Penn State vs Harvard Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 84-80

35-38 49-42

Position#298

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game62.8

Penn State 🏆

Harvard

Position#133

Record4-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game61.6

NCAA

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Harvard winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington

#287

73-75

-2

H15/02

NCAA

Nebraska

#158

89-72

+17

H19/02

NCAA

Minnesota

#226

69-60

A22/02

NCAA

Indiana

#132

78-83

-5

A27/02

NCAA

Maryland

#35

64-68

-4

H01/03

NCAA

Wisconsin

#43

86-75

+11

A08/03

NCAA

Fairfield

#105

76-68

H04/11

NCAA

New Haven Chargers

#250

87-43

+44

A08/11

NCAA

Navy

#24

80-71

H11/11

NCAA

La Salle

#346

83-69

+14

H15/11

NCAA

38-34

35-41

50-27

39-45

28-26

41-34

39-37

39-46

36-30

28-38

35-40

51-35

37-37

39-31

41-21

46-22

38-32

42-39

42-29

41-40

146.9Avg total

78.5Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.5	62.8	144.2	+18.8	100%
Season at home (3)	79.7	69.3	149.0	+10.3	100%
Season away (1)	87.0	43.0	130.0	+44.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	68.4	146.9	+10.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	65.2	147.6	+17.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	76.5	69.2	145.7	+7.3	50%
vs Similar (14)	74.6	76.9	151.5	-2.2	43%
vs Weaker (10)	78.3	69.5	147.8	+8.8	60%

This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Harvard

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Princeton

#99

71-76

-5

A22/02

NCAA

Penn

#331

79-78 OT

A22/02

NCAA

Brown

#184

52-59

-7

H28/02

NCAA

Yale

#42

74-69

H01/03

NCAA

Dartmouth

#203

66-58

H08/03

NCAA

MIT

#462

79-50

+29

H07/11

NCAA

New Hampshire Wildcats

#340

86-75

+11

H09/11

NCAA

Northeastern

#358

60-77

-17

H12/11

NCAA

Army

#318

75-52

+23

A15/11

NCAA

Marist

#106

56-54

A16/11

NCAA

29-41

42-35

40-28

31-43

33-27

19-32

38-27

36-42

40-31

26-27

34-18

45-32

32-48

54-27

27-34

33-43

36-31

39-21

23-24

33-30

134.6Avg total

69.8Scored

64.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	71.2	61.6	132.8	+9.6	80%
Season at home (3)	75.0	67.3	142.3	+7.7	67%
Season away (2)	65.5	53.0	118.5	+12.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	69.8	64.8	134.6	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	61.6	132.8	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	63.6	71.7	135.4	-8.1	29%
vs Similar (8)	70.6	69.6	140.2	+1.0	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	73.2	71.0	144.2	+2.2	67%

This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Penn StateHarvard

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington

#287

38-34

H15/02

NCAA

Nebraska

#158

50-27

+23

H19/02

NCAA

Minnesota

#226

28-26

A22/02

NCAA

Indiana

#132

39-37

A27/02

NCAA

Maryland

#35

36-30

H01/03

NCAA

Wisconsin

#43

35-40

-5

A08/03

NCAA

Fairfield

#105

37-37

H04/11

NCAA

New Haven Chargers

#250

41-21

+20

A08/11

NCAA

Navy

#24

38-32

H11/11

NCAA

La Salle

#346

42-29

+13

H15/11

NCAA

69.7Avg total

38.4Scored

31.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	34.1	70.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	31.2	68.9	+6.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.9	37.8	71.8	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	31.3	69.7	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	31.8	70.4	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.3	34.0	71.3	+3.3	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.8	35.7	71.5	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.8	31.8	67.6	+4.0	80%	-

