Palmeiras vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 63-57

13-11 20-16 18-14 12-16

Position#11

Record14-17

FormLWLWW

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game81.5

Palmeiras 🏆

Minas

Position#14

Record10-21

FormWLWLL

Points / game70.9

Allowed / game75.5

NBBRound 34

Other2013-14

Meetings · Palmeiras v Minas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmeiras winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmeiras

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#10

98-91 OT

H08/02

NBB

Franca

62-95

-33

A13/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

77-79

-2

A15/02

NBB

Goiania

#16

86-63

+23

H25/02

NBB

Brasilia

82-94

-12

H27/02

NBB

Paulistano

67-76

-9

A13/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

84-79

A17/03

NBB

Sao Jose

79-92

-13

A25/03

NBB

Pinheiros

90-73

+17

H27/03

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

103-64

103

+39

H01/04

NBB

23-19

17-16

19-15

12-21

21-19

4-22

11-30

26-24

23-22

20-16

19-23

15-18

25-11

24-10

20-16

17-26

22-25

13-18

22-21

25-30

19-25

21-17

14-13

13-21

33-14

15-19

18-25

18-21

19-24

19-22

16-15

25-31

21-23

24-17

20-21

25-12

24-12

26-15

27-23

26-14

163.4Avg total

82.8Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	80.3	81.5	161.7	-1.2	45%
Season at home (15)	82.5	77.9	160.5	+4.6	67%
Season away (16)	78.1	84.8	162.9	-6.7	25%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	80.6	163.4	+2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	76.8	161.4	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.5	81.9	156.4	-7.4	25%
vs Similar (15)	81.7	84.3	165.9	-2.6	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	84.1	76.1	160.3	+8.0	57%

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Macae

#13

69-85

-16

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#12

79-81

-2

H25/02

NBB

Mogi

#10

94-93 OT

H27/02

NBB

Franca

65-84

-19

A06/03

NBB

Unitri Universo

61-82

-21

A08/03

NBB

Goiania

#16

75-74

H13/03

NBB

Brasilia

62-71

-9

H15/03

NBB

Paulistano

75-65

+10

H27/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

75-77

-2

H29/03

NBB

Pinheiros

82-90

-8

A01/04

NBB

15-19

16-29

20-19

18-18

16-24

20-19

22-11

21-27

23-22

13-20

28-16

14-20

22-21

15-25

15-24

13-14

19-19

13-20

15-24

14-19

15-24

16-7

24-21

20-22

12-26

24-16

15-17

11-12

16-9

17-19

22-18

20-19

18-10

16-18

23-25

18-24

19-23

10-24

24-24

29-19

153.9Avg total

73.7Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	70.9	75.5	146.4	-4.6	32%
Season at home (16)	74.9	74.3	149.2	+0.6	50%
Season away (15)	66.6	76.8	143.4	-10.2	13%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	80.2	153.9	-6.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	75.4	149.2	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.7	78.0	148.6	-7.3	24%
vs Similar (8)	71.8	71.8	143.5	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	73.0	62.0	135.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalmeirasMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	16.1	38.1	+5.9	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	16.6	32.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.2	15.9	33.2	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	17.3	32.6	-1.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.3	17.1	33.5	-0.8	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.6	15.9	31.5	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	10.0	33.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.9	18.5	38.3	+1.4	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.1	34.7	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.1	19.8	34.9	-4.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.3	18.8	35.1	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	0%	-

PalmeirasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#10

40-35

H08/02

NBB

Franca

25-41

-16

A13/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

43-38

A15/02

NBB

Goiania

#16

49-21

+28

H25/02

NBB

Brasilia

35-43

-8

H27/02

NBB

Paulistano

40-42

-2

A13/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

48-33

+15

A17/03

NBB

Sao Jose

38-46

-8

A25/03

NBB

Pinheiros

45-40

H27/03

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

50-27

+23

H01/04

NBB

77.9Avg total

41.3Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.7	77.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	34.9	76.7	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	40.5	78.2	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.6	77.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.6	81.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.4	38.2	74.6	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.6	35.1	77.7	+7.4	71%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Macae

