Paulistano vs Joinville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 75-64

25-15 13-16 23-15 14-18

Position#2

Record9-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game76.7

Paulistano 🏆

Joinville

Position#12

Record3-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game68.6

Allowed / game78.3

NBB

Other2017-18

Meetings · Paulistano v Joinville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Joinville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

72-67

H14/11

NBB

Minas

93-86 OT

H16/11

NBB

Pinheiros

65-81

-16

A06/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

96-84

+12

H09/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

84-66

+18

H11/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

78-75

A17/12

NBB

Botafogo

#13

93-74

+19

A21/12

NBB

Vasco

#11

77-71

A23/12

NBB

Mogi

84-80

A03/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#14

92-67

+25

H08/01

NBB

21-15

9-14

26-13

16-25

20-19

22-9

16-24

19-25

16-22

19-13

12-21

18-25

32-13

23-24

17-23

24-24

17-12

20-17

18-20

29-17

21-17

16-22

22-14

19-22

21-27

25-14

26-11

21-22

32-11

8-22

12-23

25-15

18-10

28-24

27-23

11-23

30-11

17-14

18-15

27-27

158.5Avg total

83.4Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.5	76.7	158.2	+4.8	75%
Season at home (5)	87.4	74.0	161.4	+13.4	100%
Season away (7)	77.3	78.6	155.9	-1.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	75.1	158.5	+8.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	73.4	158.2	+11.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	77.4	79.8	157.2	-2.4	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.6	76.1	158.7	+6.5	73%

This opponent (Joinville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Joinville

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

75-86

-11

A02/12

NBB

Minas

52-69

-17

A04/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

77-75

H06/12

NBB

Mogi

61-67

-6

H09/12

NBB

Pinheiros

82-90

-8

H11/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

68-88

-20

A20/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

66-80

-14

A22/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

63-72

-9

A28/12

NBB

Vasco

#11

74-94

-20

H08/01

NBB

Botafogo

#13

68-63

H10/01

NBB

27-24

12-18

13-26

23-18

12-24

12-18

15-10

13-17

19-16

12-18

26-22

20-19

8-23

14-13

19-12

26-14

22-26

14-23

20-27

17-18

11-25

27-25

13-20

19-15

13-26

20-17

14-22

11-16

14-15

18-16

20-25

29-14

18-36

13-22

14-22

24-22

14-13

8-14

22-14

147.0Avg total

68.6Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	68.6	78.3	146.9	-9.8	25%
Season at home (7)	71.3	77.9	149.1	-6.6	43%
Season away (5)	64.8	79.0	143.8	-14.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	78.4	147.0	-9.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	79.4	147.2	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	72.8	85.8	158.6	-12.9	11%
vs Similar (9)	74.1	78.0	152.1	-3.9	33%
vs Weaker (2)	77.0	66.0	143.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoJoinville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.9	38.1	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	15.7	38.5	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	15.2	39.6	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.7	16.6	38.3	+5.1	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.1	16.9	36.9	+3.2	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	21.9	38.3	-5.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	21.8	35.4	-8.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.3	23.3	39.6	-7.1	16%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.5	33.5	+4.5	100%	-

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

30-29

H14/11

NBB

Minas

42-28

+14

H16/11

NBB

Pinheiros

35-35

A06/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

55-37

+18

H09/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

37-29

H11/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

37-39

-2

A17/12

NBB

Botafogo

#13

46-41

A21/12

NBB

Vasco

#11

40-33

A23/12

NBB

Mogi

46-34

+12

A03/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#14

47-25

+22

H08/01

NBB

74.5Avg total

41.5Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	33.0	74.5	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	34.4	77.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	35.9	39.7	75.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.7	33.5	75.2	+8.3	80%	-

This opponent (Joinville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JoinvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