This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Princeton

#99

29-41

-12

A22/02

NCAA

Penn

#331

40-28

+12

A22/02

NCAA

Brown

#184

33-27

H28/02

NCAA

Yale

#42

38-27

+11

H01/03

NCAA

Dartmouth

#203

40-31

H08/03

NCAA

MIT

#462

34-18

+16

H07/11

NCAA

New Hampshire Wildcats

#340

32-48

-16

H09/11

NCAA

Northeastern

#358

27-34

-7

H12/11

NCAA

Army

#318

36-31

A15/11

NCAA

Marist

#106

23-24

-1

A16/11

NCAA

64.1Avg total

33.2Scored

30.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.6	33.8	66.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	32.3	66.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.1	35.1	66.1	-4.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	30.9	64.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	31.0	61.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	32.1	34.3	66.4	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	33.5	33.1	66.6	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	32.5	34.8	67.3	-2.3	50%	-

This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.3	39.6	80.9	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.6	37.8	76.4	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.1	77.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	33.4	77.2	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.2	35.2	74.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.9	41.1	80.0	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.5	37.7	80.2	+4.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	36.1	71.3	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.3	36.1	71.4	-0.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	36.1	71.3	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	33.2	69.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	30.6	71.4	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	31.5	37.4	68.9	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.1	36.5	73.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	39.3	35.0	74.3	+4.3	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penn State wins

Harvard wins

No previous meetings.

Penn Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/25	H	La Salle	83-69
11/11/25	H	Navy	80-71
08/11/25	A	New Haven Chargers	87-43
04/11/25	H	Fairfield	76-68
08/03/25	A	Wisconsin	86-75
01/03/25	H	Maryland	64-68
27/02/25	A	Indiana	78-83
22/02/25	A	Minnesota	69-60
19/02/25	H	Nebraska	89-72
15/02/25	H	Washington	73-75

Harvardlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/25	A	Marist	56-54
15/11/25	A	Army	75-52
12/11/25	H	Northeastern	60-77
09/11/25	H	New Hampshire Wildcats	86-75
07/11/25	H	MIT	79-50
08/03/25	H	Dartmouth	66-58
01/03/25	H	Yale	74-69
28/02/25	H	Brown	52-59
22/02/25	A	Penn	79-78 OT
22/02/25	A	Princeton	71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	81.5	79.7	87.0
Allowed / game	62.8	69.3	43.0
Point differential	+18.8	+10.3	+44.0
Avg total	144.2	149.0	130.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	33%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Harvard

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	71.2	75.0	65.5
Allowed / game	61.6	67.3	53.0
Point differential	+9.6	+7.7	+12.5
Avg total	132.8	142.3	118.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illinois	4	4	0	100%	97.8	66.8	+31.0
2	Wisconsin	4	4	0	100%	93.2	65.0	+28.2
3	Indiana	4	4	0	100%	92.0	64.8	+27.2
4	USC	3	3	0	100%	98.3	71.3	+27.0
5	Iowa	4	4	0	100%	89.5	64.8	+24.8
6	Northwestern	4	4	0	100%	84.2	60.2	+24.0
7	Nebraska	4	4	0	100%	89.0	67.0	+22.0
8	Penn State	4	4	0	100%	81.5	62.8	+18.8
9	Purdue	4	4	0	100%	88.2	71.8	+16.5
10	Ohio State	4	4	0	100%	87.8	71.5	+16.2
11	Michigan	3	3	0	100%	91.0	75.0	+16.0
12	Rutgers	4	4	0	100%	79.2	64.0	+15.2
13	Michigan State	4	4	0	100%	77.8	65.2	+12.5
14	Oregon	4	4	0	100%	74.2	66.5	+7.8
15	Minnesota	5	4	1	80%	76.0	62.4	+13.6
16	Washington	5	4	1	80%	85.4	72.0	+13.4
17	UCLA	5	4	1	80%	76.2	63.2	+13.0
18	Maryland	4	3	1	75%	79.0	69.2	+9.8

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Ivy League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Harvard	5	4	1	80%	71.2	61.6	+9.6
2	Yale	4	3	1	75%	89.2	73.2	+16.0
3	Columbia	4	3	1	75%	68.2	65.8	+2.5
4	Penn	4	2	2	50%	90.2	84.0	+6.2
5	Cornell	4	2	2	50%	87.5	84.2	+3.2
6	Princeton	5	2	3	40%	73.6	78.2	-4.6
7	Dartmouth	4	1	3	25%	80.2	77.5	+2.8
8	Brown	5	1	4	20%	67.6	72.4	-4.8