Petrol Olimpija vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 66-58

16-20 14-11 14-6 22-21

Position#2

Record12-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game77.2

Petrol Olimpija 🏆

Rogaska

Position#7

Record13-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game82.1

Liga Nova KBMRound 5

Other2018-19

Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rogaska winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol Olimpija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

86-65

+21

H07/02

Liga Nova KBM

Igokea

92-69

+23

H11/02

ABA League

Helios Domzale

60-72

-12

A12/02

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

76-87

-11

A16/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Krka Novo mesto

70-65

A27/02

Liga Nova KBM

FMP Beograd

63-64

-1

A04/03

ABA League

Cedevita

70-98

-28

H10/03

ABA League

Helios Domzale

74-66

H14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

59-62

-3

A17/03

ABA League

Polzela

59-65

-6

A23/03

Liga Nova KBM

23-16

16-14

27-18

20-17

24-12

24-21

26-19

18-17

16-18

15-19

18-18

11-17

20-24

15-16

18-24

23-23

16-8

19-18

11-19

24-20

13-17

23-9

13-22

14-16

29-29

11-22

14-20

16-27

22-10

17-21

23-16

12-19

13-17

18-15

16-16

12-14

9-21

22-10

15-13

13-21

142.2Avg total

70.9Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	77.4	77.2	154.6	+0.1	57%
Season at home (10)	81.2	76.1	157.3	+5.1	70%
Season away (11)	73.9	78.3	152.2	-4.4	45%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	71.3	142.2	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	71.0	136.0	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	71.0	82.4	153.4	-11.4	0%
vs Similar (13)	77.4	76.5	153.8	+0.9	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	70.2	70.7	140.8	-0.5	50%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rogaska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spars Sarajevo

70-81

-11

H06/02

ABA League 2

KK Krka Novo mesto

80-76

H10/02

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

100-90

100

+10

A12/02

Liga Nova KBM

MZT Skopje

70-84

-14

A28/02

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

90-83

H03/03

Liga Nova KBM

Borac Mozzart

81-88

-7

H06/03

ABA League 2

Polzela

76-81

-5

A09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

80-85

-5

A13/03

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

67-95

-28

H16/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

90-80

+10

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

24-25

13-17

16-19

17-20

17-26

28-16

24-12

11-22

23-21

31-16

23-27

23-26

19-16

16-28

9-26

26-14

22-19

29-12

18-27

21-25

17-31

22-23

24-18

18-16

17-28

16-21

18-17

25-15

20-27

18-17

19-14

23-27

20-21

19-25

19-29

9-20

17-17

26-19

22-20

25-24

164.7Avg total

80.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	80.8	82.1	162.9	-1.4	59%
Season at home (12)	82.1	80.9	163.0	+1.2	67%
Season away (10)	79.2	83.6	162.8	-4.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	84.3	164.7	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	85.8	164.6	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	78.1	82.6	160.6	-4.5	29%
vs Similar (11)	82.7	83.1	165.8	-0.4	55%
vs Weaker (2)	106.5	100.5	207.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Petrol OlimpijaRogaska

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.2	35.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.2	24%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.0	27.0	56.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.6	22.9	39.5	-6.3	9%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	18.2	38.2	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	15.8	18.0	33.8	-2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.6	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	35%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	31.0	22.5	53.5	+8.5	100%	-

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

39-30

H07/02

Liga Nova KBM

Igokea

48-33

+15

H11/02

ABA League

Helios Domzale

31-37

-6

A12/02

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

35-40

-5

A16/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Krka Novo mesto

35-26

A27/02

Liga Nova KBM

FMP Beograd

36-26

+10

A04/03

ABA League

Cedevita

40-51

-11

H10/03

ABA League

Helios Domzale

39-31

H14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

31-32

-1

A17/03

ABA League

Polzela

31-31

A23/03

Liga Nova KBM

70.2Avg total

36.5Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.4	39.3	74.7	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	33.7	70.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	34.2	69.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.5	44.2	80.6	-7.7	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	34.7	34.7	69.3	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spars Sarajevo

