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FMP Beograd vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-63
17-13 9-23 22-13 16-14
Position#6
Record8-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#13
Record6-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2018
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Petrol Olimpija
04 Mar 2019
FBE64
POL63
03 Mar 2018
FBE81
POL86
11 Feb 2017
FBE89
POL79
08 Nov 2009
FBE67
POL79
03 Jan 2009
FBE82
POL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 108
A21/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
106-89
106
89
+17
137avg 108
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
96avg 108
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
99avg 108
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
89avg 108
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
119avg 108
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
108avg 108
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
115avg 108
A10/02
ABA League
Sveti Djordje
#8
W
112-58
112
58
+54
no box
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-21
20-22
21-18
31-22
30-32
13-21
32-14
28-23
13-24
15-22
15-21
16-20
16-28
16-13
22-26
9-18
12-22
23-16
18-23
23-20
17-25
21-22
26-11
12-23
16-17
23-22
25-9
26-19
23-24
22-27
14-17
23-23
31-11
29-9
29-15
16-21
20-18
21-24
14-20
162.6Avg total
82.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.582.7163.3-2.242%
Season at home (9)87.083.7170.7+3.356%
Season away (10)74.781.9156.6-7.230%
Last 10 (10)82.580.1162.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)86.275.4161.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.984.0157.9-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.779.5161.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (6)86.768.8155.5+17.883%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H28/01
ABA League
Bayreuth
#35
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A30/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
81avg 105
A02/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Besiktas
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
128avg 105
H11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
A27/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
15-30
19-11
15-13
18-24
25-18
12-18
16-22
19-24
10-25
18-17
14-23
15-16
11-21
22-21
24-25
14-14
21-34
24-11
16-22
23-16
16-14
27-18
20-17
24-12
24-21
26-19
18-17
16-18
15-19
18-18
11-17
20-24
15-16
18-24
23-23
16-8
19-18
11-19
24-20
150.5Avg total
73.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.682.1160.6-3.532%
Season at home (10)79.576.1155.6+3.460%
Season away (9)77.688.7166.2-11.10%
Last 10 (10)73.577.0150.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)76.871.6148.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.780.8152.4-9.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.079.8159.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (6)71.073.5144.5-2.550%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
FMP BeogradPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A10/02
ABA League
Sveti Djordje
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/02
Korac cup
83.5Avg total
40.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.480.9+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.182.6+2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.878.9-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.983.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.644.780.3-9.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.539.980.5+0.654%-
vs Weaker (6)46.035.581.5+10.567%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H28/01
ABA League
Bayreuth
#35
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Besiktas
#16
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H06/02
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A27/02
Liga Nova KBM
75.4Avg total
35.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.276.0-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.536.974.4+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.577.5-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.575.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.270.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.342.078.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.738.175.8-0.433%-
vs Weaker (6)35.835.871.7+0.050%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
51.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.513.7
66.8%
72.5%13.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.4
49.3%
51.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
72.5%16.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWLWWLLLWW
Petrol Olimpija
WLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#13
-3.9
Net rating
-4.4
103.5
Offensive rating
101.8
107.4
Defensive rating
106.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.7%
3-point %
33.5%
63.1%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 101.8Defence107.4 · 106.2Shooting51.1% · 49.7%3-point %33.7% · 33.5%Ball care16.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 24.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
7
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/19HPartizan71-83
14/02/19HSveti Djordje112-58
10/02/19ACedevita85-87
03/02/19AKK Krka Novo mesto76-71
26/01/19HIgokea87-78
19/01/19ACrvena zvezda62-79
14/01/19HBuducnost70-87
04/01/19ACibona71-90
28/12/18HMega Bemax106-89
21/12/18AZadar85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/19AKK Krka Novo mesto70-65
16/02/19AKK Primorska76-87
12/02/19AHelios Domzale60-72
11/02/19HIgokea92-69
07/02/19HPerspektiva Ilirija86-65
06/02/19HBesiktas75-81
04/02/19HZlatorog Lasko72-83
02/02/19ACrvena zvezda61-89
30/01/19ABayreuth71-82
28/01/19HBuducnost72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayWLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game80.587.074.7
Allowed / game82.783.781.9
Point differential-2.2+3.3-7.2
Avg total163.3170.7156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%60%0%
Points / game78.679.577.6
Allowed / game82.176.188.7
Point differential-3.5+3.4-11.1
Avg total160.6155.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %16%10%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2019195%84.468.6+15.8
2 Cedevita2014670%86.681.0+5.7
3 Buducnost1913668%81.174.5+6.6
4 Partizan2013765%82.076.7+5.3
5 Mega Bemax20101050%82.885.2-2.4
6 FMP Beograd1981142%80.582.7-2.2
7 Cibona2081240%78.282.4-4.2
8 Zadar1971237%83.386.2-2.9
9 Igokea2071335%82.086.0-4.0
10 Mornar Bar2071335%81.087.2-6.2
11 Petrol Olimpija1961332%78.682.1-3.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2061430%72.780.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd179221664
Petrol Olimpija1323131463
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