Ourense vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 60-74

18-19 12-14 14-23 16-18

Position#10

Record11-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game83.8

Ourense

San Pablo Burgos 🏆

Position#1

Record24-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game75.2

Primera FEBRound 27

Other2024-25

Meetings · Ourense v San Pablo Burgos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

San Pablo Burgos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

81-106

106

-25

71avg 72

A18/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

77-81

-4

65avg 72

H01/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

84-93

-9

67avg 72

A08/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

78-94

-16

69avg 72

H12/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

80-92

-12

75avg 72

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-83

78avg 72

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

73-79

-6

65avg 72

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

59-89

-30

52avg 72

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

77-85

-8

67avg 72

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

89-94 OT

-5

81avg 72

A21/03

Primera FEB

25-20

14-28

24-28

18-30

21-19

16-19

13-22

27-21

13-23

26-25

22-19

23-26

22-26

22-19

18-25

16-24

19-24

25-22

22-22

14-24

30-22

19-20

19-14

16-27

21-23

17-13

20-24

15-19

12-19

10-25

20-30

17-15

19-17

10-19

27-24

21-25

24-22

22-21

19-18

12-16

167.8Avg total

78.2Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.7	83.8	166.6	-1.1	42%
Season at home (13)	85.2	80.2	165.4	+4.9	46%
Season away (13)	80.3	87.5	167.8	-7.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	89.6	167.8	-11.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	86.0	162.4	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	79.6	89.8	169.5	-10.2	18%
vs Similar (10)	80.6	80.3	160.9	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (9)	85.3	79.6	164.9	+5.8	67%

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo Burgos Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBurgos

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

106-81

106

+25

102avg 84

H18/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

90-71

+19

86avg 84

A31/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

101-71

101

+30

95avg 84

H08/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

87-85

71avg 84

A12/02

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

95-82

+13

94avg 84

H16/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

88-90

-2

88avg 84

A02/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

87-67

+20

80avg 84

H08/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

77-73

67avg 84

H12/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

83-73

+10

77avg 84

A16/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

88-61

+27

89avg 84

H22/03

Primera FEB

20-25

28-14

28-24

30-18

17-19

22-22

23-17

28-13

31-18

23-30

27-9

20-14

21-24

18-20

22-18

26-23

29-18

20-18

21-26

25-20

27-30

23-23

21-18

17-19

19-19

25-17

22-11

21-20

17-17

20-16

23-23

17-17

16-13

36-15

16-19

15-26

19-11

24-14

23-18

22-18

165.6Avg total

90.2Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	89.6	75.2	164.7	+14.4	92%
Season at home (14)	90.5	72.4	162.9	+18.1	100%
Season away (12)	88.5	78.3	166.8	+10.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	75.4	165.6	+14.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	72.8	157.4	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	77.0	80.0	157.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	89.4	74.1	163.5	+15.3	93%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseSan Pablo Burgos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.9	22.5	43.5	-1.6	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.7	19.6	41.2	+2.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.1	41.3	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+6.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	19.1	42.2	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	23.3	18.1	41.4	+5.3	66%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.7	38.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.1	35.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	20.5	36.9	-4.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	19.8	42.4	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.9	42.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.0	42.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	59%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

39-48

-9

A18/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

37-38

-1

H01/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

39-48

-9

A08/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-45

-1

H12/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

44-46

-2

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

49-42

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-36

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

22-44

-22

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

29-36

-7

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-43

A21/03

Primera FEB

81.3Avg total

38.7Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.5	80.9	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	43.1	82.9	-3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	42.6	81.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.2	77.0	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	43.5	81.7	-5.4	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	56%	-

