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LePy W vs PeKa II W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-58
29-20 21-14 19-16 22-8
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game62.2
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game69.6
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v PeKa II W
18 Dec 2025
LEPY47
PEKA70
19 Dec 2024
LEPY91
PEKA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PeKa II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
W
87-49
87
49
+38
84avg 53
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
66-54
66
54
+12
51avg 53
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
47-64
47
64
-17
33avg 53
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
77-61
77
61
+16
65avg 53
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
49avg 53
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
57-67
57
67
-10
47avg 53
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
45-71
45
71
-26
33avg 53
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
81-44
81
44
+37
83avg 53
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
45avg 53
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
55-58
55
58
-3
48avg 53
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-15
23-9
21-10
20-13
17-13
12-14
17-14
13-14
15-15
3-21
16-14
18-11
14-21
22-13
23-16
18-21
10-15
17-15
15-23
17-16
13-16
12-20
15-15
13-20
8-19
15-10
9-22
23-8
28-13
17-19
13-4
12-14
17-19
15-19
14-15
18-17
13-15
12-12
12-14
124.2Avg total
63.3Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)60.762.2122.9-1.633%
Season at home (3)61.365.0126.3-3.733%
Season away (6)60.360.8121.2-0.533%
Last 10 (10)63.360.9124.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)59.261.4120.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)56.764.2120.8-7.533%
vs Similar (9)58.762.6121.2-3.922%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)69.759.4129.1+10.267%
This opponent (PeKa II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeKa II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
51-69
51
69
-18
39avg 55
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
67-56
67
56
+11
62avg 55
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
54-73
54
73
-19
49avg 55
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
58-52
58
52
+6
50avg 55
H31/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 55
A10/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 55
H14/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
L
60-64
60
64
-4
42avg 55
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
56-76
56
76
-20
52avg 55
H28/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
63-93
63
93
-30
55avg 55
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
73avg 55
H12/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
9-19
10-17
21-19
11-17
12-14
23-14
21-11
21-20
9-13
10-17
14-23
2-18
27-14
14-16
15-4
14-16
16-12
19-19
25-22
16-24
21-23
27-11
14-21
13-18
13-16
15-16
19-14
16-23
16-23
6-18
18-12
17-29
14-16
19-23
13-25
25-12
15-16
21-17
20-20
133.8Avg total
64.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.269.6133.8-5.440%
Season at home (5)64.868.2133.0-3.440%
Season away (5)63.671.0134.6-7.440%
Last 10 (10)64.269.6133.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)67.675.4143.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.374.3139.7-9.033%
vs Similar (2)55.566.5122.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (2)69.558.5128.0+11.0100%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
LePy WPeKa II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
64.0Avg total
33.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.065.1-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.930.961.8-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)33.134.968.0-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.064.0+2.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.463.8+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.435.265.6-4.725%-
vs Similar (9)30.631.462.0-0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.831.867.6+4.056%-
This opponent (PeKa II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeKa II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A10/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H28/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H12/12
I Divisioona Women
65.5Avg total
29.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)29.835.765.5-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (5)31.637.268.8-5.620%-
Last 30 away (5)28.034.262.2-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)29.835.765.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.073.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.538.368.8-7.817%-
vs Similar (2)23.033.556.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker (2)34.530.064.5+4.550%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 62.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.515.2
38.5%
42.5%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.2
25.4%
25.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.710.6
63.5%
65.4%10.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PeKa II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PeKa II W: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.416.9
44.0%
42.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.1
27.0%
25.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.98.4
60.4%
65.4%8.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LLWLLLWLWW
PeKa II W
WLLLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#12
+3.2
Net rating
-6.2
80.1
Offensive rating
80.2
76.9
Defensive rating
86.4
38.3%
Effective FG%
42.6%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
26.9%
Turnover %
26.9%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.4%
3-point %
27.0%
72.3%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence80.1 · 80.2Defence76.9 · 86.4Shooting38.3% · 42.6%3-point %25.4% · 27.0%Ball care26.9% · 26.9%Off. rebounds38.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ LePy W   ■ PeKa II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
0
PeKa II W wins
No previous meetings.
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24APantterit W55-58
08/12/24HJyvaskyla BA W58-67
01/12/24AEspoo Team II W81-44
24/11/24ATapiolan Honka II W45-71
17/11/24APyrinto II W57-67
10/11/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W60-74
03/11/24AOulun NMKY W77-61
20/10/24ALahti Basketball W47-64
13/10/24HHyPo W66-54
27/03/24HKorihait W87-49
PeKa II Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HHyPo W81-65
08/12/24ATapiolan Honka II W63-93
28/11/24HLahti Basketball W56-76
24/11/24ALappeenranta W60-64
14/11/24HPuhuttaret W78-79
10/11/24ATurun NMKY W74-69
31/10/24HFeeniks Basket W58-52
27/10/24APantterit W54-73
20/10/24AEspoo Team II W67-56
13/10/24HJyvaskyla BA W51-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game60.761.360.3
Allowed / game62.265.060.8
Point differential-1.6-3.7-0.5
Avg total122.9126.3121.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PeKa II W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game64.264.863.6
Allowed / game69.668.271.0
Point differential-5.4-3.4-7.4
Avg total133.8133.0134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W98189%81.161.8+19.3
2 Tapiolan Honka II W98189%81.462.8+18.7
3 Puhuttaret W86275%74.565.4+9.1
4 Pyrinto II W96367%75.860.1+15.7
5 Lappeenranta W85362%68.564.1+4.4
6 Turun NMKY W106460%78.271.3+6.9
7 Jyvaskyla BA W106460%70.463.9+6.5
8 Lahti Basketball W95456%73.363.9+9.4
9 Espoo Team II W95456%70.468.9+1.6
10 Pantterit W105550%66.764.2+2.5
11 PeKa II W104640%64.269.6-5.4
12 LePy W93633%60.762.2-1.6
13 Oulun NMKY W82625%63.680.4-16.8
14 Feeniks Basket W100100%54.782.2-27.5
15 HyPo W9090%56.488.1-31.7
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W2921192291
PeKa II W201416858
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