Perth Lynx W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 56-88

12-27 19-22 7-18 18-21

Position#9

Record1-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game55.2

Allowed / game82.7

Perth Lynx W

Townsville W 🏆

Position#2

Record8-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game69.6

NBL WRound 12

Women2013-14

Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Townsville W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

36-90

-54

A26/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

52-74

-22

H01/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

41-93

-52

A03/11

NBL W

Sydney W

38-75

-37

H09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

61-95

-34

H17/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

54-81

-27

H23/11

NBL W

Logan W

44-84

-40

A29/11

NBL W

Townsville W

67-95

-28

A30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

58-79

-21

H07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

56-87

-31

H13/12

NBL W

4-22

9-26

11-22

12-20

16-19

12-22

12-17

12-16

4-26

18-20

6-26

13-21

10-26

13-11

4-21

11-17

10-36

26-23

18-18

7-18

16-24

12-18

11-17

15-22

15-16

9-29

4-23

16-16

11-21

19-28

16-24

21-22

16-22

18-22

10-16

14-19

17-22

15-26

4-24

20-15

136.0Avg total

50.7Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	55.2	82.7	137.9	-27.5	7%
Season at home (8)	57.9	81.5	139.4	-23.6	0%
Season away (6)	51.7	84.3	136.0	-32.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	50.7	85.3	136.0	-34.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	55.8	85.2	141.0	-29.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	56.1	79.5	135.6	-23.4	4%
vs Similar (3)	65.7	64.7	130.3	+1.0	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

81-84

-3

A19/10

NBL W

Logan W

89-76

+13

H26/10

NBL W

Sydney W

76-66

+10

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

68-69

-1

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

95-61

+34

A17/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

80-74

H22/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

95-67

+28

H30/11

NBL W

Logan W

80-63

+17

A07/12

NBL W

Logan W

95-71

+24

A08/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

76-82

-6

H13/12

NBL W

27-23

19-23

18-13

17-25

22-18

26-22

22-22

19-14

23-13

15-11

18-16

20-26

14-22

18-16

13-13

23-18

36-10

23-26

18-18

18-7

17-22

21-22

25-16

17-14

21-11

28-19

24-16

22-21

25-16

19-13

21-21

15-13

23-22

26-16

25-22

21-11

17-22

18-19

26-21

15-20

154.8Avg total

83.5Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.3	69.6	148.9	+9.7	62%
Season at home (7)	79.7	71.3	151.0	+8.4	71%
Season away (6)	78.8	67.7	146.5	+11.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	71.3	154.8	+12.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	71.4	156.6	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	66.1	66.0	132.1	+0.1	56%
vs Similar (4)	82.0	81.5	163.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	77.3	66.4	143.7	+10.9	71%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth Lynx WTownsville W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	21.1	35.8	-6.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	11.9	23.4	35.3	-11.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.1	21.3	36.4	-6.1	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	17.6	37.6	+2.5	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	17.9	40.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.8	17.1	32.9	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.4	19.7	34.1	-5.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.1	20.2	35.3	-5.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	13.6	19.1	32.7	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	22.5	37.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	24.6	39.2	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	14.1	20.2	34.3	-6.1	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	15.7	32.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	14.2	34.3	+5.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.9	18.3	35.3	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	14.8	31.4	+1.9	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.5	65%	-

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

13-48

-35

A26/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

28-41

-13

H01/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

22-46

-24

A03/11

NBL W

Sydney W

23-37

-14

H09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

36-59

-23

H17/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

28-42

-14

H23/11

NBL W

Logan W

24-45

-21

A29/11

NBL W

Townsville W

30-49

-19

A30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

34-44

-10

H07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-48

-16

H13/12

NBL W

72.9Avg total

27.0Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.9	40.9	70.9	-11.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.4	41.5	72.9	-10.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.2	40.3	68.5	-12.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	45.9	72.9	-18.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	45.6	75.2	-16.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	29.3	41.5	70.7	-12.2	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

