Ourense vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 70-82

16-18 21-15 16-21 17-28

Position#4

Record18-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game71.4

Ourense

Bilbao 🏆

Position#2

Record20-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game69.5

Primera FEBRound 30

Other2018-19

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

76-69

H27/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

81-78

A02/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

72-82

-10

H16/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

70-61

A22/02

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

78-62

+16

H02/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

78-63

+15

A10/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

81-75

H16/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

74-82

-8

A20/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

54-66

-12

H24/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

88-67

+21

A30/03

Primera FEB

14-19

23-24

21-13

18-13

24-21

19-25

23-19

15-13

18-18

18-21

15-21

21-22

22-21

21-6

18-17

9-17

18-24

21-7

23-14

16-17

18-15

15-22

22-13

23-13

30-20

9-19

14-15

28-21

27-26

19-20

16-19

12-17

19-18

8-11

22-24

5-13

23-12

21-13

21-18

23-24

145.7Avg total

75.2Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	75.7	71.4	147.1	+4.2	62%
Season at home (14)	73.5	70.9	144.4	+2.6	57%
Season away (15)	77.7	72.0	149.7	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	70.5	145.7	+4.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	70.6	145.6	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	66.3	83.0	149.3	-16.7	0%
vs Similar (15)	72.0	71.1	143.1	+0.9	47%
vs Weaker (12)	82.1	69.0	151.1	+13.1	92%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#11

81-70

+11

H27/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

74-61

+13

A02/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

87-59

+28

H17/02

Primera FEB

Valladolid

64-79

-15

A22/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

98-68

+30

H03/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

45-67

-22

A10/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

93-75

+18

H17/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

76-52

+24

A19/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

76-74 OT

A24/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

88-59

+29

H31/03

Primera FEB

17-22

28-17

18-16

18-15

19-17

22-14

16-17

17-13

25-20

19-17

29-16

14-6

18-23

19-22

14-14

13-20

17-21

26-21

35-15

20-11

12-22

16-15

7-10

10-20

22-27

24-11

19-23

28-14

18-7

23-12

19-15

16-18

13-22

20-14

13-9

18-19

21-15

27-14

20-14

20-16

144.6Avg total

78.2Scored

66.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.1	69.5	146.6	+7.6	69%
Season at home (15)	82.8	70.5	153.3	+12.3	73%
Season away (14)	70.9	68.5	139.4	+2.4	64%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	66.4	144.6	+11.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	65.4	141.0	+10.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	74.7	75.6	150.2	-0.9	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	78.5	67.9	146.4	+10.6	76%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	17.9	38.8	+2.9	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	39.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.6	23.8	41.3	-6.2	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.8	35.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	15.3	34.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	16.8	34.2	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	17.0	31.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.7	16.7	33.3	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	16.7	37.9	+4.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.7	36.2	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.1	37.2	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	16.3	35.1	+2.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.7	38.1	+6.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	13.2	35.2	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.7	15.8	35.5	+3.9	76%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

37-43

-6

H27/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

43-46

-3

A02/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

36-39

-3

H16/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

43-27

+16

A22/02

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

39-31

H02/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

33-37

-4

A10/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

39-39

H16/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-46

A20/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

27-29

-2

H24/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

44-25

+19

A30/03

Primera FEB

74.9Avg total

38.7Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.8	74.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	37.3	74.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	34.5	74.2	+5.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.2	74.9	+2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	35.2	73.0	+2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.3	41.7	78.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.1	35.6	71.7	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.1	34.6	76.7	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#11

45-39

H27/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

41-31

+10

A02/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

44-37

H17/02

Primera FEB

Valladolid

37-45

-8

A22/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

43-42

H03/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

28-37

-9

A10/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

46-38

H17/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

41-19

+22

A19/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

33-36

-3

A24/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

48-29

+19

H31/03

Primera FEB

75.9Avg total

40.6Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	38.3	78.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	35.7	71.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	35.3	75.9	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	31.8	71.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	36.6	42.6	79.1	-6.0	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.8	34.7	73.4	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	16.0	33.9	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	15.1	34.0	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	16.0	37.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	14.3	30.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	14.9	33.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	14.2	29.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.6	13.3	31.9	+5.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.0	15.9	34.9	+3.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.3	36.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.6	35.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	13.0	19.3	32.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.3	18.5	35.8	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	16.1	36.7	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.9	37.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	15.2	32.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.4	19.1	37.6	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.2	16.9	37.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	35.7	72.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.3	33.6	69.9	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	37.5	75.0	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	34.3	70.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.4	72.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	30.0	41.3	71.3	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.0	34.4	74.4	+5.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	32.7	71.2	+5.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	32.1	74.4	+10.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.8	33.2	68.0	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	30.1	66.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	31.6	65.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	37.0	32.4	69.4	+4.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.2	32.8	72.0	+6.4	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Bilbao wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/18	Bilbao v Ourense	73-60

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/19	A	Prat Joventut	88-67
24/03/19	H	Iberojet Palma	54-66
20/03/19	A	Real Betis	74-82
16/03/19	H	Valladolid	81-75
10/03/19	A	Leyma Coruna	78-63
02/03/19	H	Huesca	78-62
22/02/19	A	Forca Lleida	70-61
16/02/19	H	Castello	72-82
02/02/19	A	Oviedo	81-78
27/01/19	H	Barcelona B	76-69

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/19	H	Palencia	88-59
24/03/19	A	Caceres	76-74 OT
19/03/19	A	Araberri	76-52
17/03/19	H	Prat Joventut	93-75
10/03/19	A	Iberojet Palma	45-67
03/03/19	H	Real Betis	98-68
22/02/19	A	Valladolid	64-79
17/02/19	H	Leyma Coruna	87-59
02/02/19	A	Huesca	74-61
27/01/19	H	Forca Lleida	81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	62%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	62%	57%	67%
Points / game	75.7	73.5	77.7
Allowed / game	71.4	70.9	72.0
Point differential	+4.2	+2.6	+5.7
Avg total	147.1	144.4	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	36%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	WLLWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	69%	73%	64%
Points / game	77.1	82.8	70.9
Allowed / game	69.5	70.5	68.5
Point differential	+7.6	+12.3	+2.4
Avg total	146.6	153.3	139.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	53%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	30	26	4	87%	82.0	73.2	+8.8
2	Bilbao	29	20	9	69%	77.1	69.5	+7.6
3	Oviedo	30	20	10	67%	76.9	70.1	+6.7
4	Ourense	29	18	11	62%	75.7	71.4	+4.2
5	Melilla	30	18	12	60%	74.9	74.6	+0.2
6	Iberojet Palma	29	17	12	59%	77.1	72.7	+4.3
7	Granada	29	17	12	59%	74.4	71.1	+3.3
8	Palencia	30	17	13	57%	79.9	80.0	-0.0
9	Valladolid	29	16	13	55%	78.0	74.9	+3.2
10	Huesca	29	16	13	55%	75.4	75.6	-0.1
11	Forca Lleida	30	15	15	50%	73.0	71.6	+1.5
12	Castello	29	12	17	41%	74.5	76.1	-1.7
13	Leyma Coruna	30	11	19	37%	75.2	77.2	-2.0
14	Real Canoe	30	10	20	33%	68.4	77.3	-8.9
15	Barcelona B	29	9	20	31%	70.6	74.0	-3.4
16	Caceres	30	9	21	30%	69.1	75.7	-6.5
17	Prat Joventut	30	8	22	27%	71.7	80.8	-9.1
18	Araberri	30	7	23	23%	74.4	81.8	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	16	21	16	17	70
Bilbao	18	15	21	28	82

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature