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Penn State vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-68
36-30 28-38
Position#185
Record15-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#35
Record21-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penn State v Maryland
30 Jan 2027
PENN v MARY
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
PENN64
MARY68
10 Mar 2024
PENN85
MARY69
05 Mar 2023
PENN65
MARY64
05 Feb 2021
PENN55
MARY50
10 Dec 2019
PENN76
MARY69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H05/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A08/02
NCAA
USC
#215
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A12/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
37-33
35-35
37-41
33-43
31-40
25-21
36-48
31-44
23-34
31-40
36-52
38-34
35-41
50-27
39-45
28-26
41-34
39-37
39-46
146.6Avg total
70.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.473.3152.7+6.052%
Season at home (18)85.170.1155.2+15.072%
Season away (11)70.078.6148.6-8.618%
Last 10 (10)70.276.4146.6-6.220%
Last 5 (5)75.276.4151.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.082.5158.5-6.50%
vs Similar (14)74.177.3151.4-3.236%
vs Weaker (14)83.767.2150.9+16.571%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H16/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
32-31
38-35
53-35
38-37
41-41
32-31
44-37
41-32
29-41
49-38
41-43
42-35
41-40
47-51
54-24
37-27
51-44
23-21
32-37
151.7Avg total
80.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.667.0149.6+15.775%
Season at home (20)84.563.1147.7+21.490%
Season away (8)77.976.6154.5+1.238%
Last 10 (10)80.271.5151.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)83.472.0155.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)55.572.5128.0-17.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.066.7149.7+16.379%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
Penn StateMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H05/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/02
NCAA
USC
#215
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.371.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.431.570.9+7.978%-
Last 30 away (12)32.738.671.2-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.069.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.870.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)35.136.471.6-1.336%-
vs Weaker (14)38.431.169.5+7.286%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H26/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.230.971.1+9.383%-
Last 30 at home (21)41.428.670.0+12.886%-
Last 30 away (9)37.336.373.7+1.078%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.272.6+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.474.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)24.534.058.5-9.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.330.772.0+10.686%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penn State wins
3
Maryland wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Penn State v Maryland85-69
07/12/23Maryland v Penn State81-75 OT
05/03/23Penn State v Maryland65-64
11/02/23Maryland v Penn State74-68
22/02/22Maryland v Penn State67-61
08/03/21Maryland v Penn State61-66
06/02/21Penn State v Maryland55-50
11/12/19Penn State v Maryland76-69
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AIndiana78-83
22/02/25AMinnesota69-60
19/02/25HNebraska89-72
15/02/25HWashington73-75
12/02/25AUSC67-92
08/02/25AUCLA54-78
05/02/25HMinnesota61-69
30/01/25HOhio State64-83
27/01/25AMichigan72-76
25/01/25AIowa75-76
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HMichigan State55-58
21/02/25HUSC88-71
16/02/25HIowa101-75
14/02/25ANebraska83-75
09/02/25HRutgers90-81
07/02/25AOhio State70-73
30/01/25HWisconsin76-68
26/01/25AIndiana79-78
24/01/25AIllinois91-70
19/01/25HNebraska69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLLLW72%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %52%72%18%
Points / game79.485.170.0
Allowed / game73.370.178.6
Point differential+6.0+15.0-8.6
Avg total152.7155.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%61%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)33% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maryland
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28208
Win %75%90%38%
Points / game82.684.577.9
Allowed / game67.063.176.6
Point differential+15.7+21.4+1.2
Avg total149.6147.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%65%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2823582%78.266.8+11.4
2 Wisconsin2822679%81.970.5+11.4
3 Michigan2822679%79.870.6+9.2
4 Maryland2821775%82.667.0+15.7
5 Oregon2820871%76.671.8+4.8
6 UCLA2920969%74.465.0+9.4
7 Purdue2920969%77.470.0+7.4
8 Illinois29181162%83.273.3+9.9
9 Nebraska28171161%74.671.2+3.5
10 Indiana28171161%75.872.8+3.0
11 Ohio State29161355%78.572.3+6.2
12 Northwestern29161355%73.369.0+4.3
13 Penn State29151452%79.473.3+6.0
14 Iowa29151452%82.279.1+3.1
15 USC28141450%76.974.8+2.1
16 Minnesota28141450%68.369.5-1.1
17 Rutgers29141548%76.976.5+0.4
18 Washington27121544%72.175.1-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State362864
Maryland303868
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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