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Perth Redbacks vs Warwick Senators Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 69-101
11-31 22-31 19-16 17-23
Position#13
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game86.4
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Warwick Senators
17 May 2025
PERT69
WARW101
21 Jun 2024
PERT74
WARW104
30 Jun 2023
PERT78
WARW97
14 Apr 2022
PERT72
WARW97
12 Jun 2021
PERT83
WARW69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Warwick Senators winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H13/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
76-107
76
107
-31
H20/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H04/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
A12/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A17/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
83-119
83
119
-36
A26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H27/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A10/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A16/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
18-25
22-24
23-25
20-30
19-28
12-23
25-26
27-26
15-22
17-20
26-15
16-34
12-27
16-25
25-21
19-18
21-13
15-15
24-21
18-25
20-28
20-31
25-35
29-24
21-21
18-24
14-23
18-22
17-19
19-21
24-16
26-30
20-30
17-15
15-27
25-12
21-24
26-18
17-20
176.3Avg total
82.0Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.591.8173.2-10.238%
Season at home (3)84.788.3173.0-3.733%
Season away (5)79.693.8173.4-14.240%
Last 10 (10)82.094.3176.3-12.330%
Last 5 (5)83.895.4179.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.197.6181.7-13.521%
vs Similar (6)87.787.0174.7+0.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H19/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A27/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
117-79
117
79
+38
A05/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
134-109
134
109
+25
H12/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
102-98
102
98
+4
A17/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
119-83
119
83
+36
H26/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
118-82
118
82
+36
A02/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H16/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
14-20
16-27
21-21
21-24
30-28
10-30
27-21
37-24
32-21
27-19
21-15
38-22
30-37
47-25
19-25
30-23
25-31
22-23
25-21
25-18
28-20
31-20
35-25
37-23
27-19
35-21
19-19
31-19
33-16
23-24
17-28
19-24
26-23
18-15
18-15
21-19
23-16
31-25
23-16
193.2Avg total
104.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)109.186.4195.5+22.8100%
Season at home (4)113.888.8202.5+25.0100%
Season away (4)104.584.0188.5+20.5100%
Last 10 (10)104.688.6193.2+16.080%
Last 5 (5)104.081.0185.0+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.8103.8192.5-15.00%
vs Similar (7)96.099.4195.4-3.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)104.686.5191.1+18.184%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
Perth RedbacksWarwick Senators
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H13/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H20/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A12/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H27/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A10/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A16/05
NBL1 West
89.7Avg total
41.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.649.991.5-8.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.348.991.1-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.150.891.9-9.825%-
Last 10 (10)41.148.689.7-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.090.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.751.994.6-9.229%-
vs Similar (6)37.541.879.3-4.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H19/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A27/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A05/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H12/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A17/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H26/04
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A02/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/05
NBL1 West
101.2Avg total
56.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.247.099.2+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.945.097.9+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)51.748.7100.4+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)56.145.1101.2+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)54.039.493.4+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.255.098.2-11.80%-
vs Similar (7)49.348.998.1+0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)55.244.699.8+10.679%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25ALakeside Lightning89-74
10/05/25ARockingham Flames78-102
03/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar87-90 OT
27/04/25HGoldfields Giants82-92
26/04/25AWarwick Senators83-119
17/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks79-67
12/04/25AGeraldton Buccaneers69-107
04/04/25HJoondalup Wolves85-83
20/07/24HGeraldton Buccaneers76-107
13/07/24HPerry Lakes Hawks92-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar98-76
09/05/25APerry Lakes Hawks81-77
03/05/25HMandurah Magic104-87
02/05/25AEast Perth Eagles118-82
26/04/25HPerth Redbacks119-83
17/04/25AJoondalup Wolves102-98
12/04/25HRockingham Flames134-109
05/04/25ALakeside Lightning117-79
27/07/24AGoldfields Giants88-103
19/07/24HLakeside Lightning85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game81.584.779.6
Allowed / game91.888.393.8
Point differential-10.2-3.7-14.2
Avg total173.2173.0173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game109.1113.8104.5
Allowed / game86.488.884.0
Point differential+22.8+25.0+20.5
Avg total195.5202.5188.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators880100%109.186.4+22.8
2 Rockingham Flames98189%107.493.3+14.1
3 Willetton Tigers75271%97.388.3+9.0
4 Goldfields Giants64267%100.590.3+10.2
5 Joondalup Wolves96367%100.193.8+6.3
6 Mandurah Magic85362%98.998.0+0.9
7 Geraldton Buccaneers74357%97.384.4+12.9
8 Perry Lakes Hawks73443%80.185.9-5.7
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns83538%78.082.1-4.1
10 Perth Redbacks83538%81.591.8-10.2
11 East Perth Eagles62433%91.7102.0-10.3
12 Lakeside Lightning92722%85.296.0-10.8
13 Beeliar Boodjar81712%80.998.4-17.5
14 South West Slammers8080%85.5102.1-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Redbacks1122191769
Warwick Senators31311623101
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