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Perth Redbacks vs Rockingham Flames Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 97-98
35-24 20-27 20-23 22-24
Position#13
Record5-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#3
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game93.1
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Rockingham Flames
21 Jun 2025
PERT97
ROCK98
14 Jun 2024
PERT87
ROCK90
01 Jul 2022
PERT110
ROCK114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rockingham Flames winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A10/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A16/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
H17/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
87-114
87
114
-27
A23/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H24/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H30/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A07/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H13/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A20/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-19
19-21
24-16
26-30
20-30
17-15
15-27
25-12
21-24
26-18
17-20
11-31
22-31
19-16
17-23
17-27
27-37
14-26
29-24
19-32
20-21
18-17
19-14
26-23
24-15
20-18
30-32
20-23
29-17
20-17
23-18
28-26
17-30
25-20
21-30
25-26
9-23
20-30
23-26
178.5Avg total
84.6Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.993.8176.7-10.933%
Season at home (7)84.392.0176.3-7.729%
Season away (8)81.895.4177.1-13.638%
Last 10 (10)84.693.9178.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)87.291.6178.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.197.6181.7-13.521%
vs Similar (5)81.882.8164.6-1.040%
vs Weaker (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Rockingham Flames) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockingham FlamesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
104-102
104
102
+2
A17/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
104-71
104
71
+33
A25/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A03/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
116-83
116
83
+33
A16/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
H24/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
111-88
111
88
+23
A30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
H07/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
116-69
116
69
+47
H13/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
21-22
32-20
32-24
26-22
25-12
32-16
21-21
25-22
25-29
36-17
13-17
32-28
30-28
22-28
26-22
30-26
30-20
15-17
27-15
22-18
29-29
31-19
34-17
26-20
23-26
23-28
29-27
35-25
27-13
28-22
21-28
21-25
27-26
24-23
25-23
36-12
21-21
30-12
29-24
198.1Avg total
108.6Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)109.193.1202.2+16.092%
Season at home (6)108.288.7196.8+19.5100%
Season away (7)109.996.9206.7+13.086%
Last 10 (10)108.689.5198.1+19.1100%
Last 5 (5)113.490.6204.0+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)91.7100.5192.2-8.833%
vs Similar (6)92.794.8187.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)101.687.6189.1+14.083%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Perth RedbacksRockingham Flames
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A10/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A16/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H17/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A23/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H30/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A07/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H13/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/06
NBL1 West
92.0Avg total
42.1Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.049.591.5-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.149.691.7-7.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.949.391.3-7.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.149.992.0-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.290.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.851.794.5-8.929%-
vs Similar (5)37.040.877.8-3.840%-
vs Weaker (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Rockingham Flames) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockingham FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A17/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A25/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A03/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A16/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H24/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H13/06
NBL1 West
99.0Avg total
53.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.946.696.4+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.244.292.4+3.958%-
Last 30 away (18)51.048.199.1+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)53.046.099.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.443.096.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.853.2100.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (6)49.847.797.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.944.094.9+6.972%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Perth Redbacks wins
5
Rockingham Flames wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/25AEast Perth Eagles77-105
13/06/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns91-106
07/06/25ASouth West Slammers92-75
30/05/25HEast Perth Eagles100-88
24/05/25HWilletton Tigers76-84
23/05/25AJoondalup Wolves87-114
17/05/25HWarwick Senators69-101
16/05/25ALakeside Lightning89-74
10/05/25ARockingham Flames78-102
03/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar87-90 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25HSouth West Slammers116-69
07/06/25HPerry Lakes Hawks108-104 OT
30/05/25AMandurah Magic111-88
24/05/25HJoondalup Wolves116-109 OT
16/05/25ASouth West Slammers116-83
10/05/25HPerth Redbacks102-78
03/05/25AGoldfields Giants110-106
26/04/25HGeraldton Buccaneers99-85
25/04/25ABeeliar Boodjar104-71
17/04/25AWilletton Tigers104-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game82.984.381.8
Allowed / game93.892.095.4
Point differential-10.9-7.7-13.6
Avg total176.7176.3177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Rockingham Flames
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game109.1108.2109.9
Allowed / game93.188.796.9
Point differential+16.0+19.5+13.0
Avg total202.2196.8206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %15%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames1312192%109.193.1+16.0
2 Warwick Senators1412286%107.190.3+16.9
3 Willetton Tigers1411379%94.487.4+6.9
4 Geraldton Buccaneers139469%99.283.8+15.4
5 Joondalup Wolves149564%98.192.3+5.9
6 Goldfields Giants137654%91.890.6+1.2
7 Mandurah Magic147750%95.099.3-4.3
8 East Perth Eagles136746%91.592.5-1.0
9 Perry Lakes Hawks136746%86.191.2-5.2
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns146843%85.485.3+0.1
11 Perth Redbacks1551033%82.993.8-10.9
12 Lakeside Lightning1441029%86.193.7-7.6
13 Beeliar Boodjar141137%83.696.7-13.1
14 South West Slammers141137%81.899.4-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Redbacks3520202297
Rockingham Flames2427232498
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