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Papagou vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-82
26-22 13-14 24-24 18-22
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.4
Vs
33%
67%
■ PAPA 33%■ PAN 67%
Pythia win probability
Projected 76-81
Projected total 157.9
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game70.0
GreeceA2Round 6
Other2026-27
Meetings · Papagou v Panionios
02 Nov 2026
PAPA81
PAN82
21 Apr 2024
PAPA73
PAN75
11 Nov 2023
PAPA88
PAN82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Papagou will host Panionios on 2 November 2026 in the A2 competition, and the Pythia model foresees a high-scoring affair, projecting 157.9 points as the total. Papagou enters with a 2-3 record, averaging 75.6 points and conceding 80.4, while Panionios is undefeated 5-0, scoring 84.8 and allowing only 70.0, a stark contrast that fuels the model's expectation of a high total. In their last five games Papagou won twice and lost three, with a recent win over Anagennisi 75-69 at home, whereas Panionios has won all five, including a 103-85 victory over Koroivos at home. The head-to-head history shows Panionios winning four of five encounters, most recently 75-73 on 21 April 2024. Pythia rates Panionios the favourite with a 67% chance of winning versus 33% for Papagou, and projects a 76-81 scoreline. The home team's 7.5-point line carries a 58% probability of covering, while the 151.5-point total has a 64% chance of going over; overtime is a 5% possibility.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Papagou winLost
32.9%fair 3.04
Best odds3.75
Implied26.5%
Edge+6.4pp
Panionios winWon
67.1%fair 1.49
Best odds1.31
Implied73.5%
Edge-6.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PapagouGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPapagou
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A04/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
83-63
83
63
+20
no box
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
no box
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
no box
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
no box
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H24/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-18
17-14
15-19
19-20
20-14
22-12
22-17
20-28
23-14
22-13
16-16
27-9
19-22
21-22
25-21
16-23
18-21
18-15
20-28
25-25
20-29
19-29
28-28
21-26
21-16
14-12
15-20
21-28
22-24
12-10
14-19
15-15
20-20
19-17
17-15
13-14
18-24
31-16
13-15
155.4Avg total
78.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.680.4156.0-4.840%
Season at home (3)78.787.0165.7-8.333%
Season away (2)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.576.9155.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.580.0153.5-6.525%
vs Similar (20)76.573.9150.4+2.565%
vs Weaker (6)82.571.3153.8+11.267%
This opponent (Panionios) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
64avg 68
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 68
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 68
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 68
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 68
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#13
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#16
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#12
W
87-60
87
60
+27
no box
H24/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
13-23
18-28
23-14
19-18
21-22
10-18
22-27
28-20
23-22
29-11
23-24
7-21
22-17
13-21
15-12
15-19
16-12
18-20
16-24
11-19
20-16
16-9
23-7
23-15
25-24
15-12
20-26
30-21
20-30
23-17
30-17
24-19
23-16
27-15
7-27
16-8
30-13
14-22
27-17
153.1Avg total
78.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
Season at home (3)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.564.0139.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.974.2153.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.587.4159.8-14.912%
vs Similar (8)86.583.1169.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Over 146.5
Over 146.5
75.1%
Under 146.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151.5 · main lineActual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.1pp
Under 151.5
35.5%
@ 1.88-14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.74
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
52.6%
Under 156.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Papagou total 68.5Actual: Papagou over 68.5
Over 68.5
77.7%
Under 68.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 72.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 72.5
Over 72.5
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.5pp
Under 72.5
35.5%
@ 1.85-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Papagou total 76.5Actual: Papagou over 76.5
Over 76.5
49.3%
Under 76.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios total 76.5Actual: Panionios over 76.5
Over 76.5
68.6%
Under 76.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios total 80.5 · main lineActual: Panionios over 80.5
Over 80.5
53.6%
@ 1.91+4.5pp
Under 80.5
46.4%
@ 1.83-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.75
Panionios total 84.5Actual: Panionios under 84.5
Over 84.5
38.1%
Under 84.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Papagou +4.5Actual: Papagou +4.5
PAPA +4.5
47.0%
PAN -4.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
No market prices yet.
PAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Papagou +7.5 · main lineActual: Papagou +7.5
PAPA +7.5
58.4%
@ 1.86+8.2pp
PAN -7.5
41.6%
@ 1.88-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
PAN
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.83
Spread Papagou +10.5Actual: Papagou +10.5
PAPA +10.5
68.7%
PAN -10.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
No market prices yet.
PAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PapagouPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PapagouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H24/10
A2
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (30)39.538.377.8+1.253%67%
Last 30 at home (16)39.041.280.2-2.238%81%
Last 30 away (14)40.035.075.0+5.071%50%
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.640%70%
Last 5 (5)39.244.283.4-5.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.044.084.0-4.025%100%
vs Similar (20)38.438.176.5+0.355%55%
vs Weaker (6)42.735.277.8+7.567%83%
This opponent (Panionios) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#13
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#12
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H24/10
A2
77.4Avg total
40.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (30)38.541.880.3-3.340%60%
Last 30 at home (16)39.341.480.7-2.144%56%
Last 30 away (14)37.642.279.8-4.636%64%
Last 10 (10)40.037.477.4+2.640%50%
Last 5 (5)44.436.280.6+8.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.143.378.4-8.218%53%
vs Similar (8)42.142.084.1+0.175%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.436.280.6+8.260%60%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Papagou win
PAPA win
no forecast
@ 2.87
PAN win
no forecast
@ 1.43
1st half Spread Papagou +3.5 · main lineActual: Papagou +3.5
PAPA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
PAN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 74.5 · main lineActual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Papagou 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Panionios 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Panionios under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: PAPA + total 74.5
PAPA & over
no forecast
@ 5.25
PAPA & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half: Draw + total 74.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Panionios (regulation)
PAPA
no forecast
@ 3.00
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
PAN
no forecast
@ 1.48

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAPA win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
PAN win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAPA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 147.573.1%1.84
1xBet
1.84
----+24.5ppWon
Over 14872.5%1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
----+14.4ppWon
Over 148.571.0%1.67
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.61
---+14.2ppWon
Over 14970.4%1.64
Pinnacle
1.64
----+13.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.8pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Papagoutheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.6
49.0%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
-12.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Papagou wins
4
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Papagou v Panionios73-75
18/04/24Panionios v Papagou89-56
21/02/24Panionios v Papagou76-73
06/12/23Panionios v Papagou88-83
11/11/23Papagou v Panionios88-82
Papagoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAnagennisi75-69
21/10/26AKomotini71-67
16/10/26HProteas Voulas69-81
10/10/26AGlafkos Esperos71-74
03/10/26HPanerythraikos92-111
03/05/26HVikos72-87
01/05/26ANE Megaridas92-74
15/04/26AChalkida81-71
08/04/26HChalkida83-63
04/04/26AVikos79-72
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAmyntas87-60
21/10/26AAnagennisi81-77
17/10/26HKoroivos103-85
10/10/26HKomotini83-77
05/10/26AKronos Agiou Dimitriou70-51
25/04/26AAris65-75
19/04/26HAEK Athens57-71
04/04/26HIraklis103-77
29/03/26AAS Karditsas72-85
22/03/26HPanathinaikos68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Papagou
A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game75.678.771.0
Allowed / game80.487.070.5
Point differential-4.8-8.3+0.5
Avg total156.0165.7141.5
Over 151.520%33%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panionios
A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.891.075.5
Allowed / game70.074.064.0
Point differential+14.8+17.0+11.5
Avg total154.8165.0139.5
Over 151.560%67%50%
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lavrio660100%85.868.7+17.2
2 Panionios550100%84.870.0+14.8
3 NE Megaridas64267%78.270.0+8.2
4 Proteas Voulas64267%74.069.7+4.3
5 Peiramatiko Machites64267%82.379.0+3.3
6 Psychikou64267%74.774.7+0.0
7 Sofadon63350%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chalkida63350%81.882.0-0.2
9 Panerythraikos63350%89.590.8-1.3
10 Komotini63350%75.279.0-3.8
11 Papagou52340%75.680.4-4.8
12 Amyntas62433%64.777.7-13.0
13 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou61517%72.875.3-2.5
14 Anagennisi61517%74.880.7-5.8
15 Glafkos Esperos61517%73.882.3-8.5
16 Koroivos61517%76.785.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Papagou2613241881
Panionios2214242282
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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