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Oulu vs Lappeenranta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-82
16-17 19-26 19-17 14-22
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Position#10
Record6-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.7
FinlandI Divisioona A· Oulun Urheilutalo
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 67
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
67avg 67
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 67
H23/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
93-103
93
103
-10
78avg 67
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
83-151
83
151
-68
54avg 67
A06/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
78-99
78
99
-21
60avg 67
H11/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 67
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
53-132
53
132
-79
33avg 67
H20/12
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
54-201
54
201
-147
34avg 67
A10/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
67-119
67
119
-52
48avg 67
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
26-19
20-17
20-19
22-24
16-24
37-19
8-14
22-18
33-17
23-24
20-21
31-34
14-20
18-26
30-23
16-44
22-36
20-35
25-36
22-32
20-25
19-24
17-18
21-28
18-21
23-23
18-28
12-40
13-26
15-31
13-35
11-44
18-54
11-51
14-52
22-37
21-19
14-37
10-26
192.1Avg total
77.3Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.5107.9189.4-26.436%
Season at home (6)82.096.2178.2-14.250%
Season away (8)81.1116.6197.8-35.525%
Last 10 (10)77.3114.8192.1-37.530%
Last 5 (5)66.4130.2196.6-63.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.698.4175.0-21.822%
vs Similar (6)84.087.7171.7-3.733%
vs Weaker (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
Huima
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
83avg 69
A08/11
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
55avg 69
H14/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 69
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 69
A01/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
81-69
81
69
+12
70avg 69
H03/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
81-102
81
102
-21
64avg 69
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
75avg 69
H19/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 69
H02/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
53avg 69
A12/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 69
H16/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
30-29
22-16
20-27
15-24
18-19
15-21
19-24
10-22
23-16
15-22
19-24
29-29
17-19
25-23
19-14
25-19
17-16
22-16
17-18
25-24
19-23
23-32
14-23
17-22
25-23
23-20
22-22
21-8
20-25
15-19
21-22
14-32
22-16
12-15
17-13
29-21
16-11
22-19
26-17
164.1Avg total
80.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.882.7162.5-2.943%
Season at home (8)79.880.2160.0-0.550%
Season away (6)79.886.0165.8-6.233%
Last 10 (10)80.583.6164.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.487.9163.4-12.518%
vs Similar (8)84.177.0161.1+7.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.476.2158.6+6.260%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -13.1-13.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -9.7-9.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -13.1-13.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -9.7-9.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
OuluLappeenranta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H23/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
38-80
38
80
-42
A06/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H11/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
25-66
25
66
-41
H20/12
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
29-98
29
98
-69
A10/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A18/01
I Divisioona A
98.7Avg total
39.8Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.747.786.4-9.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.345.485.7-5.121%-
Last 30 away (16)37.349.887.1-12.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.858.998.7-19.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.665.2100.8-29.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.749.688.3-10.922%-
vs Similar (6)37.541.579.0-4.033%-
vs Weaker (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/11
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H03/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A13/12
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/01
I Divisioona A
83.4Avg total
41.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.576.8-0.341%-
Last 30 away (13)40.145.585.6-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.283.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.743.380.0-6.612%-
vs Similar (8)41.840.582.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.637.480.0+5.260%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.218.7
44.3%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.2
28.5%
30.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.1%
70.0%11.7
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.0
47.5%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.5
34.4%
30.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws12.810.1
78.9%
70.0%10.1
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
LLLLLLLWWW
Lappeenranta
WLWLLWWLLL
#8
League position
#10
-44.1
Net rating
-3.2
87.8
Offensive rating
102.8
131.9
Defensive rating
106.0
43.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
23.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.18
28.5%
3-point %
34.4%
48.4%
Assist %
55.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 102.8Defence131.9 · 106.0Shooting43.6% · 49.4%3-point %28.5% · 34.4%Ball care23.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Oulu   ■ Lappeenranta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oulu wins
0
Lappeenranta wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Lappeenranta v Oulu81-101
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AHuima67-119
10/01/25ALahti Basketball54-201
20/12/24HJyvaskyla53-132
13/12/24ARaiders Basket80-100
11/12/24HHBA-Marsky Helsinki78-99
06/12/24AKipina83-151
29/11/24AToPo Helsinki93-103
23/11/24HRaholan Pyrkiva98-80
17/11/24AHelsingin NMKY83-81
09/11/24HPyrinto Tampere 284-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki93-68
12/01/25AJyvaskyla65-76
02/01/25HRaiders Basket77-74
19/12/24HKipina92-94 OT
13/12/24AToPo Helsinki81-102
03/12/24HRaholan Pyrkiva81-69
01/12/24AHelsingin NMKY90-85
21/11/24HPyrinto Tampere 267-84
14/11/24HLahti Basketball67-88
08/11/24AHuima92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game81.582.081.1
Allowed / game107.996.2116.6
Point differential-26.4-14.2-35.5
Avg total189.4178.2197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.879.879.8
Allowed / game82.780.286.0
Point differential-2.9-0.5-6.2
Avg total162.5160.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball14140100%100.670.1+30.5
2 Kipina1411379%105.185.6+19.5
3 ToPo Helsinki149564%87.381.2+6.1
4 Pyrinto Tampere 2159660%86.983.2+3.7
5 HBA-Marsky Helsinki137654%83.585.5-1.9
6 Jyvaskyla147750%85.379.9+5.4
7 Lappeenranta146843%79.882.7-2.9
8 Huima135838%87.190.5-3.4
9 Oulu145936%81.5107.9-26.4
10 Raholan Pyrkiva1541127%77.085.6-8.6
11 Helsingin NMKY1541127%80.089.3-9.3
12 Raiders Basket1541127%80.792.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu1619191468
Lappeenranta1726172282
← all games of the day
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