953%86.584.5+1.9
6 HBA-Marsky Helsinki189950%82.785.6-2.9
7 Huima1991047%87.888.7-0.9
8 Lappeenranta1981142%80.182.6-2.5
9 Oulu1861233%80.2102.1-21.9
10 Raholan Pyrkiva1961332%77.284.3-7.1
11 Helsingin NMKY1961332%80.387.6-7.4
12 Raiders Basket1951426%80.692.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu33252128107
ToPo Helsinki1823131468
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