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Penn State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-64
38-28 49-36
Position#185
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#333
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H05/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
103-54
103
54
+49
H08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
49-37
33-22
33-35
27-32
32-29
54-23
54-43
43-28
60-26
45-38
47-24
37-29
49-35
41-47
61-42
42-34
43-32
36-38
31-37
151.6Avg total
85.3Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.968.0159.9+23.986%
Season at home (6)96.066.8162.8+29.2100%
Season away (1)67.075.0142.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.366.3151.6+19.080%
Last 5 (5)86.471.2157.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.583.2152.7-13.717%
vs Similar (16)77.572.6150.1+4.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.565.5153.0+22.088%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H09/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A20/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
46-48
33-40
33-38
37-38
31-40
43-38
40-44
37-41
50-37
40-38
37-48
25-50
39-37
35-38
32-40
31-36
51-37
43-43
39-38
156.1Avg total
75.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.480.7158.1-3.357%
Season at home (4)78.879.8158.5-1.075%
Season away (3)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)75.580.6156.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)74.481.0155.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)68.879.0147.8-10.218%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
Penn StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H05/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
39.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.971.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.833.673.5+6.274%-
Last 30 away (11)30.637.267.8-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.371.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.044.376.3-12.30%-
vs Similar (16)36.533.269.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.831.271.0+8.575%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
75.6Avg total
35.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.537.069.5-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.938.370.1-6.420%-
Last 30 away (15)33.235.768.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.975.6-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.075.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.036.668.6-4.629%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24AClemson67-75
25/11/24HFordham85-66
21/11/24HIPFW102-89
16/11/24HVirginia Tech86-64
13/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)92-62
08/11/24HUMBC Retrievers103-54
05/11/24HBinghamton108-66
15/03/24AIndiana59-61
14/03/24HMichigan66-57
10/03/24HMaryland85-69
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HN. Carolina A&T82-81
23/11/24HMorgan State82-73
20/11/24AVermont67-78
15/11/24HBryant University64-87
12/11/24ANotre Dame77-86
09/11/24HFredonia State87-78
05/11/24AOld Dominion83-82
09/03/24HNorthern Illinois68-78
06/03/24HOhio66-78
02/03/24HToledo79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%100%0%
Points / game91.996.067.0
Allowed / game68.066.875.0
Point differential+23.9+29.2-8.0
Avg total159.9162.8142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game77.478.875.7
Allowed / game80.779.882.0
Point differential-3.3-1.0-6.3
Avg total158.1158.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wisconsin880100%85.269.2+16.0
2 Oregon880100%81.468.6+12.8
3 Maryland87188%86.858.6+28.1
4 Purdue87188%78.868.1+10.6
5 Illinois76186%89.161.4+27.7
6 UCLA76186%79.652.4+27.1
7 Penn State76186%91.968.0+23.9
8 Michigan76186%80.960.1+20.7
9 Iowa76186%87.470.9+16.6
10 Nebraska65183%80.067.3+12.7
11 Washington65183%72.066.8+5.2
12 Michigan State86275%80.569.9+10.6
13 Northwestern86275%72.662.5+10.1
14 Ohio State75271%85.963.9+22.0
15 Indiana75271%78.470.9+7.6
16 Rutgers85362%81.475.0+6.4
17 Minnesota85362%62.658.5+4.1
18 USC85362%73.472.1+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State86275%67.461.0+6.4
2 Akron64267%83.276.3+6.8
3 Miami (Ohio)64267%74.273.0+1.2
4 Eastern Michigan85362%70.970.9+0.0
5 Toledo85362%76.878.9-2.1
6 Buffalo74357%77.480.7-3.3
7 Central Michigan63350%71.567.0+4.5
8 Western Michigan73443%72.668.7+3.9
9 Bowling Green83538%75.972.2+3.6
10 Ball State83538%72.870.4+2.4
11 UMass83538%73.875.1-1.4
12 Ohio83538%77.580.1-2.6
13 Northern Illinois82625%68.873.9-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State384987
Buffalo283664
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