Penza W vs Trepca W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 74-78

14-20 17-18 20-13 23-27

Position#4

Record2-6

FormLLWLL

Points / game64.9

Allowed / game77.5

Penza W

Trepca W 🏆

Position#5

Record3-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game72.8

Superliga WomenRound 9· Palestra sportive Karagaqi

Women2023-24

Meetings · Penza W v Trepca W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penza W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Trepca W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penza W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormW

Date

Competition

Prishtina W

57-100

100

-43

no box

A21/03

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

82-91

-9

no box

H24/03

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

86-51

+35

32avg 45

A07/10

Superliga Women

Peja W

59-97

-38

37avg 45

H14/10

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

48-84

-36

33avg 45

A21/10

Superliga Women

Trepca W

78-81

-3

70avg 45

A28/10

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

58-93

-35

46avg 45

H03/11

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

79-56

+23

74avg 45

H11/11

Superliga Women

Peja W

52-86

-34

32avg 45

A17/11

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

59-72

-13

39avg 45

H25/11

Superliga Women

15-28

14-25

13-26

15-21

26-22

17-24

13-23

26-22

28-7

25-13

13-13

20-18

16-23

18-24

13-30

12-20

7-21

13-22

13-15

15-26

15-14

22-11

25-21

16-35

11-28

14-24

13-24

20-17

20-7

20-16

23-17

16-16

13-25

15-21

7-23

17-17

10-16

13-15

10-29

26-12

146.9Avg total

65.8Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	64.9	77.5	142.4	-12.6	25%
Season at home (4)	63.8	79.5	143.2	-15.8	25%
Season away (4)	66.0	75.5	141.5	-9.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	65.8	81.1	146.9	-15.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.2	77.6	142.8	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	62.2	82.9	145.2	-20.7	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	81.6	51.1	132.7	+30.6	100%

This opponent (Trepca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trepca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormW

Date

Competition

Bashkimi W

53-75

-22

no box

A21/03

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

60-82

-22

no box

H24/03

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

74-84

-10

56avg 57

A07/10

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

66-69

-3

48avg 57

H14/10

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

105-50

105

+55

94avg 57

A22/10

Superliga Women

Penza W

81-78

57avg 57

H28/10

Superliga Women

Peja W

68-84

-16

53avg 57

A03/11

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

73-91

-18

56avg 57

H10/11

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

51-67

-16

34avg 57

A20/11

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

74-59

+15

61avg 57

H26/11

Superliga Women

14-22

13-24

13-15

13-14

13-19

15-23

18-18

14-22

11-20

22-17

25-30

16-17

17-18

13-17

17-15

19-19

25-17

20-10

29-8

31-15

14-15

11-22

21-25

35-16

19-23

15-31

11-22

23-8

19-22

23-11

17-23

14-35

16-9

11-24

9-19

15-15

22-14

15-20

16-13

21-12

144.4Avg total

70.5Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.0	72.8	146.8	+1.2	38%
Season at home (4)	73.5	74.2	147.8	-0.8	50%
Season away (4)	74.5	71.2	145.8	+3.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	73.9	144.4	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	75.8	145.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	58.5	78.0	136.5	-19.5	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	71.1	54.6	125.7	+16.5	82%

This opponent (Penza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Penza WTrepca W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.4	35.7	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	16.1	34.0	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	18.0	31.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.1	21.4	37.5	-5.2	31%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	23.0	10.6	33.6	+12.4	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.2	16.5	31.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.3	16.6	31.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.2	16.4	31.6	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	14.2	18.7	32.8	-4.5	16%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	17.1	12.7	29.8	+4.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.9	34.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	16.9	33.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.2	19.7	34.9	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	13.8	34.4	+6.8	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.9	17.3	32.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.9	16.5	31.4	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.8	18.2	33.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.9	35.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.6	36.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	14.2	19.8	34.1	-5.6	16%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	64%	-

Penza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prishtina W

29-53

-24

A21/03

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

43-46

-3

H24/03

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

53-20

+33

A07/10

Superliga Women

Peja W

34-47

-13

H14/10

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

20-43

-23

A21/10

Superliga Women

Trepca W

37-25

+12

A28/10

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

25-52

-27

H03/11

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

40-23

+17

H11/11

Superliga Women

Peja W

28-46

-18

A17/11

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

23-31

-8

H25/11

Superliga Women

71.8Avg total

33.2Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	33.3	70.4	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.7	33.0	67.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	33.6	73.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	38.6	71.8	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	35.4	66.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	31.4	41.1	72.4	-9.7	19%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	43.6	24.4	68.0	+19.1	93%	-

This opponent (Trepca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trepca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bashkimi W

27-46

-19

A21/03

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

28-42

-14

H24/03

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

33-37

-4

A07/10

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

30-35

-5

H14/10

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

45-27

+18

A22/10

Superliga Women

Penza W

25-37

-12

H28/10

Superliga Women

Peja W

34-54

-20

A03/11

Superliga Women

Bashkimi W

42-33

H10/11

Superliga Women

Prishtina W

27-33

-6

A20/11

Superliga Women

United Basketball W

37-34

H26/11

Superliga Women

70.6Avg total

32.8Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.1	33.8	63.9	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.2	33.1	63.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.0	34.6	64.6	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	37.8	70.6	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.2	71.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	28.4	38.5	66.9	-10.2	16%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	33.1	25.7	58.8	+7.4	73%	-

