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Paderborn vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-84
23-19 16-23 12-16 27-26
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.8
GermanyPro ARound 5
Other2017-18
Meetings · Paderborn v Chemnitz
06 Mar 2020
PAD92
CHE91
16 Nov 2018
PAD84
CHE99
21 Oct 2017
PAD78
CHE84
04 Mar 2017
PAD77
CHE69
12 Dec 2015
PAD73
CHE90
13 Mar 2015
PAD0
CHE20
20 Oct 2013
PAD64
CHE84
07 Jan 2013
PAD66
CHE70
29 Oct 2011
PAD93
CHE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paderborn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#13
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H25/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/03
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A12/03
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H18/03
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A24/03
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H01/04
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H23/09
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A30/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A15/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
14-13
32-18
23-26
22-15
13-21
24-14
18-19
28-25
12-13
22-33
10-20
27-14
18-14
18-16
25-19
10-17
16-18
11-18
14-14
23-16
24-32
11-17
13-14
12-21
13-18
27-22
15-22
10-15
14-23
23-11
6-17
17-19
12-23
26-10
25-20
18-19
15-10
16-18
23-23
145.6Avg total
72.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.072.8140.8-4.850%
Season at home (2)73.577.5151.0-4.050%
Season away (2)62.568.0130.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)72.073.6145.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)68.674.0142.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.481.7155.1-8.211%
vs Similar (14)72.774.5147.2-1.843%
vs Weaker (7)81.073.6154.6+7.4100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H17/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H23/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A26/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H29/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A01/05
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H03/05
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H23/09
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A30/09
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H07/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A14/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
20-22
20-16
22-13
17-10
12-16
20-20
25-17
20-19
29-19
15-16
18-18
20-23
18-20
25-18
17-24
25-18
21-32
18-15
10-13
11-11
25-16
12-14
19-29
22-13
19-24
22-19
19-8
19-20
23-18
20-14
8-26
16-19
11-21
26-16
20-33
17-23
20-21
16-26
19-10
149.5Avg total
74.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.277.8152.0-3.525%
Season at home (2)77.576.5154.0+1.050%
Season away (2)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)74.974.6149.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.087.3164.3-10.30%
vs Similar (14)70.372.1142.4-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.570.0149.5+9.585%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
PaderbornChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H25/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/03
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A12/03
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/03
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/03
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/04
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H23/09
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A30/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H07/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/10
Pro A
70.3Avg total
33.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.374.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.439.477.8-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)33.537.170.6-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.570.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.639.270.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.340.176.4-3.833%-
vs Similar (14)34.337.772.0-3.436%-
vs Weaker (7)39.437.376.7+2.171%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H23/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A26/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/04
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A01/05
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/05
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/09
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/09
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H07/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/10
Pro A
75.9Avg total
37.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.174.7+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.874.2+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)37.937.475.3+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.175.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (14)35.938.374.2-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.534.172.5+4.477%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paderborn wins
7
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
04/03/17Paderborn v Chemnitz77-69
08/10/16Chemnitz v Paderborn81-67
11/03/16Chemnitz v Paderborn80-58
12/12/15Paderborn v Chemnitz73-90
13/03/15Paderborn v Chemnitz0-20
05/10/14Chemnitz v Paderborn90-96 OT
04/01/14Chemnitz v Paderborn65-78
20/10/13Paderborn v Chemnitz64-84
07/01/13Paderborn v Chemnitz66-70
29/09/12Chemnitz v Paderborn88-71
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/17AOrangeAcademy72-70
07/10/17HNurnberger80-72
30/09/17AHamburg53-66
23/09/17HCrailsheim Merlins67-83
01/04/17HMitteldeutscher71-79
24/03/17AKoln51-67
18/03/17HHanau88-63
12/03/17ACrailsheim Merlins72-91
04/03/17HChemnitz77-69
25/02/17HBaunach89-76
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/17AHamburg72-80
07/10/17HHanau73-89
30/09/17ACrailsheim Merlins70-78
23/09/17HNurnberger82-64
03/05/17HGotha67-70
01/05/17AGotha74-78
29/04/17HGotha80-85
26/04/17AGotha82-72
23/04/17HGotha74-63
17/04/17HTrier75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paderborn
Pro A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.073.562.5
Allowed / game72.877.568.0
Point differential-4.8-4.0-5.5
Avg total140.8151.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
Pro A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.277.571.0
Allowed / game77.876.579.0
Point differential-3.5+1.0-8.0
Avg total152.0154.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta440100%78.270.0+8.2
2 Phoenix Hagen54180%80.074.2+5.8
3 Crailsheim Merlins43175%83.273.0+10.2
4 Hamburg43175%71.065.0+6.0
5 Kirchheim43175%79.273.5+5.8
6 Heidelberg43175%72.068.5+3.5
7 Koln53260%73.869.2+4.6
8 PS Karlsruhe42250%81.077.8+3.2
9 Hanau42250%73.271.5+1.8
10 Paderborn42250%68.072.8-4.8
11 Trier41325%79.282.0-2.8
12 Chemnitz41325%74.277.8-3.5
13 Nurnberger41325%69.579.2-9.8
14 OrangeAcademy41325%71.881.8-10.0
15 Ehingen51420%71.479.8-8.4
16 Baunach5050%68.076.4-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paderborn2316122778
Chemnitz1923162684
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