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

48-39

H18/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

39-41

-2

A31/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

54-48

H08/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

39-44

-5

A12/02

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

49-36

+13

H16/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

50-53

-3

A02/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

44-36

H08/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-33

H12/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

52-28

+24

A16/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

43-25

+18

H22/03

Primera FEB

83.8Avg total

45.5Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	37.3	82.1	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.0	36.1	80.1	+7.9	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.7	38.9	84.6	+6.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	38.3	83.8	+7.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	35.0	80.2	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	45.0	37.4	82.4	+7.6	79%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.4	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.5	40.9	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	17.5	40.7	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.4	18.2	40.7	+4.2	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.7	40.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	19.5	40.9	+2.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.9	18.4	40.4	+3.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.5	81.4	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	45.3	83.6	-7.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.4	79.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.0	42.6	81.6	-3.6	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.1	39.6	82.7	+3.6	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	37.0	81.2	+7.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.2	35.3	80.5	+9.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	37.1	81.8	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	40.0	45.0	85.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	44.4	36.7	81.1	+7.7	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.3	46.0%	51.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.7	38.2%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	73.6%	11.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.6	48.8%	51.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	10.2	39.4%	33.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.8%	51.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.6%	33.7%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	52.9%	51.8%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.3%	33.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.9	73.4%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

San Pablo Burgos wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/25	San Pablo Burgos v Ourense	106-81
27/04/24	Ourense v San Pablo Burgos	64-91
16/12/23	San Pablo Burgos v Ourense	105-55
22/04/23	San Pablo Burgos v Ourense	96-49
20/12/22	Ourense v San Pablo Burgos	95-91 OT
31/03/17	Ourense v San Pablo Burgos	62-58
02/12/16	San Pablo Burgos v Ourense	79-60
03/05/16	San Pablo Burgos v Ourense	74-61
01/05/16	Ourense v San Pablo Burgos	91-65
28/04/16	Ourense v San Pablo Burgos	85-67

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/25	A	Real Betis	89-94 OT
15/03/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	77-85
11/03/25	A	Moron	59-89
08/03/25	H	Estudiantes	73-79
02/03/25	A	Tizona Burgos	84-83
16/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-92
12/02/25	H	Oviedo	78-94
08/02/25	A	Zamora	84-93
01/02/25	H	Hestia Menorca	77-81
18/01/25	A	San Pablo Burgos	81-106

San Pablo Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/25	H	Real Valladolid	88-61
16/03/25	A	Cartagena	83-73
12/03/25	H	Tizona Burgos	77-73
08/03/25	H	Real Betis	87-67
02/03/25	A	Alicante	88-90
16/02/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	95-82
12/02/25	A	Palencia	87-85
08/02/25	H	Moron	101-71
31/01/25	A	Castello	90-71
18/01/25	H	Ourense	106-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	42%
Home	LLLLL	46%
Away	LLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	46%	38%
Points / game	82.7	85.2	80.3
Allowed / game	83.8	80.2	87.5
Point differential	-1.1	+4.9	-7.2
Avg total	166.6	165.4	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	23%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	25% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	15%	15%	15%

San Pablo Burgos

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	89.6	90.5	88.5
Allowed / game	75.2	72.4	78.3
Point differential	+14.4	+18.1	+10.2
Avg total	164.7	162.9	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	86%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	26	24	2	92%	89.6	75.2	+14.4
2	Estudiantes	26	22	4	85%	87.5	78.8	+8.6
3	Fuenlabrada	26	21	5	81%	85.8	75.7	+10.0
4	Real Betis	27	21	6	78%	83.8	75.0	+8.8
5	Palencia	26	18	8	69%	87.4	80.5	+6.8
6	Obradoiro CAB	26	17	9	65%	82.0	74.1	+7.9
7	Tizona Burgos	27	15	12	56%	89.4	88.8	+0.6
8	Cartagena	26	13	13	50%	77.8	83.7	-5.8
9	Ourense	26	11	15	42%	82.7	83.8	-1.1
10	Oviedo	27	11	16	41%	78.3	81.1	-2.9
11	Gipuzkoa	26	10	16	38%	78.0	80.2	-2.2
12	Zamora	26	10	16	38%	78.8	82.8	-4.0
13	Alicante	26	9	17	35%	76.9	79.3	-2.4
14	Hestia Menorca	26	9	17	35%	74.2	78.3	-4.0
15	Estela	25	8	17	32%	76.3	83.4	-7.1
16	Real Valladolid	26	7	19	27%	76.5	85.1	-8.5
17	Castello	27	7	20	26%	80.3	89.2	-8.9
18	Moron	27	3	24	11%	72.5	82.7	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	18	12	14	16	60
San Pablo Burgos	19	14	23	18	74

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Ourense vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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