Penn State vs Penn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 86-66

34-31 52-35

Position#185

Record10-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game67.1

Penn State 🏆

Penn

Position#331

Record4-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game63.2

Allowed / game73.3

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

St. Francis (PA)

#236

92-62

+30

H13/11

NCAA

Virginia Tech

#286

86-64

+22

H16/11

NCAA

IPFW

#128

102-89

102

+13

H21/11

NCAA

Fordham

#313

85-66

+19

H25/11

NCAA

Clemson

#22

67-75

-8

A26/11

NCAA

Buffalo

#333

87-64

+23

H01/12

NCAA

Purdue

#72

81-70

+11

H05/12

NCAA

Rutgers

#224

76-80

-4

A11/12

NCAA

Coppin State

#351

99-51

+48

H14/12

NCAA

Drexel

#161

75-64

+11

A21/12

NCAA

45-38

47-24

37-29

49-35

41-47

61-42

42-34

43-32

36-38

31-37

38-28

49-36

40-24

41-46

33-48

43-32

52-21

47-30

37-29

38-35

153.5Avg total

85.0Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	88.4	67.1	155.5	+21.3	83%
Season at home (9)	93.7	65.1	158.8	+28.6	100%
Season away (3)	72.7	73.0	145.7	-0.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	68.5	153.5	+16.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	65.8	149.4	+17.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.2	81.4	152.6	-10.2	20%
vs Similar (16)	77.1	73.6	150.7	+3.6	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	89.1	62.7	151.8	+26.4	89%

This opponent (Penn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lafayette

#290

63-65

-2

A13/11

NCAA

Saint Josephs Hawks

#90

69-86

-17

H16/11

NCAA

Villanova

#138

49-93

-44

A20/11

NCAA

Navy

#249

78-86

-8

H29/11

NCAA

Maine Black Bears

#135

77-64

+13

H30/11

NCAA

Elon

#174

53-68

-15

H01/12

NCAA

Drexel

#161

47-60

-13

H07/12

NCAA

VCU Rams

#18

47-66

-19

A10/12

NCAA

Rider

#276

79-66

+13

H20/12

NCAA

George Mason

#31

53-85

-32

A22/12

NCAA

23-29

40-36

33-46

36-40

26-43

23-50

28-37

50-49

41-35

36-29

26-37

27-31

30-30

17-30

25-36

22-30

41-29

38-37

25-35

28-50

135.4Avg total

61.5Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	63.2	73.3	136.5	-10.2	33%
Season at home (7)	69.7	73.4	143.1	-3.7	43%
Season away (5)	54.0	73.2	127.2	-19.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	61.5	73.9	135.4	-12.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	55.8	69.0	124.8	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	64.5	78.6	143.1	-14.2	11%
vs Similar (9)	70.3	70.3	140.7	+0.0	56%
vs Weaker (2)	81.0	60.0	141.0	+21.0	100%

This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Penn StatePenn

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

St. Francis (PA)

#236

45-38

H13/11

NCAA

Virginia Tech

#286

37-29

H16/11

NCAA

IPFW

#128

41-47

-6

H21/11

NCAA

Fordham

#313

42-34

H25/11

NCAA

Clemson

#22

36-38

-2

A26/11

NCAA

Buffalo

#333

38-28

+10

H01/12

NCAA

Purdue

#72

40-24

+16

H05/12

NCAA

Rutgers

#224

33-48

-15

A11/12

NCAA

Coppin State

#351

52-21

+31

H14/12

NCAA

Drexel

#161

37-29

A21/12

NCAA

73.7Avg total

40.1Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	34.0	71.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.1	32.4	73.5	+8.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.8	36.2	68.0	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	33.6	73.7	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	30.0	70.0	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.2	43.0	76.2	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.1	33.3	69.4	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.9	30.1	72.0	+11.8	89%	-

This opponent (Penn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PennLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lafayette

