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Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-80
13-25 22-20 25-16 24-19
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 5
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Ourense
24 Oct 2026
PAL84
OURE80
16 Jan 2026
PAL83
OURE77
14 Dec 2024
PAL114
OURE81
09 Apr 2023
PAL86
OURE80
03 Jan 2021
PAL87
OURE69
07 Feb 2020
PAL87
OURE80
30 Dec 2018
PAL76
OURE88
01 Apr 2018
PAL74
OURE72
16 Dec 2016
PAL83
OURE77
08 Apr 2016
PAL78
OURE65
16 Jan 2015
PAL62
OURE64
28 Feb 2014
PAL74
OURE72
11 Jan 2013
PAL73
OURE75
15 Apr 2011
PAL67
OURE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
90-52
90
52
+38
90avg 74
H15/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 74
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 74
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 74
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 74
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 74
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 74
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 74
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 74
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 74
A18/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-12
25-7
26-17
16-23
29-22
11-17
27-17
14-18
15-24
22-27
30-19
16-13
22-21
22-22
12-22
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
155.4Avg total
81.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.274.5157.8+8.875%
Season at home (2)80.571.5152.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)86.077.5163.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)81.673.8155.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)82.878.0160.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (3)85.788.3174.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.770.1153.8+13.688%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 69
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
43avg 69
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
89avg 69
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 69
A26/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 69
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 69
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 69
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 69
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 69
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 69
H16/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
12-19
15-24
18-18
12-25
9-24
23-21
13-24
16-23
26-22
21-34
27-14
16-22
21-19
14-10
19-22
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
162.4Avg total
79.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
Season at home (3)85.385.0170.3+0.333%
Season away (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.383.1162.4-3.830%
Last 5 (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.385.4162.6-8.114%
vs Similar (9)80.781.9162.6-1.244%
vs Weaker (7)82.177.3159.4+4.957%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
PalenciaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
75.4Avg total
40.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.835.277.0+6.683%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.535.379.8+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.174.3+4.080%-
Last 10 (10)40.934.575.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.078.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (3)45.036.381.3+8.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.934.676.5+7.484%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
82.5Avg total
39.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.7-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.841.782.4-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.480.9+0.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.082.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.043.082.0-4.036%-
vs Similar (9)41.040.381.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker (7)43.338.381.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.1
49.4%
53.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.2
34.1%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.418.8
77.0%
74.2%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.3
51.0%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.817.7
71.4%
74.2%17.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LWWWLWLLWW
Ourense
LLWWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#6
+10.6
Net rating
-5.2
111.3
Offensive rating
109.0
100.6
Defensive rating
114.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.1%
3-point %
29.9%
60.5%
Assist %
52.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 109.0Defence100.6 · 114.2Shooting50.2% · 48.7%3-point %34.1% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Palencia   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Palencia wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
21/04/26Ourense v Palencia90-93
16/01/26Palencia v Ourense83-77
23/04/25Ourense v Palencia94-84
14/12/24Palencia v Ourense114-81
09/04/23Palencia v Ourense86-80
11/12/22Ourense v Palencia66-82
03/01/21Palencia v Ourense87-69
24/10/20Ourense v Palencia75-68
07/02/20Palencia v Ourense87-80
20/10/19Ourense v Palencia72-81
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
24/05/26AFuenlabrada72-78
22/05/26AFuenlabrada81-88
17/05/26HFuenlabrada83-79
15/05/26HFuenlabrada90-52
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
26/04/26AHestia Menorca70-73
21/04/26HPalencia90-93
17/04/26AObradoiro CAB57-94
11/04/26HEstela67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.280.586.0
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+8.8+9.0+8.5
Avg total157.8152.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game86.585.390.0
Allowed / game85.285.086.0
Point differential+1.2+0.3+4.0
Avg total171.8170.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes440100%87.572.8+14.8
2 Alicante440100%86.074.8+11.2
3 Estela440100%85.577.2+8.2
4 Gran Canaria43175%89.574.0+15.5
5 Palencia43175%83.274.5+8.8
6 Palmer Basket43175%86.283.5+2.8
7 Ourense42250%86.585.2+1.2
8 Cordoba42250%73.272.2+1.0
9 Granada42250%81.281.5-0.2
10 Caja 8742250%76.076.8-0.8
11 Albacete42250%82.288.8-6.5
12 Oviedo42250%84.092.8-8.8
13 Fibwi Palma41325%82.087.2-5.2
14 Zamora41325%72.079.2-7.2
15 Gipuzkoa41325%83.591.5-8.0
16 Fuenlabrada4040%75.884.0-8.2
17 Tizona Burgos4040%87.896.8-9.0
18 Hestia Menorca4040%68.878.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1322252484
Ourense2520161980
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