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Paulistano vs Joinville Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 109-97
28-29 24-13 27-24 30-31
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#13
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.7
BrazilNBB
Other2018-19
Meetings · Paulistano v Joinville
10 Dec 2018
PAUL109
JOIN97
14 Jan 2018
PAUL75
JOIN64
26 Nov 2012
PAUL95
JOIN71
12 Jan 2012
PAUL90
JOIN79
18 Feb 2011
PAUL85
JOIN92
09 Apr 2009
PAUL66
JOIN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Joinville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A20/10
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H22/10
NBB
Minas
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H24/10
NBB
Botafogo
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A03/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A24/11
NBB
Bauru
#9
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
22-23
25-17
20-24
26-12
14-17
16-19
16-12
15-15
17-26
26-24
23-11
12-20
18-12
21-17
23-28
23-13
16-10
13-24
24-13
15-15
16-21
28-21
23-14
16-23
34-18
26-17
21-26
21-11
17-18
29-27
21-26
19-21
17-18
17-34
20-16
15-14
12-27
9-28
28-16
156.6Avg total
79.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.577.5156.9+2.064%
Season at home (5)82.677.4160.0+5.280%
Season away (6)76.877.5154.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)79.976.7156.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)80.882.2163.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.086.5171.5-1.550%
vs Similar (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.373.2157.5+11.073%
This opponent (Joinville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JoinvilleBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A17/10
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A19/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
H22/10
NBB
Minas
#8
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H01/11
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#9
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H23/11
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A08/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
25-26
11-22
17-16
14-17
28-15
17-16
15-18
10-22
17-19
21-22
20-24
18-18
12-19
17-30
26-18
20-26
17-21
17-27
18-24
22-11
23-22
14-20
13-16
20-22
27-17
18-8
24-9
19-18
18-19
20-27
20-20
15-24
9-18
21-15
22-24
29-27
18-20
17-20
36-35
157.1Avg total
76.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.578.7154.3-3.236%
Season at home (5)75.678.8154.4-3.240%
Season away (6)75.578.7154.2-3.233%
Last 10 (10)76.780.4157.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)81.078.4159.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.080.4148.4-12.414%
vs Similar (8)73.871.8145.5+2.075%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
PaulistanoJoinville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H22/10
NBB
Minas
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/10
NBB
Botafogo
#6
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A03/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/11
NBB
Bauru
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A06/12
NBB
72.3Avg total
37.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.134.475.5+6.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.633.575.1+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.635.275.9+5.456%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.372.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (2)35.038.573.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.433.775.1+7.765%-
This opponent (Joinville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JoinvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/10
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A19/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H22/10
NBB
Minas
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H01/11
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/11
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/12
NBB
77.6Avg total
38.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.573.4-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.338.674.9-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)33.638.472.1-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.539.973.3-6.418%-
vs Similar (8)38.834.873.5+4.075%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Joinville wins
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18ABauru64-85
24/11/18AFranca73-89
20/11/18HSao Jose88-82
16/11/18HFlamengo97-84
07/11/18APinheiros82-71
03/11/18AVasco76-60
30/10/18ABotafogo74-77
24/10/18HMinas81-76
22/10/18HCearense72-60
20/10/18ACorinthians Paulista92-83
Joinvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18ASao Jose100-102
06/12/18AMogi67-81
23/11/18HBrasilia77-84
13/11/18HBauru89-56
07/11/18HCearense72-69
01/11/18HCorinthians Paulista72-98
29/10/18AMinas73-85
22/10/18HPinheiros68-87
19/10/18AVasco74-66
17/10/18AFlamengo75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game79.582.676.8
Allowed / game77.577.477.5
Point differential+2.0+5.2-0.7
Avg total156.9160.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Joinville
NBB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game75.575.675.5
Allowed / game78.778.878.7
Point differential-3.2-3.2-3.2
Avg total154.3154.4154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca1210283%87.178.8+8.3
2 Flamengo129375%80.269.8+10.5
3 Pinheiros118373%82.577.2+5.4
4 Mogi128467%88.282.6+5.6
5 Paulistano117464%79.577.5+2.0
6 Minas106460%79.676.9+2.7
7 Botafogo126650%75.378.2-2.8
8 Joinville114736%75.578.7-3.2
9 Vasco114736%71.981.3-9.4
10 Corinthians Paulista124833%78.079.1-1.1
11 Sao Jose124833%79.782.5-2.8
12 Cearense124833%71.174.6-3.5
13 Bauru124833%74.478.2-3.8
14 Brasilia102820%77.486.9-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano28242730109
Joinville2913243197
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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