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Penn State vs Butler Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 68-62
33-26 35-36
Position#105
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game66.5
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Butler
USA
Position#256
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game53.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Butler winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
33-39
22-28
45-32
31-49
39-44
30-29
25-31
21-29
37-30
24-28
36-23
24-33
47-35
31-35
30-34
44-32
49-36
40-29
50-36
134.6Avg total
68.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.566.5158.0+25.0100%
Season at home (2)91.566.5158.0+25.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.666.0134.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.064.2139.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.667.2131.8-2.636%
vs Similar (12)63.761.4125.1+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.267.8146.0+10.575%
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#134
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/02
NCAA
DePaul
#210
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A16/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A18/02
NCAA
Providence
#13
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Marquette
#134
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#155
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Providence
#13
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A10/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-27
43-52
35-35
38-36
30-46
27-45
33-20
31-44
34-34
26-32
33-30
23-34
24-38
35-40
26-26
42-42
31-31
30-34
46-21
43-32
141.9Avg total
69.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.053.0142.0+36.0100%
Season at home (1)89.053.0142.0+36.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.972.0141.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)70.868.4139.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)62.670.4133.1-7.828%
vs Similar (3)72.354.7127.0+17.7100%
vs Weaker (2)75.052.5127.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -5.3-5.3
Penn StateButler
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/11
NCAA
61.5Avg total
29.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.430.759.1-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.530.861.2-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)25.930.756.6-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)29.532.061.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.464.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)27.431.859.1-4.436%-
vs Similar (12)27.029.256.2-2.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.031.867.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#134
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H12/02
NCAA
DePaul
#210
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Providence
#13
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#155
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A09/03
NCAA
Providence
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H07/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.531.562.0-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.128.961.0+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)29.033.862.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.430.864.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.261.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.132.861.9-3.832%-
vs Similar (3)36.724.761.3+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)38.525.063.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Butler wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HLoyola Maryland90-65
08/11/22HWinthrop93-68
12/03/22APurdue61-69
11/03/22AOhio State71-68
10/03/22HMinnesota60-51
06/03/22ARutgers58-59
04/03/22AIllinois55-60
28/02/22HNebraska70-93
26/02/22HNorthwestern67-60
22/02/22AMaryland61-67
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/22HNew Orleans89-53
10/03/22AProvidence61-65
09/03/22AXavier89-82 OT
05/03/22HVillanova59-78
26/02/22AMarquette56-64
24/02/22ASeton Hall60-66
20/02/22HProvidence70-71 OT
18/02/22ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-91
16/02/22ADePaul73-71
12/02/22HMarquette85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game66.566.5-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Butler
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+36.0+36.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana220100%94.551.0+43.5
2 Iowa220100%100.564.5+36.0
3 Illinois220100%86.552.5+34.0
4 Ohio State220100%86.554.5+32.0
5 Rutgers330100%78.750.0+28.7
6 Penn State220100%91.566.5+25.0
7 Purdue220100%73.548.5+25.0
8 UCLA220100%84.559.5+25.0
9 Northwestern220100%74.050.0+24.0
10 Maryland220100%71.050.0+21.0
11 Wisconsin220100%72.554.5+18.0
12 Nebraska220100%77.063.5+13.5
13 Washington220100%72.059.5+12.5
14 Michigan220100%81.569.5+12.0
15 Minnesota32167%62.061.0+1.0
16 USC21150%78.566.0+12.5
17 Oregon21150%68.057.0+11.0
18 Michigan State21150%68.059.5+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Butler110100%89.053.0+36.0
2 Seton Hall220100%79.548.0+31.5
3 Uconn220100%85.555.5+30.0
4 Creighton220100%84.060.5+23.5
5 Xavier220100%91.068.5+22.5
6 Georgetown220100%95.573.5+22.0
7 St. John's (N.Y.)220100%90.070.0+20.0
8 Marquette220100%88.071.0+17.0
9 Providence220100%77.565.0+12.5
10 DePaul330100%75.764.3+11.3
11 Villanova32167%68.362.0+6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State333568
Butler263662
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