PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Palmer Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 88-73
Projected total 161.1
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
Palencia
Spain
Vs
89%
■ PAL 89%■ PALM 11%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Palmer Basket
Spain
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Palmer Basket
21 Nov 2026
PAL v PALM
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
PAL85
PALM69
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Palencia host Palmer Basket in the Primera FEB. Pythia makes Palencia the favourite at 89% and projects 88-73, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Palencia are 7-1 this season (82.5 scored, 73.0 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Palmer Basket are 5-3 this season (86.5 scored, 84.5 allowed a game), form WLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
89.5%fair 1.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palmer Basket win
10.5%fair 9.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 75
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 75
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 75
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 75
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 75
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 75
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 75
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 64
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
59-85
59
85
-26
40avg 64
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 64
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 64
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 64
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
83avg 64
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
94-95
94
95
-1
88avg 64
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H15/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-21
28-15
13-25
5-19
16-22
23-21
15-23
29-22
22-21
25-23
19-28
22-17
22-16
10-23
18-25
18-15
21-18
23-17
22-19
18-22
24-23
23-25
29-20
26-26
19-20
25-28
24-21
25-18
16-17
20-23
19-21
23-12
14-20
18-20
29-32
13-19
22-22
21-15
24-15
165.5Avg total
82.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.584.5171.0+2.062%
Season at home (5)86.681.6168.2+5.080%
Season away (3)86.389.3175.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.183.4165.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.284.4156.5-12.216%
vs Similar (4)79.876.0155.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (7)85.682.7168.3+2.971%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5
Over 154.5
65.5%
Under 154.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
53.6%
Under 159.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
41.4%
Under 164.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Palencia total 77
Over 77
86.9%
Under 77
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palencia total 81
Over 81
76.1%
Under 81
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palencia total 85
Over 85
61.5%
Under 85
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palmer Basket total 74
Over 74
46.8%
Under 74
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palmer Basket total 78
Over 78
31.2%
Under 78
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palmer Basket total 82
Over 82
18.7%
Under 82
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Palencia -3
PAL -3
85.6%
PALM +3
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
PAL
No market prices yet.
PALM
No market prices yet.
Spread Palencia 0
PAL 0
89.5%
PALM 0
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
PAL
No market prices yet.
PALM
No market prices yet.
Spread Palencia +3
PAL +3
93.0%
PALM -3
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
PAL
No market prices yet.
PALM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
PalenciaPalmer Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/11
Primera FEB
76.6Avg total
38.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.1-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.879.4-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.9-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.276.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.879.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.442.478.8-6.126%-
vs Similar (4)40.036.076.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker (7)42.439.481.9+3.057%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
Palmer Basket
WLWLWWLWLL
#3
League position
#7
+6.0
Net rating
-5.6
110.8
Offensive rating
105.4
104.8
Defensive rating
111.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
29.9%
58.9%
Assist %
48.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 105.4Defence104.8 · 111.1Shooting50.3% · 49.4%3-point %35.4% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Palmer Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palencia wins
0
Palmer Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Palencia v Palmer Basket85-69
28/09/25Palmer Basket v Palencia69-78
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
Palmer Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAlbacete80-71
07/11/26AAlicante93-97 OT
01/11/26HOviedo80-79
25/10/26HTizona Burgos94-95
16/10/26AGipuzkoa94-90
11/10/26HZamora84-69
02/10/26ACaja 8772-81
25/09/26HFibwi Palma95-94
08/05/26HFibwi Palma59-85
03/05/26AEstudiantes70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game86.586.686.3
Allowed / game84.581.689.3
Point differential+2.0+5.0-3.0
Avg total171.0168.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.