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Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 74-66
22-14 15-13 20-16 17-23
Position#3
Record13-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game72.1
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record8-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.2
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 23
Other2021-22
Meetings · Penarol v Defensor
24 Jan 2023
PENA68
DEFE70
11 Mar 2022
PENA74
DEFE66
04 May 2021
PENA1
DEFE20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#15
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A12/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A14/02
Liga A
Urupan
#4
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#15
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H18/02
Liga A
Olimpia Kings
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
San Martin
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H02/03
Liga A
Olivol Mundial
#13
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#18
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H05/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#12
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A08/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A10/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
17-22
28-14
15-18
16-14
25-18
17-25
18-16
24-14
18-13
18-22
11-23
22-22
24-14
22-21
32-20
19-16
20-16
18-19
24-23
15-18
21-19
29-19
26-33
18-10
15-14
17-21
11-7
11-20
30-14
15-26
17-11
18-21
15-14
13-20
22-16
20-25
13-17
17-16
21-25
152.0Avg total
77.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.572.1147.6+3.462%
Season at home (10)77.871.6149.4+6.260%
Season away (11)73.572.5146.0+0.964%
Last 10 (10)77.274.8152.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)72.873.2146.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.078.0149.0-7.050%
vs Similar (13)81.776.8158.5+4.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.670.5151.1+10.187%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olivol Mundial
#13
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-18
22-30
21-17
21-22
15-23
25-22
27-26
22-17
19-18
20-22
14-27
13-10
23-17
15-17
16-24
12-9
28-25
20-16
20-18
17-23
21-17
27-16
21-25
21-22
16-23
24-23
12-15
18-25
22-9
25-24
22-17
15-22
17-18
15-21
26-24
21-19
16-13
12-15
24-19
160.0Avg total
80.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.478.2153.7-2.838%
Season at home (10)77.978.1156.0-0.250%
Season away (11)73.278.4151.5-5.227%
Last 10 (10)80.179.9160.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.478.0156.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.880.5155.3-5.730%
vs Similar (17)75.273.8149.0+1.453%
vs Weaker (3)76.372.3148.7+4.067%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
PenarolDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#15
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A12/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A14/02
Liga A
Urupan
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H18/02
Liga A
Olimpia Kings
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
San Martin
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/03
Liga A
Olivol Mundial
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
Liga A
73.4Avg total
38.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.773.8+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.934.674.5+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.934.872.8+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.373.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.469.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)39.034.873.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.233.974.1+6.387%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olivol Mundial
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
75.3Avg total
38.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.936.374.2+1.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.374.9+4.371%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.373.6-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.275.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.275.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.936.972.8-1.040%-
vs Similar (16)39.136.575.6+2.662%-
vs Weaker (3)38.033.771.7+4.3100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
1
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
14/12/21Defensor v Penarol78-80
04/05/21Penarol v Defensor1-20
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22AObera TC71-83
08/03/22AComunicaciones Mercedes68-71
05/03/22HArgentino73-71
03/03/22AOlivol Mundial61-52
02/03/22HSan Martin91-89
19/02/22AOlimpia Kings81-74
18/02/22HObras Sanitarias100-77
16/02/22HUrupan71-72
14/02/22ASan Lorenzo76-73
12/02/22AObras Sanitarias80-86
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/22HNacional73-66
19/02/22AUrupan73-85
15/02/22HHebraica y Macabi87-75
10/02/22AGoes73-83
08/02/22HAguada86-81
04/02/22AMalvin80-68
31/01/22AOlivol Mundial67-68
27/01/22HOlimpia Kings75-84
15/01/22ATrouville88-93
11/01/22HBigua99-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game75.577.873.5
Allowed / game72.171.672.5
Point differential+3.4+6.2+0.9
Avg total147.6149.4146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)40% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game75.477.973.2
Allowed / game78.278.178.4
Point differential-2.8-0.2-5.2
Avg total153.7156.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Goes2118386%79.369.2+10.1
2 Bigua2118386%88.281.4+6.9
3 Urupan2116576%86.580.6+5.9
4 Aguada2115671%81.074.8+6.3
5 Penarol2113862%75.572.1+3.4
6 Malvin2112957%80.982.2-1.3
7 Olimpia Kings22101245%81.880.9+0.9
8 Trouville2191243%84.886.0-1.2
9 Nacional2181338%83.684.8-1.2
10 Defensor2181338%75.478.2-2.8
11 Hebraica y Macabi2281436%81.986.0-4.0
12 Olivol Mundial2271532%76.379.9-3.6
13 Urunday2251723%77.585.9-8.4
14 Capitol2121910%78.889.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2215201774
Defensor1413162366
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