#13

31-48

-17

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#12

36-43

-7

H25/02

NBB

Mogi

#10

36-42

-6

H27/02

NBB

Franca

37-46

-9

A06/03

NBB

Unitri Universo

32-39

-7

A08/03

NBB

Goiania

#16

31-31

H13/03

NBB

Brasilia

36-42

-6

H15/03

NBB

Paulistano

33-28

H27/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

34-28

H29/03

NBB

Pinheiros

29-47

-18

A01/04

NBB

72.9Avg total

33.5Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.8	34.9	67.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.8	33.1	67.9	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.4	37.1	67.5	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	39.4	72.9	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	35.2	67.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	32.7	35.9	68.6	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	32.4	32.9	65.2	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.3	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.8	20.0	37.7	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	18.8	38.6	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	24.7	47.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	24.2	43.9	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.9	23.4	45.3	-1.6	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.2	79.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	43.6	81.8	-5.5	12%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.7	44.3	83.9	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	41.6	41.0	82.6	+0.6	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.2	76.1	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	38.9	76.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	39.6	75.4	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.3	77.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.2	81.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.1	39.7	75.8	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.4	38.9	78.2	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	31.0	66.0	+4.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palmeiras wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/14	Minas v Palmeiras	85-75
16/02/13	Palmeiras v Minas	96-87
08/12/12	Minas v Palmeiras	89-77

Palmeiraslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/14	H	Vila Velha	103-64
27/03/14	H	Pinheiros	90-73
25/03/14	A	Sao Jose	79-92
17/03/14	A	Sorocabana	84-79
13/03/14	A	Paulistano	67-76
27/02/14	H	Brasilia	82-94
25/02/14	H	Goiania	86-63
15/02/14	A	Unitri Universo	77-79
13/02/14	A	Franca	62-95
08/02/14	H	Mogi	98-91 OT

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/14	A	Pinheiros	82-90
29/03/14	H	Sorocabana	75-77
27/03/14	H	Paulistano	75-65
15/03/14	H	Brasilia	62-71
13/03/14	H	Goiania	75-74
08/03/14	A	Unitri Universo	61-82
06/03/14	A	Franca	65-84
27/02/14	H	Mogi	94-93 OT
25/02/14	H	Cearense	79-81
15/02/14	A	Macae	69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmeiras

NBB 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	45%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	45%	67%	25%
Points / game	80.3	82.5	78.1
Allowed / game	81.5	77.9	84.8
Point differential	-1.2	+4.6	-6.7
Avg total	161.7	160.5	162.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	75% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Minas

NBB 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	32%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	LLLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	32%	50%	13%
Points / game	70.9	74.9	66.6
Allowed / game	75.5	74.3	76.8
Point differential	-4.6	+0.6	-10.2
Avg total	146.4	149.2	143.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	25%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	57% (7)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	12%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	31	25	6	81%	84.6	75.9	+8.8
2	Paulistano	32	23	9	72%	83.9	78.1	+5.8
3	Brasilia	32	21	11	66%	86.6	77.8	+8.8
4	Limeira	32	21	11	66%	78.1	73.4	+4.6
5	Pinheiros	32	20	12	62%	83.2	81.2	+2.1
6	Unitri Universo	32	19	13	59%	82.7	80.2	+2.6
7	Sao Jose	32	19	13	59%	82.6	81.5	+1.1
8	Bauru	32	18	14	56%	82.6	81.3	+1.2
9	Cearense	31	15	16	48%	77.1	78.7	-1.6
10	Franca	32	15	17	47%	80.2	78.5	+1.6
11	Palmeiras	31	14	17	45%	80.3	81.5	-1.2
12	Mogi	32	14	18	44%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
13	Macae	32	13	19	41%	80.3	81.4	-1.1
14	Minas	31	10	21	32%	70.9	75.5	-4.6
15	Sorocabana	32	10	22	31%	75.9	84.2	-8.3
16	Goiania	32	9	23	28%	77.2	82.6	-5.4
17	Vila Velha	32	4	28	12%	70.5	86.7	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palmeiras	13	20	18	12	63
Minas	11	16	14	16	57

← all games of the day

Palmeiras vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature