PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

PeKa II W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 53-80
14-15 9-21 9-23 21-21
Position#16
Record6-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.1
Allowed / game64.0
vs
LePy W 🏆
Finland
Position#7
Record10-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game62.3
Allowed / game60.3
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Steveco-Areena
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PeKa II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PeKa II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
LePy W
#7
W
70-47
70
47
+23
74avg 50
A18/12
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
59avg 50
A11/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
L
49-95
49
95
-46
no box
H15/01
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
55-56
55
56
-1
43avg 50
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
L
60-63
60
63
-3
59avg 50
H29/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
66-42
66
42
+24
54avg 50
A08/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
39avg 50
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
61-81
61
81
-20
49avg 50
H22/02
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
L
61-67
61
67
-6
45avg 50
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
L
36-56
36
56
-20
28avg 50
A08/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
21-13
8-10
16-13
11-13
15-19
19-13
12-13
8-25
15-14
13-29
13-27
17-11
12-12
16-19
10-14
15-23
13-16
18-7
14-17
17-10
18-8
20-9
11-15
15-22
16-6
8-23
12-14
15-22
18-17
14-23
14-19
14-16
13-15
22-20
12-16
11-10
9-15
14-20
2-11
119.6Avg total
56.6Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)59.164.0123.1-4.933%
Season at home (8)59.973.2133.1-13.425%
Season away (10)58.556.6115.1+1.940%
Last 10 (10)56.663.0119.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)55.062.2117.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.871.2134.0-8.424%
vs Similar (8)58.061.9119.9-3.925%
vs Weaker (5)78.067.6145.6+10.480%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball W
#10
W
58-52
58
52
+6
44avg 51
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
47-70
47
70
-23
28avg 51
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 51
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
73-53
73
53
+20
76avg 51
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 51
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
75-41
75
41
+34
64avg 51
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#5
L
57-77
57
77
-20
45avg 51
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
50-63
50
63
-13
36avg 51
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
69-41
69
41
+28
60avg 51
H08/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
19-12
15-16
13-6
11-25
13-21
10-8
13-16
19-26
18-15
13-12
18-20
4-16
19-14
14-18
5-4
15-12
23-15
17-12
18-14
16-9
13-13
17-12
21-19
16-9
20-13
20-9
19-10
15-15
16-27
13-11
13-24
17-17
15-21
5-18
13-7
11-11
19-8
21-10
18-12
118.1Avg total
60.6Scored
57.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.360.3122.6+2.056%
Season at home (9)61.957.2119.1+4.756%
Season away (9)62.763.3126.0-0.756%
Last 10 (10)60.657.5118.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)63.655.0118.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)54.661.5116.1-6.836%
vs Similar (6)59.063.8122.8-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)70.451.8122.2+18.585%
This opponent (PeKa II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
PeKa II WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PeKa II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LePy W
#7
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A18/12
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A11/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H15/01
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H29/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A08/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/02
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A08/03
I Divisioona Women
59.6Avg total
29.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.266.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.534.368.8+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)31.032.163.1-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)29.829.859.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)29.228.257.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.235.468.6-2.247%-
vs Similar (8)29.829.459.1+0.438%-
vs Weaker (5)35.832.067.8+3.860%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball W
#10
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H08/03
I Divisioona Women
62.7Avg total
31.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.429.160.5+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.628.959.5+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)32.329.461.7+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)31.031.762.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.660.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.829.557.4-1.736%-
vs Similar (6)31.533.565.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.426.861.2+7.669%-
This opponent (PeKa II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PeKa II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PeKa II W: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.114.7
41.9%
41.2%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.0
22.5%
25.8%15.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.3
72.4%
63.9%11.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.914.0
39.0%
41.2%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.88.1
24.0%
25.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws12.58.5
68.0%
63.9%8.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PeKa II W
LLLLWLLLLW
LePy W
WLLWWWLLLW
#16
League position
#7
-6.4
Net rating
+1.0
64.3
Offensive rating
68.3
70.7
Defensive rating
67.3
38.7%
Effective FG%
37.5%
38.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.4%
26.9%
Turnover %
24.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
41.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
22.5%
3-point %
24.0%
64.0%
Assist %
84.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence64.3 · 68.3Defence70.7 · 67.3Shooting38.7% · 37.5%3-point %22.5% · 24.0%Ball care26.9% · 24.6%Off. rebounds31.5% · 41.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ PeKa II W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PeKa II W wins
1
LePy W wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25LePy W v PeKa II W47-70
19/12/24LePy W v PeKa II W91-58
PeKa II Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AFeeniks Basket W36-56
01/03/26AHuima W61-67
22/02/26HTapiolan Honka II W61-81
13/02/26APuhuttaret W51-65
08/02/26ALappeenranta W66-42
29/01/26HPantterit W60-63
25/01/26APyrinto II W55-56
15/01/26HHNMKY W49-95
11/01/26AHuima W57-58
18/12/25ALePy W70-47
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HHuima W69-41
01/03/26ATapiolan Honka II W50-63
13/02/26ATurun NMKY W57-77
08/02/26HHyPo W75-41
01/02/26AHNMKY W67-53
25/01/26HPantterit W73-53
18/01/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W42-52
08/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W68-73
18/12/25HPeKa II W47-70
07/12/25ALahti Basketball W58-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PeKa II W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game59.159.958.5
Allowed / game64.073.256.6
Point differential-4.9-13.4+1.9
Avg total123.1133.1115.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%12%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game62.361.962.7
Allowed / game60.357.263.3
Point differential+2.0+4.7-0.7
Avg total122.6119.1126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Espoo Team II W1916384%85.658.1+27.5
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1914574%73.562.2+11.3
3 Puhuttaret W1914574%67.858.9+8.9
4 Turun NMKY W1913668%73.960.1+13.8
5 Pyrinto II W1913668%65.759.7+6.1
6 Tapiolan Honka II W1912763%71.964.6+7.3
7 Pantterit W1912763%67.863.9+3.9
8 LePy W1810856%62.360.3+2.0
9 HNMKY W1991047%63.661.6+2.0
10 Lahti Basketball W1881044%63.467.7-4.3
11 Feeniks Basket W1981142%56.962.1-5.2
12 Huima W1971237%62.571.4-8.9
13 PeKa II W1861233%59.164.0-4.9
14 Jyvaskyla BA W1861233%57.769.4-11.8
15 Lappeenranta W1851328%60.071.3-11.3
16 HyPo W1941521%57.975.3-17.4
17 Salon Vilpas W171166%55.578.6-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PeKa II W14992153
LePy W1521232180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.