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Pavlodar vs Karaganda Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 09:00
Postponed
Position#5
Record9-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#4
Record16-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game65.2
KazakhstanPremier League
Other2020-21
Meetings · Pavlodar v Karaganda
18 Nov 2025
PAVL60
KARA80
24 Mar 2021
PAVL v KARA
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
PAVL66
KARA70
31 Jan 2021
PAVL56
KARA86
18 Dec 2020
PAVL46
KARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#4
L
46-75
46
75
-29
H18/12
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A30/01
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
56-86
56
86
-30
H31/01
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A01/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
A02/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A03/02
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
H23/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
100-96
100
96
+4
A24/02
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H25/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A23/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-16
16-22
13-18
11-19
29-16
16-13
11-21
19-19
21-14
12-23
14-22
9-27
14-16
18-17
14-22
19-14
22-19
15-21
18-28
10-28
23-20
21-29
20-18
26-28
25-14
16-18
21-24
17-23
28-17
27-25
14-19
31-35
14-15
13-22
15-16
24-17
14-26
20-16
21-22
12-18
153.3Avg total
71.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.780.1155.8-4.441%
Season at home (11)74.180.9155.0-6.827%
Season away (11)77.379.3156.5-2.055%
Last 10 (10)71.182.2153.3-11.120%
Last 5 (5)80.885.4166.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.984.6156.5-12.812%
vs Similar (5)76.677.4154.0-0.860%
vs Weaker (9)90.372.2162.6+18.1100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#5
W
75-46
75
46
+29
A18/12
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A30/01
Premier League
Pavlodar
#5
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A31/01
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H02/02
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A03/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H23/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A24/02
Premier League
Pavlodar
#5
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A25/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
95-50
95
50
+45
H23/03
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A24/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-6
22-16
18-13
19-11
14-23
18-9
14-12
11-21
14-21
23-12
22-14
27-9
13-24
30-9
31-8
25-23
21-15
13-19
28-11
23-11
11-20
22-19
17-26
35-17
14-13
18-29
12-25
19-16
15-14
22-13
16-15
17-24
22-12
32-10
19-13
22-15
16-9
31-15
21-17
15-23
143.0Avg total
79.8Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.365.2142.5+12.070%
Season at home (6)83.568.8152.3+14.767%
Season away (17)75.163.9139.0+11.171%
Last 10 (10)79.863.2143.0+16.680%
Last 5 (5)79.269.0148.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.386.3155.7-17.033%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.562.0140.5+16.475%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
PavlodarKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#4
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H18/12
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A30/01
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/01
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A01/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/02
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A24/02
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H25/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/03
Premier League
74.9Avg total
37.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.078.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.239.776.9-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.736.379.1+6.460%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.974.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.441.576.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (5)38.437.075.4+1.460%-
vs Weaker (9)49.032.381.3+16.7100%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#5
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A18/12
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/01
Premier League
Pavlodar
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A31/01
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H02/02
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/02
Premier League
Pavlodar
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H23/03
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A24/03
Premier League
69.5Avg total
38.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.333.370.7+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.838.076.8+0.833%-
Last 30 away (17)36.831.768.5+5.165%-
Last 10 (10)38.730.869.5+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.871.4+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.043.371.3-15.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.731.970.6+6.965%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
4
Karaganda wins
DateGameScore
25/02/21Pavlodar v Karaganda66-70
31/01/21Pavlodar v Karaganda56-86
18/12/20Pavlodar v Karaganda46-75
24/11/20Karaganda v Pavlodar76-59
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21ABars Petropavlovsk67-82
25/02/21HKaraganda66-70
24/02/21ASDYUSH Almaty100-96
23/02/21HAtyrau 281-84 OT
03/02/21AKazygurt90-95
02/02/21ABars Petropavlovsk65-96
01/02/21ABars Petropavlovsk65-69
31/01/21HKaraganda56-86
30/01/21ASDYUSH Almaty75-69
18/12/20HKaraganda46-75
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/21AAtyrau 283-64
23/03/21HSDYUSH Almaty95-50
25/02/21APavlodar70-66
24/02/21AKazygurt63-83
23/02/21HBars Petropavlovsk85-82
03/02/21AAtyrau 285-56
02/02/21HSDYUSH Almaty99-64
31/01/21APavlodar86-56
30/01/21AKazygurt57-65
18/12/20APavlodar75-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Premier League 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWLLLL27%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%27%55%
Points / game75.774.177.3
Allowed / game80.180.979.3
Point differential-4.4-6.8-2.0
Avg total155.8155.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Karaganda
Premier League 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23617
Win %70%67%71%
Points / game77.383.575.1
Allowed / game65.268.863.9
Point differential+12.0+14.7+11.1
Avg total142.5152.3139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk2321291%81.461.0+20.4
2 Kazygurt2217577%82.675.5+7.0
3 BC Almaty 21410471%73.267.9+5.3
4 Karaganda2316770%77.365.2+12.0
5 Pavlodar2291341%75.780.1-4.4
6 Atyrau 22371630%70.877.0-6.2
7 Aktobe 2141137%59.986.8-26.9
8 SDYUSH Almaty231224%72.087.7-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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