#290

23-29

-6

A13/11

NCAA

Saint Josephs Hawks

#90

33-46

-13

H16/11

NCAA

Villanova

#138

26-43

-17

A20/11

NCAA

Navy

#249

28-37

-9

H29/11

NCAA

Maine Black Bears

#135

41-35

H30/11

NCAA

Elon

#174

26-37

-11

H01/12

NCAA

Drexel

#161

30-30

H07/12

NCAA

VCU Rams

#18

25-36

-11

A10/12

NCAA

Rider

#276

41-29

+12

H20/12

NCAA

George Mason

#31

25-35

-10

A22/12

NCAA

65.5Avg total

29.8Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.8	35.8	68.5	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	36.3	71.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.3	35.3	65.6	-4.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.8	35.7	65.5	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	33.4	62.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	31.8	37.8	69.6	-6.1	32%	-
vs Similar (9)	32.6	34.2	66.8	-1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	23.0	66.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.7	38.4	84.1	+7.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.5	36.4	73.9	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	34.9	79.8	+10.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.1	40.2	81.3	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	47.2	32.6	79.8	+14.7	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	38.9	73.2	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	38.0	74.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.6	39.9	71.5	-8.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	38.2	69.9	-6.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	35.6	62.0	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	32.7	40.8	73.5	-8.1	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.7	35.4	72.1	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penn State wins

Penn wins

No previous meetings.

Penn Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/24	A	Drexel	75-64
14/12/24	H	Coppin State	99-51
11/12/24	A	Rutgers	76-80
05/12/24	H	Purdue	81-70
01/12/24	H	Buffalo	87-64
26/11/24	A	Clemson	67-75
25/11/24	H	Fordham	85-66
21/11/24	H	IPFW	102-89
16/11/24	H	Virginia Tech	86-64
13/11/24	H	St. Francis (PA)	92-62

Pennlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/24	A	George Mason	53-85
20/12/24	H	Rider	79-66
10/12/24	A	VCU Rams	47-66
07/12/24	H	Drexel	47-60
01/12/24	H	Elon	53-68
30/11/24	H	Maine Black Bears	77-64
29/11/24	H	Navy	78-86
20/11/24	A	Villanova	49-93
16/11/24	H	Saint Josephs Hawks	69-86
13/11/24	A	Lafayette	63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	9	3
Win %	83%	100%	33%
Points / game	88.4	93.7	72.7
Allowed / game	67.1	65.1	73.0
Point differential	+21.3	+28.6	-0.3
Avg total	155.5	158.8	145.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	83%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penn

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	33%	43%	20%
Points / game	63.2	69.7	54.0
Allowed / game	73.3	73.4	73.2
Point differential	-10.2	-3.7	-19.2
Avg total	136.5	143.1	127.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oregon	12	11	1	92%	78.8	67.0	+11.8
2	Maryland	13	11	2	85%	87.2	61.1	+26.2
3	UCLA	13	11	2	85%	77.4	58.7	+18.7
4	Penn State	12	10	2	83%	88.4	67.1	+21.3
5	Michigan State	12	10	2	83%	82.2	67.5	+14.7
6	Nebraska	12	10	2	83%	77.8	66.9	+10.8
7	Wisconsin	13	10	3	77%	81.5	70.9	+10.5
8	Michigan	12	9	3	75%	81.7	66.8	+14.8
9	Iowa	12	9	3	75%	87.8	74.5	+13.3
10	Northwestern	12	9	3	75%	73.8	64.2	+9.6
11	Indiana	12	9	3	75%	78.8	70.1	+8.8
12	Illinois	11	8	3	73%	83.6	65.7	+17.9
13	Ohio State	13	9	4	69%	82.8	69.8	+12.9
14	USC	13	9	4	69%	76.4	68.4	+8.0
15	Purdue	12	8	4	67%	76.5	71.8	+4.8
16	Washington	11	7	4	64%	72.5	70.5	+1.9
17	Rutgers	12	7	5	58%	78.8	75.2	+3.6
18	Minnesota	12	7	5	58%	66.1	63.5	+2.6

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Ivy League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Columbia	13	11	2	85%	81.3	69.4	+11.9
2	Princeton	13	9	4	69%	76.9	71.8	+5.1
3	Cornell	11	7	4	64%	83.9	76.3	+7.6
4	Brown	11	7	4	64%	72.8	69.7	+3.1
5	Yale	12	6	6	50%	80.8	70.6	+10.2
6	Dartmouth	12	5	7	42%	77.3	73.6	+3.8
7	Penn	12	4	8	33%	63.2	73.3	-10.2
8	Harvard	11	3	8	27%	66.7	72.5	-5.7