Palmeiras vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 85-89

17-21 26-16 22-28 20-24

Position#10

Record11-11

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game77.5

Palmeiras

Flamengo 🏆

Position#2

Record15-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game79.3

NBBRound 23

Other2014-15

Meetings · Palmeiras v Flamengo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmeiras winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmeiras

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

79-65

+14

A23/12

NBB

Minas

76-80

-4

H06/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

79-68

+11

H08/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

101-98

101

H21/01

NBB

Limeira

79-69

+10

H23/01

NBB

Mogi

68-84

-16

H27/01

NBB

Sao Jose

99-86

+13

H29/01

NBB

Brasilia

#11

62-89

-27

A04/02

NBB

Cearense

#16

65-83

-18

A06/02

NBB

Macae

#12

83-67

+16

H10/02

NBB

20-14

18-20

21-22

20-9

22-19

18-19

26-23

10-19

22-19

17-15

18-15

23-21

24-21

25-25

29-31

15-20

17-19

28-16

19-14

17-20

14-20

21-21

16-23

24-16

26-18

25-32

24-20

19-17

12-19

17-24

14-29

13-16

11-21

9-23

32-23

16-14

25-10

22-26

20-17

158.0Avg total

79.1Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.5	77.5	155.0	+0.0	50%
Season at home (11)	83.7	77.7	161.5	+6.0	82%
Season away (11)	71.3	77.2	148.5	-5.9	18%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	78.9	158.0	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	81.8	157.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	80.0	154.8	-5.2	17%
vs Similar (19)	78.1	74.6	152.7	+3.4	58%
vs Weaker (5)	80.8	71.8	152.6	+9.0	80%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

97-81

+16

H15/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

98-73

+25

H17/01

NBB

Malvin

97-74

+23

A24/01

Americas League

Leones Quilpue

#15

110-77

110

+33

H25/01

Americas League

Pioneros

81-86

-5

A26/01

Americas League

Bauru

84-92

-8

A30/01

NBB

Minas

77-59

+18

H03/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

91-58

+33

H05/02

NBB

Franca

80-72

A08/02

NBB

Pinheiros

89-68

+21

A10/02

NBB

26-29

21-17

21-13

29-22

21-14

29-17

28-16

20-26

24-19

20-12

31-22

22-21

28-18

20-23

30-17

32-19

31-17

23-30

9-23

18-16

18-18

17-24

26-27

23-23

26-13

15-17

19-16

17-13

21-18

22-13

26-15

22-12

18-18

21-22

19-15

22-17

16-21

20-17

28-15

25-15

164.4Avg total

90.4Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.1	79.3	167.4	+8.8	71%
Season at home (9)	87.2	73.1	160.3	+14.1	89%
Season away (12)	88.8	84.0	172.8	+4.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	74.0	164.4	+16.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	69.8	154.0	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	79.7	83.0	162.7	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	87.3	77.4	164.7	+9.9	74%

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalmeirasFlamengo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.2	35.7	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	14.2	31.8	+3.4	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.5	41.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	17.7	34.0	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	17%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.4	67%	-

PalmeirasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

38-34

A23/12

NBB

Minas

40-38

H06/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

44-38

H08/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

47-42

H21/01

NBB

Limeira

32-39

-7

H23/01

NBB

Mogi

31-40

-9

H27/01

NBB

Sao Jose

50-34

+16

H29/01

NBB

Brasilia

#11

31-36

-5

A04/02

NBB

Cearense

#16

24-37

-13

A06/02

NBB

Macae

#12

41-24

+17

H10/02

NBB

74.0Avg total

37.8Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.7	72.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	33.4	73.8	+6.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.0	36.2	70.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.2	74.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	34.2	69.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.6	34.2	71.7	+3.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.2	32.4	70.6	+5.8	80%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