39-42

-3

A02/12

NBB

Minas

24-42

-18

A04/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

31-34

-3

H06/12

NBB

Mogi

28-42

-14

H09/12

NBB

Pinheiros

48-40

H11/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

28-43

-15

A20/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

32-41

-9

A22/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

25-31

-6

A28/12

NBB

Vasco

#11

47-50

-3

H08/01

NBB

Botafogo

#13

38-35

H10/01

NBB

74.0Avg total

34.0Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	42.0	77.2	-6.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.1	42.2	77.2	-7.1	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	41.7	77.1	-6.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.4	44.4	79.8	-9.1	11%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.6	38.8	73.3	-4.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	33.0	70.0	+4.0	50%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.6	37.4	+0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.3	38.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.4	38.2	-4.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.9	44.4	+0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	78%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	15.5	31.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.7	81.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	40.4	81.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	40.9	80.4	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.2	81.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.0	80.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	41.5	40.1	81.7	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.2	41.3	80.5	-2.1	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.2	78.4	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	41.6	77.6	-5.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	38.4	73.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.4	73.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.5	41.4	78.8	-3.9	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Joinville wins

Date	Game	Score
02/02/13	Joinville v Paulistano	63-71
26/11/12	Paulistano v Joinville	95-71
29/03/12	Joinville v Paulistano	68-67
12/01/12	Paulistano v Joinville	90-79
18/02/11	Paulistano v Joinville	85-92
28/11/10	Joinville v Paulistano	95-76
09/04/09	Paulistano v Joinville	66-71
18/02/09	Joinville v Paulistano	67-48

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/18	H	Campo Mourao	92-67
03/01/18	A	Mogi	84-80
23/12/17	A	Vasco	77-71
21/12/17	A	Botafogo	93-74
17/12/17	A	Sorocabana	78-75
11/12/17	H	Universo/Vitoria	84-66
09/12/17	H	Cearense	96-84
06/12/17	A	Pinheiros	65-81
16/11/17	H	Minas	93-86 OT
14/11/17	H	Flamengo	72-67

Joinvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/18	H	Botafogo	68-63
08/01/18	H	Vasco	74-94
28/12/17	A	Caxias do Sul	63-72
22/12/17	A	Cearense	66-80
20/12/17	A	Universo/Vitoria	68-88
11/12/17	H	Pinheiros	82-90
09/12/17	H	Mogi	61-67
06/12/17	H	Sorocabana	77-75
04/12/17	A	Minas	52-69
02/12/17	A	Flamengo	75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	75%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	75%	100%	57%
Points / game	81.5	87.4	77.3
Allowed / game	76.7	74.0	78.6
Point differential	+4.8	+13.4	-1.3
Avg total	158.2	161.4	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	60%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	20%	0%

Joinville

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	WLLLW	43%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	25%	43%	0%
Points / game	68.6	71.3	64.8
Allowed / game	78.3	77.9	79.0
Point differential	-9.8	-6.6	-14.2
Avg total	146.9	149.1	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	11	9	2	82%	82.1	75.6	+6.5
2	Franca	13	10	3	77%	81.0	71.2	+9.8
3	Mogi	13	10	3	77%	74.3	69.6	+4.7
4	Paulistano	12	9	3	75%	81.5	76.7	+4.8
5	Bauru	13	9	4	69%	81.2	75.7	+5.5
6	Pinheiros	14	9	5	64%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
7	Caxias do Sul	13	8	5	62%	75.2	71.7	+3.5
8	Minas	12	7	5	58%	74.2	75.0	-0.8
9	Universo/Vitoria	12	6	6	50%	74.7	74.2	+0.5
10	Cearense	12	4	8	33%	72.4	78.2	-5.8
11	Vasco	13	4	9	31%	76.3	77.3	-1.0
12	Joinville	12	3	9	25%	68.6	78.3	-9.8
13	Botafogo	12	2	10	17%	65.2	73.6	-8.4
14	Sorocabana	13	2	11	15%	72.7	77.5	-4.8
15	Campo Mourao	13	2	11	15%	67.2	77.0	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	25	13	23	14	75
Joinville	15	16	15	18	64

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Joinville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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