46-46

A19/10

NBL W

Logan W

48-40

H26/10

NBL W

Sydney W

38-24

+14

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

32-38

-6

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

59-36

+23

A17/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

38-44

-6

H22/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

49-30

+19

H30/11

NBL W

Logan W

44-29

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Logan W

49-38

+11

A08/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

35-41

-6

H13/12

NBL W

80.4Avg total

43.8Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.3	71.7	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.0	31.9	69.9	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.0	35.9	72.9	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	36.6	80.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	36.4	79.4	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.4	31.9	64.3	+0.6	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	45.5	85.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.4	32.9	72.4	+6.5	71%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	12.2	18.3	30.4	-6.1	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	12.2	17.8	30.1	-5.6	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	12.1	18.8	30.9	-6.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	9.6	20.8	30.4	-11.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	9.0	20.8	29.8	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	12.2	19.0	31.1	-6.8	7%	-
vs Similar (3)	12.0	12.0	24.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	16.9	34.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	17.7	37.8	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	15.7	16.4	32.1	-0.8	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.2	43.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.2	17.1	32.3	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.4	18.4	33.9	-3.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.4	19.3	33.7	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	18.6	32.7	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	14.7	19.1	33.7	-4.4	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	16.7	34.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.5	35.3	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	14.6	33.9	+4.7	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	16.3	35.1	+2.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.1	37.1	64.2	-10.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.7	36.2	63.9	-8.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.5	38.1	64.6	-11.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	39.4	63.1	-15.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	39.6	65.8	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	26.9	38.0	64.9	-11.2	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	29.7	28.7	58.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	33.4	69.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.0	31.1	66.1	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	34.7	74.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	35.0	77.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.7	34.1	67.8	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.8	31.5	67.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	37.9	33.5	71.4	+4.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Lynx W wins

Townsville W wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/13	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	95-67
17/11/13	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	61-95
25/01/13	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	81-62
01/12/12	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	65-78
10/11/12	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	79-62
27/11/11	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	71-56
04/11/11	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	74-98
07/01/11	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	70-68
26/11/10	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	66-64

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/13	H	Geelong United W	56-87
07/12/13	H	Dandenong W	58-79
30/11/13	A	Townsville W	67-95
29/11/13	A	Logan W	44-84
23/11/13	H	Bendigo W	54-81
17/11/13	H	Townsville W	61-95
09/11/13	H	Sydney W	38-75
03/11/13	A	Adelaide Lightning W	41-93
01/11/13	H	Geelong United W	52-74
26/10/13	A	Dandenong W	36-90

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/13	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	76-82
08/12/13	A	Logan W	95-71
07/12/13	A	Logan W	80-63
30/11/13	H	Perth Lynx W	95-67
22/11/13	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	80-74
17/11/13	A	Perth Lynx W	95-61
16/11/13	A	Adelaide Lightning W	68-69
02/11/13	H	Sydney W	76-66
26/10/13	H	Logan W	89-76
19/10/13	A	Dandenong W	81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	7%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	7%	0%	17%
Points / game	55.2	57.9	51.7
Allowed / game	82.7	81.5	84.3
Point differential	-27.5	-23.6	-32.7
Avg total	137.9	139.4	136.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	62%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	62%	71%	50%
Points / game	79.3	79.7	78.8
Allowed / game	69.6	71.3	67.7
Point differential	+9.7	+8.4	+11.2
Avg total	148.9	151.0	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	57%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	14	13	1	93%	76.6	62.3	+14.3
2	Dandenong W	14	10	4	71%	81.9	73.1	+8.9
3	Geelong United W	14	10	4	71%	68.0	62.8	+5.2
4	Townsville W	13	8	5	62%	79.3	69.6	+9.7
5	Adelaide Lightning W	14	6	8	43%	70.8	70.6	+0.1
6	Sydney W	14	5	9	36%	73.4	73.6	-0.2
7	Logan W	14	5	9	36%	74.4	79.2	-4.9
8	Canberra C. Acad. W	15	5	10	33%	74.6	79.2	-4.6
9	Perth Lynx W	14	1	13	7%	55.2	82.7	-27.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth Lynx W	12	19	7	18	56
Townsville W	27	22	18	21	88

← all games of the day

Perth Lynx W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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