37-42

-5

H06/02

ABA League 2

KK Krka Novo mesto

45-42

H10/02

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

54-37

+17

A12/02

Liga Nova KBM

MZT Skopje

35-44

-9

A28/02

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

51-31

+20

H03/03

Liga Nova KBM

Borac Mozzart

39-54

-15

H06/03

ABA League 2

Polzela

33-49

-16

A09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

38-44

-6

A13/03

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

39-46

-7

H16/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

43-36

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

83.9Avg total

41.4Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	40.9	82.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	45.5	85.0	-5.9	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	42.5	83.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	45.8	84.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.8	42.9	81.7	-4.1	24%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	60.0	49.5	109.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.8	18.6	35.5	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	45%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	20.2	40.2	-0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	41%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.1	35.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	19.4	32.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.9	20.2	36.1	-4.3	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	16.5	19.3	35.8	-2.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	59%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	30.0	55.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.4	75.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	37.6	77.2	+1.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.1	39.1	74.2	-3.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	37.6	72.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	36.8	66.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	38.2	72.7	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.7	41.8	84.5	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.2	39.7	78.9	-0.5	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.3	41.5	83.7	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	51.0	97.5	-4.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 71.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	18.1	51.1%	54.1%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.9	30.8%	32.8%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.2	71.7%	72.4%	14.2

They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.7	48.2%	54.1%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	7.5	33.9%	32.8%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.1	74.7%	72.4%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.4	50.0%	54.1%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.7%	32.8%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.3	73.9%	72.4%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.4	50.7%	54.1%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.5	35.2%	32.8%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.9	74.0%	72.4%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Petrol Olimpija wins

Rogaska wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/19	Rogaska v Petrol Olimpija	87-66
14/01/19	Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska	79-81
07/01/19	Rogaska v Petrol Olimpija	92-95
18/11/18	Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska	99-81
12/05/18	Rogaska v Petrol Olimpija	67-73
09/05/18	Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska	92-79
30/04/18	Rogaska v Petrol Olimpija	65-70
07/04/18	Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska	88-81
08/02/18	Rogaska v Petrol Olimpija	75-71
01/12/17	Petrol Olimpija v Rogaska	70-73

Petrol Olimpijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/19	A	Polzela	59-65
17/03/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	59-62
14/03/19	H	Helios Domzale	74-66
10/03/19	H	Cedevita	70-98
04/03/19	A	FMP Beograd	63-64
27/02/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	70-65
16/02/19	A	KK Primorska	76-87
12/02/19	A	Helios Domzale	60-72
11/02/19	H	Igokea	92-69
07/02/19	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	86-65

Rogaskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	90-80
16/03/19	H	KK Primorska	67-95
13/03/19	A	KK Primorska	80-85
09/03/19	A	Polzela	76-81
06/03/19	H	Borac Mozzart	81-88
03/03/19	H	Helios Domzale	90-83
28/02/19	A	MZT Skopje	70-84
12/02/19	A	Polzela	100-90
10/02/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	80-76
06/02/19	H	Spars Sarajevo	70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	57%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LLLWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	70%	45%
Points / game	77.4	81.2	73.9
Allowed / game	77.2	76.1	78.3
Point differential	+0.1	+5.1	-4.4
Avg total	154.6	157.3	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	40%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rogaska

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	59%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	80.8	82.1	79.2
Allowed / game	82.1	80.9	83.6
Point differential	-1.4	+1.2	-4.4
Avg total	162.9	163.0	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	25%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	22	17	5	77%	85.0	71.6	+13.4
2	KK Krka Novo mesto	23	14	9	61%	79.9	76.3	+3.6
3	Rogaska	22	13	9	59%	80.8	82.1	-1.4
4	Petrol Olimpija	21	12	9	57%	77.4	77.2	+0.1
5	Polzela	23	12	11	52%	78.7	77.0	+1.7
6	Zlatorog Lasko	23	12	11	52%	77.3	78.7	-1.3
7	Sencur	23	10	13	43%	78.0	78.7	-0.7
8	Helios Domzale	23	10	13	43%	74.1	76.0	-1.9
9	Tajfun Sentjur	23	10	13	43%	75.4	77.6	-2.2
10	Perspektiva Ilirija	23	3	20	13%	76.2	87.0	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Petrol Olimpija	16	14	14	22	66
Rogaska	20	11	6	21	58

← all games of the day

Petrol Olimpija vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature