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Illinois vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 60-55
29-30 31-25
Position#66
Record20-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#234
Record12-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois v Penn State
12 Dec 2026
ILLI v PENN
upcoming
08 Jan 2025
ILLI91
PENN52
09 Mar 2023
ILLI76
PENN79
10 Dec 2022
ILLI59
PENN74
03 Mar 2022
ILLI60
PENN55
19 Jan 2021
ILLI79
PENN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
22-35
24-19
35-37
42-38
38-29
34-36
40-21
38-36
30-48
44-30
29-36
24-33
35-37
34-22
45-52
37-36
46-50
46-38
47-47
142.4Avg total
72.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.968.0144.9+8.871%
Season at home (14)81.066.1147.1+14.979%
Season away (14)72.769.9142.6+2.864%
Last 10 (10)72.470.0142.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)77.476.2153.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Similar (12)73.372.6145.9+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.661.8139.4+15.981%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-46
40-28
32-34
34-32
13-18
36-33
34-34
23-24
36-36
34-40
24-24
38-34
27-19
40-27
28-28
33-39
22-28
45-32
31-49
39-44
131.9Avg total
65.0Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)65.365.7131.0-0.446%
Season at home (15)69.164.5133.6+4.767%
Season away (11)60.167.4127.5-7.318%
Last 10 (10)65.066.9131.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)65.464.8130.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.968.2134.2-2.333%
vs Similar (16)67.163.6130.7+3.462%
vs Weaker (2)65.069.0134.0-4.050%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +2.9+2.9
IllinoisPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.730.366.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.029.366.3+7.781%-
Last 30 away (14)34.131.465.6+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.866.5+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.868.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.537.077.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar (12)34.432.266.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.028.164.1+7.969%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
13-18
13
18
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#217
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H28/02
NCAA
58.0Avg total
26.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.931.260.1-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.830.661.5+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)26.531.958.4-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)26.431.658.0-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)26.429.656.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.432.459.8-5.033%-
vs Similar (16)29.930.160.0-0.131%-
vs Weaker (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
0
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
20/01/21Illinois v Penn State79-65
23/12/20Penn State v Illinois81-98
18/02/20Penn State v Illinois56-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22AMichigan93-85
25/02/22HOhio State83-86
19/02/22AMichigan State79-74
17/02/22ARutgers59-70
13/02/22HNorthwestern73-66
09/02/22APurdue68-84
05/02/22AIndiana74-57
03/02/22HWisconsin80-67
29/01/22ANorthwestern59-56
26/01/22HMichigan State56-55
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/22HNebraska70-93
26/02/22HNorthwestern67-60
22/02/22AMaryland61-67
17/02/22HMinnesota67-46
15/02/22HMichigan State62-58
13/02/22AMinnesota70-76
09/02/22HMichigan57-58
05/02/22AWisconsin49-51
01/02/22HIowa90-86 OT
27/01/22AIndiana57-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%79%64%
Points / game76.981.072.7
Allowed / game68.066.169.9
Point differential+8.8+14.9+2.8
Avg total144.9147.1142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%67%18%
Points / game65.369.160.1
Allowed / game65.764.567.4
Point differential-0.4+4.7-7.3
Avg total131.0133.6127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC3025583%73.465.7+7.8
2 Wisconsin2924583%70.966.2+4.7
3 Purdue3024680%81.168.8+12.3
4 UCLA2822679%76.864.2+12.5
5 Iowa2921872%83.770.9+12.8
6 Illinois2820871%76.968.0+8.8
7 Ohio State2718967%74.068.1+5.9
8 Michigan State29191066%72.167.9+4.1
9 Indiana29181162%71.665.3+6.2
10 Oregon29181162%72.267.9+4.3
11 Rutgers29171259%68.065.4+2.6
12 Michigan28161257%73.269.3+3.9
13 Maryland30151550%71.070.3+0.7
14 Washington28141450%70.073.0-2.9
15 Northwestern28131546%72.968.8+4.1
16 Minnesota28131546%67.869.3-1.6
17 Penn State26121446%65.365.7-0.4
18 Nebraska3092130%73.479.0-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois293160
Penn State302555
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