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Penn State vs UCLA Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 60-71
23-29 37-42
Position#298
Record9-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.4
Penn State
USA
vs
UCLA 🏆
USA
Position#73
Record11-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCLA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-35
45-52
47-20
43-39
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
26-40
39-33
31-40
41-34
44-45
41-48
157.3Avg total
77.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.175.4153.5+2.856%
Season at home (13)77.473.6151.0+3.862%
Season away (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
Last 10 (10)77.579.8157.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)71.677.4149.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.676.8153.4-0.144%
vs Similar (9)76.875.4152.2+1.344%
vs Weaker (5)70.073.6143.6-3.640%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A14/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
108-87
108
87
+21
H20/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H23/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
31-44
36-32
46-48
44-31
30-32
40-45
32-37
45-33
45-44
43-45
65-42
45-34
52-31
22-40
39-34
31-45
41-35
38-21
29-34
153.8Avg total
79.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.969.1147.9+9.869%
Season at home (11)82.164.5146.5+17.691%
Season away (5)71.879.2151.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)79.574.3153.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)81.072.2153.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.575.5144.0-7.00%
vs Similar (13)70.769.3140.0+1.446%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.165.3146.4+15.793%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.9+2.9
Penn StateUCLA
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/01
NCAA
75.2Avg total
36.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.971.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.733.770.5+3.063%-
Last 30 away (11)34.939.574.5-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.675.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.671.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.536.873.3-0.344%-
vs Similar (9)37.736.874.4+0.944%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.263.0+0.680%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A04/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H20/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H11/01
NCAA
74.7Avg total
38.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.868.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.229.467.5+8.884%-
Last 30 away (11)33.335.969.2-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.274.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.536.569.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (13)33.133.666.7-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.729.569.3+10.287%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
1
UCLA wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25UCLA v Penn State78-54
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26APurdue85-93
07/01/26HMichigan72-74
04/01/26HIllinois65-73
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
29/11/25HSacred Heart90-59
26/11/25HBoston University96-87
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HMaryland67-55
07/01/26AWisconsin72-80
03/01/26AIowa61-74
23/12/25HUC Riverside97-65
20/12/25HCal Poly108-87
18/12/25HArizona State90-77
14/12/25AGonzaga72-82
06/12/25HOregon74-63
04/12/25AWashington82-80
26/11/25ACalifornia72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %56%62%33%
Points / game78.177.481.3
Allowed / game75.473.683.0
Point differential+2.8+3.8-1.7
Avg total153.5151.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCLA
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%91%20%
Points / game78.982.171.8
Allowed / game69.164.579.2
Point differential+9.8+17.6-7.4
Avg total147.9146.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%82%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska17170100%81.765.8+15.9
2 Purdue1716194%86.068.3+17.7
3 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
4 Michigan State1715288%79.064.2+14.8
5 USC1714382%84.576.2+8.4
6 Illinois1613381%86.067.4+18.6
7 Iowa1712571%78.762.7+16.0
8 Indiana1712571%83.168.8+14.3
9 Wisconsin1712571%82.875.0+7.8
10 Ohio State1611569%83.171.9+11.2
11 UCLA1611569%78.969.1+9.8
12 Washington1610662%81.773.1+8.6
13 Minnesota1710759%73.166.8+6.4
14 Penn State169756%78.175.4+2.8
15 Rutgers179853%69.873.2-3.4
16 Northwestern168850%79.171.2+7.9
17 Oregon178947%75.474.2+1.2
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State233760
UCLA294271
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