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Perth Redbacks vs Mandurah Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 96-103
22-15 26-31 29-32 19-25
Position#13
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#7
Record9-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game96.9
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Mandurah Magic
11 Jul 2025
PERT96
MAND103
06 Apr 2024
PERT96
MAND99
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
MAND84
06 Aug 2021
PERT80
MAND93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mandurah Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Warwick Senators
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
H17/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
87-114
87
114
-27
A23/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H24/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H30/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A07/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H13/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H21/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A28/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H05/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-31
22-31
19-16
17-23
17-27
27-37
14-26
29-24
19-32
20-21
18-17
19-14
26-23
24-15
20-18
30-32
20-23
29-17
20-17
23-18
28-26
17-30
25-20
21-30
25-26
9-23
20-30
23-26
35-24
20-27
20-23
22-24
21-33
21-25
21-26
13-20
16-24
27-30
21-20
15-13
180.6Avg total
84.4Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.194.2177.3-11.128%
Season at home (9)85.192.1177.2-7.022%
Season away (9)81.196.3177.4-15.233%
Last 10 (10)84.496.2180.6-11.820%
Last 5 (5)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)83.798.4182.1-14.717%
vs Similar (5)79.683.6163.2-4.020%
vs Weaker (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Mandurah Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mandurah MagicAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H15/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A17/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H24/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
88-111
88
111
-23
H30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
A06/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H07/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
A14/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A21/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H29/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A04/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
25-30
20-21
22-24
27-24
23-19
16-19
22-24
31-28
28-25
17-19
19-21
25-35
13-27
22-28
28-21
29-21
19-24
32-30
26-31
11-23
23-23
24-23
25-24
16-26
20-24
23-30
11-23
28-20
21-26
15-21
23-28
19-18
20-28
22-14
32-17
22-21
18-24
26-21
21-19
185.3Avg total
88.6Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.996.9190.8-2.953%
Season at home (8)93.896.8190.5-3.050%
Season away (9)94.197.0191.1-2.956%
Last 10 (10)88.696.7185.3-8.140%
Last 5 (5)84.090.6174.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)89.299.5188.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)100.395.0195.3+5.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)100.992.0192.9+8.986%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
Perth RedbacksMandurah Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Warwick Senators
#2
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H17/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A23/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H30/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A07/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H13/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H21/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A28/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H05/07
NBL1 West
95.9Avg total
43.4Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.750.592.1-8.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.849.991.7-8.131%-
Last 30 away (14)41.551.192.6-9.621%-
Last 10 (10)43.452.595.9-9.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.853.697.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.252.394.5-10.025%-
vs Similar (5)37.443.881.2-6.420%-
vs Weaker (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Mandurah Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mandurah MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H15/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A17/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
38-62
38
62
-24
H30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A21/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H29/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A04/07
NBL1 West
92.6Avg total
43.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.749.298.8+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.551.9103.4-0.450%-
Last 30 away (18)48.447.395.8+1.161%-
Last 10 (10)43.149.592.6-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.651.896.4-7.242%-
vs Similar (11)51.446.597.9+4.873%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)55.748.7104.4+7.057%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Perth Redbacks wins
5
Mandurah Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HPerry Lakes Hawks79-87
28/06/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns76-104
21/06/25HRockingham Flames97-98
20/06/25AEast Perth Eagles77-105
13/06/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns91-106
07/06/25ASouth West Slammers92-75
30/05/25HEast Perth Eagles100-88
24/05/25HWilletton Tigers76-84
23/05/25AJoondalup Wolves87-114
17/05/25HWarwick Senators69-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25ASouth West Slammers87-85
29/06/25HGoldfields Giants93-77
21/06/25AWilletton Tigers87-95
14/06/25AGeraldton Buccaneers70-103
07/06/25HLakeside Lightning83-93
06/06/25APerry Lakes Hawks115-120 OT
30/05/25HRockingham Flames88-111
24/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar95-93
17/05/25AEast Perth Eagles88-86
15/05/25HJoondalup Wolves80-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%22%33%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game94.292.196.3
Point differential-11.1-7.0-15.2
Avg total177.3177.2177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Mandurah Magic
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game93.993.894.1
Allowed / game96.996.897.0
Point differential-2.9-3.0-2.9
Avg total190.8190.5191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames1714382%106.194.6+11.5
2 Warwick Senators1613381%108.491.9+16.4
3 Geraldton Buccaneers1612475%103.185.1+17.9
4 Willetton Tigers1813572%95.191.6+3.5
5 Joondalup Wolves1811761%96.391.6+4.7
6 Kalamunda Eastern Suns179853%87.084.8+2.2
7 Goldfields Giants179853%92.191.4+0.7
8 Mandurah Magic179853%93.996.9-2.9
9 East Perth Eagles1771041%92.495.1-2.7
10 Perry Lakes Hawks1771041%85.890.9-5.2
11 Lakeside Lightning1751229%87.395.2-7.9
12 Beeliar Boodjar1851328%88.996.6-7.7
13 Perth Redbacks1851328%83.194.2-11.1
14 South West Slammers171166%81.698.4-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Redbacks2226291996
Mandurah Magic15313225103
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