47-46

H15/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

50-31

+19

H17/01

NBB

Malvin

44-31

+13

A24/01

Americas League

Leones Quilpue

#15

48-41

H25/01

Americas League

Pioneros

54-47

A26/01

Americas League

Bauru

35-42

-7

A30/01

NBB

Minas

41-30

+11

H03/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

43-31

+12

H05/02

NBB

Franca

39-40

-1

A08/02

NBB

Pinheiros

36-38

-2

A10/02

NBB

81.4Avg total

43.7Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.2	80.2	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	36.7	77.5	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.9	39.3	82.2	+3.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	37.7	81.4	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.7	37.7	80.3	+5.0	67%	-

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.8	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.9	44.2	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.7	43.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	25.2	44.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	17.2	40.3	+6.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	17.9	41.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.6	38.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.5	21.5	45.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.1	80.3	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	40.7	84.4	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	39.5	75.6	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	47.6	87.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.8	41.5	80.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.9	39.9	79.8	+0.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	39.4	82.0	+3.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	39.8	84.3	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.1	36.1	80.2	+8.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.8	42.7	87.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	36.3	83.0	+10.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	33.6	79.0	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	43.3	40.3	83.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.9	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palmeiras wins

Flamengo wins

Date	Game	Score
27/11/14	Flamengo v Palmeiras	81-77
30/01/14	Flamengo v Palmeiras	84-76
21/11/13	Palmeiras v Flamengo	71-84
29/03/13	Flamengo v Palmeiras	81-61
19/01/13	Palmeiras v Flamengo	61-106

Palmeiraslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/15	H	Macae	83-67
06/02/15	A	Cearense	65-83
04/02/15	A	Brasilia	62-89
29/01/15	H	Sao Jose	99-86
27/01/15	H	Mogi	68-84
23/01/15	H	Limeira	79-69
21/01/15	H	Rio Claro	101-98
08/01/15	H	Unitri Universo	79-68
06/01/15	H	Minas	76-80
23/12/14	A	Pinheiros	79-65

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/15	A	Pinheiros	89-68
08/02/15	A	Franca	80-72
05/02/15	H	Unitri Universo	91-58
03/02/15	H	Minas	77-59
30/01/15	A	Bauru	84-92
26/01/15	A	Pioneros	81-86
25/01/15	H	Leones Quilpue	110-77
24/01/15	A	Malvin	97-74
17/01/15	H	Sorocabana	98-73
15/01/15	H	Paulistano	97-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmeiras

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LLWLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	50%	82%	18%
Points / game	77.5	83.7	71.3
Allowed / game	77.5	77.7	77.2
Point differential	+0.0	+6.0	-5.9
Avg total	155.0	161.5	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	45%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	75% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Flamengo

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	89%
Away	WLLWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	71%	89%	58%
Points / game	88.1	87.2	88.8
Allowed / game	79.3	73.1	84.0
Point differential	+8.8	+14.1	+4.8
Avg total	167.4	160.3	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	56%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bauru	20	18	2	90%	89.6	76.0	+13.7
2	Limeira	22	19	3	86%	82.9	76.1	+6.8
3	Flamengo	21	15	6	71%	88.1	79.3	+8.8
4	Mogi	22	15	7	68%	83.7	80.1	+3.6
5	Minas	22	14	8	64%	77.0	73.9	+3.1
6	Paulistano	21	11	10	52%	81.6	80.4	+1.1
7	Palmeiras	22	11	11	50%	77.5	77.5	+0.0
8	Franca	22	11	11	50%	77.5	77.9	-0.4
9	Brasilia	22	10	12	45%	81.2	81.0	+0.2
10	Pinheiros	22	10	12	45%	82.3	83.8	-1.5
11	Sao Jose	22	10	12	45%	76.0	78.5	-2.4
12	Macae	23	8	15	35%	77.0	82.1	-5.2
13	Unitri Universo	22	7	15	32%	76.4	83.3	-6.9
14	Cearense	22	6	16	27%	75.4	83.8	-8.4
15	Rio Claro	20	5	15	25%	77.5	81.6	-4.0
16	Sorocabana	21	3	18	14%	77.0	84.3	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palmeiras	17	26	22	20	85
Flamengo	21	16	28	24	89

← all games of the day

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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