This opponent (Penza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	18.2	34.7	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	22.1	36.4	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	22.8	38.4	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	13.4	21.8	35.2	-8.4	6%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	12.9	33.4	+7.6	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	18.1	33.6	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	18.6	35.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.6	17.5	32.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.4	35.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	13.9	20.4	34.3	-6.5	16%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.5	14.0	32.5	+4.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.1	34.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	15.7	33.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.5	36.1	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.6	44%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	17.6	13.7	31.3	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.5	35.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	15.9	33.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.3	19.1	35.3	-2.8	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.5	14.9	34.5	+4.6	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	34.8	69.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	33.9	67.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	35.7	70.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	42.5	75.1	-9.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	42.2	76.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	30.9	41.9	72.8	-11.0	6%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (14)	38.1	26.6	64.7	+11.4	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	35.6	68.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.1	37.8	71.9	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.0	33.4	65.4	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	36.1	73.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.6	74.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	30.2	39.5	69.6	-9.3	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.0	28.9	66.9	+9.1	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penza W: 64.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game

56%

28%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	17.2	37.5%	44.2%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	5.5	23.9%	28.3%	16.5
🏀 Free throws	21.1	13.2	62.7%	64.1%	13.2

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Trepca Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca W: 73.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀45%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.6 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game

56%

28%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	15.0	42.9%	44.2%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.4	10.9	27.6%	28.3%	32.6
🏀 Free throws	16.1	10.6	65.9%	64.1%	10.6

They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.9	25.6	54.7%	44.2%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.2	5.0	26.0%	28.3%	15.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	11.9	60.5%	64.1%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	21.9	47.0%	44.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	5.1	27.9%	28.3%	15.4
🏀 Free throws	23.9	14.2	59.7%	64.1%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.9	25.6	54.7%	44.2%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.2	5.0	26.0%	28.3%	15.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	11.9	60.5%	64.1%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	21.9	47.0%	44.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	5.1	27.9%	28.3%	15.4
🏀 Free throws	23.9	14.2	59.7%	64.1%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penza W

LLWLLLLWLL

Trepca W

WLLLWWLLLL

League position

-17.1

Net rating

-0.2

79.1

Offensive rating

90.4

96.1

Defensive rating

90.5

37.0%

Effective FG%

42.1%

50.1%

Opp. effective FG%

45.6%

24.1%

Turnover %

14.8%

34.5%

Off. rebound %

24.1%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.22

23.9%

3-point %

27.6%

54.4%

Assist %

50.7%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Penza W ■ Trepca W

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penza W wins

Trepca W wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/23	Trepca W v Penza W	81-78
17/03/23	Trepca W v Penza W	58-71
03/02/23	Penza W v Trepca W	77-59
17/12/22	Trepca W v Penza W	60-77
12/11/22	Penza W v Trepca W	76-56

Penza Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	H	Prishtina W	59-72
17/11/23	A	Peja W	52-86
11/11/23	H	United Basketball W	79-56
03/11/23	H	Bashkimi W	58-93
28/10/23	A	Trepca W	78-81
21/10/23	A	Prishtina W	48-84
14/10/23	H	Peja W	59-97
07/10/23	A	United Basketball W	86-51
24/03/23	H	Prishtina W	82-91
21/03/23	A	Prishtina W	57-100

Trepca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/23	H	United Basketball W	74-59
20/11/23	A	Prishtina W	51-67
10/11/23	H	Bashkimi W	73-91
03/11/23	A	Peja W	68-84
28/10/23	H	Penza W	81-78
22/10/23	A	United Basketball W	105-50
14/10/23	H	Prishtina W	66-69
07/10/23	A	Bashkimi W	74-84
24/03/23	H	Bashkimi W	60-82
21/03/23	A	Bashkimi W	53-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penza W

Superliga Women 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	64.9	63.8	66.0
Allowed / game	77.5	79.5	75.5
Point differential	-12.6	-15.8	-9.5
Avg total	142.4	143.2	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Trepca W

Superliga Women 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	38%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	74.0	73.5	74.5
Allowed / game	72.8	74.2	71.2
Point differential	+1.2	-0.8	+3.2
Avg total	146.8	147.8	145.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bashkimi W	9	8	1	89%	86.4	65.9	+20.6
2	Prishtina W	9	8	1	89%	75.2	61.6	+13.7
3	Peja W	9	5	4	56%	77.7	66.8	+10.9
4	Trepca W	8	3	5	38%	74.0	72.8	+1.2
5	Penza W	8	2	6	25%	64.9	77.5	-12.6
6	United Basketball W	9	0	9	0%	52.0	87.0	-35.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penza W	14	17	20	23	74
Trepca W	20	18	13	27	78

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Penza W vs Trepca W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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