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Penrith P. W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 48-54
15-20 18-12 9-16 6-6
Position#14
Record4-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#6
Record12-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game64.7
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2023
Meetings · Penrith P. W v Maitland Mustangs W
16 Jun 2024
PENR77
MAIT72
09 Jul 2023
PENR48
MAIT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#8
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H06/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
L
49-80
49
80
-31
H13/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
61-114
61
114
-53
H20/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
47-99
47
99
-52
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A03/06
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H17/06
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#15
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
44-74
44
74
-30
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-14
13-27
20-22
20-21
18-16
26-14
21-14
14-20
5-17
14-17
16-26
13-30
19-37
18-23
11-24
8-24
8-20
17-30
14-25
9-21
7-23
21-30
11-19
26-19
23-14
18-21
20-14
17-16
16-17
15-24
10-9
16-19
15-17
15-17
12-17
4-20
4-22
14-13
22-19
142.0Avg total
60.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.178.8140.9-16.722%
Season at home (8)61.074.8135.8-13.825%
Season away (10)63.082.1145.1-19.120%
Last 10 (10)60.581.5142.0-21.020%
Last 5 (5)59.074.2133.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)55.184.8139.8-29.70%
vs Similar (3)76.070.7146.7+5.367%
vs Weaker (3)76.363.3139.7+13.067%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#12
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H13/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H20/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
90-48
90
48
+42
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
55-92
55
92
-37
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A17/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H01/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
15-13
18-14
16-21
16-21
10-25
20-10
17-12
29-13
22-14
16-13
23-8
12-27
18-22
14-21
11-22
28-17
15-15
16-13
16-16
20-23
17-19
19-11
14-17
16-8
19-21
23-20
19-18
22-25
16-10
24-19
19-14
16-15
12-16
14-26
16-12
27-5
14-7
12-19
16-13
136.3Avg total
71.5Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.564.7134.3+4.863%
Season at home (11)70.462.6133.0+7.764%
Season away (8)68.467.6136.0+0.862%
Last 10 (10)71.564.8136.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)72.264.6136.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)61.882.6144.4-20.717%
vs Similar (2)61.069.5130.5-8.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.356.6133.9+20.7100%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Penrith P. WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H13/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
32-67
32
67
-35
H20/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A03/06
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H17/06
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
8-42
8
42
-34
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
68.7Avg total
27.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)29.240.269.4-11.028%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.440.269.6-10.925%-
Last 30 away (10)29.140.269.3-11.130%-
Last 10 (10)27.741.068.7-13.320%-
Last 5 (5)27.437.665.0-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)24.244.068.2-19.88%-
vs Similar (3)41.733.074.7+8.767%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#12
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H13/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H20/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A17/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
41-12
41
12
+29
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
69.0Avg total
36.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.768.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.834.468.3-0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)32.137.769.8-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.469.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.865.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.041.370.3-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)27.542.069.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.724.566.2+17.2100%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. W wins
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HNewcastle Falcons W44-74
02/07/23HIllawarra Hawks W58-70
24/06/23HHills Hornets W58-66
17/06/23HInner West Bulls W87-68
03/06/23ACanberra W48-93
27/05/23ASutherland Sharks W47-99
20/05/23HManly W. W61-114
13/05/23HBankstown Bruins W49-80
06/05/23HHornsby S. W85-65
29/04/23AAlbury W68-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HIllawarra Hawks W69-44
02/07/23HManly W. W58-69
01/07/23HSutherland Sharks W81-68
24/06/23HCentral Coast W77-67
17/06/23ASydney Comets W76-75 OT
03/06/23HBankstown Bruins W75-61
27/05/23AManly W. W55-92
21/05/23AHornsby S. W90-48
20/05/23HAlbury W63-68
13/05/23HInner West Bulls W71-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game62.161.063.0
Allowed / game78.874.882.1
Point differential-16.7-13.8-19.1
Avg total140.9135.8145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game69.570.468.4
Allowed / game64.762.667.6
Point differential+4.8+7.7+0.8
Avg total134.3133.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W. W2018290%84.060.6+23.4
2 Newcastle Falcons W1917289%77.957.9+20.1
3 Norths Bears W1915479%87.560.7+26.8
4 BA CoE W2216673%82.768.6+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks W2014670%83.570.2+13.4
6 Maitland Mustangs W1912763%69.564.7+4.8
7 Sydney Comets W1911858%79.570.6+8.9
8 Albury W1910953%78.671.0+7.6
9 Canberra W1991047%73.766.7+7.0
10 Bankstown Bruins W1991047%68.773.2-4.5
11 Central Coast W1961332%70.476.8-6.5
12 Illawarra Hawks W1951426%64.378.8-14.5
13 Inner West Bulls W1841422%63.978.7-14.8
14 Penrith P. W1841422%62.178.8-16.7
15 Hills Hornets W1931616%51.177.4-26.3
16 Hornsby S. W201195%53.299.3-46.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P. W15189648
Maitland Mustangs W201216654
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