Petrolul Ploiesti face Municipal Galati in Divizia A on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring Petrolul and expecting a decisive win. Both sides finish the season 1-5, Petrolul scoring 76.7 and allowing 93.2 per game, while Municipal posts 90.0 and concedes 100.8; each sits in the bottom two of the league. Petrolul's home form is 0-3, averaging 73.3 points and conceding 97.0, and the last five games show one win and four losses, including a 80-97 loss to Corona Brasov on 7 November. Municipal's road record is also 0-3, with 86.7 points and 102.0 allowed, and its recent five games mirror the season with one win and four defeats, highlighted by a 104-93 home victory over BC Steaua Bucuresti on 6 November. In head-to-head history, Petrolul leads 7-3 and last met on 2 April 2026 when Petrolul edged Municipal 90-88. The model assigns a 72% chance to Petrolul, 28% to Municipal, projects a 90-83 score and 173.5 total points, and gives a 65% probability that Petrolul will cover the -2.5 spread; the over on the 178.0 line has a 38% chance, with a 5% chance of overtime. Petrolul's recent loss to Corona Brasov suggests a defensive challenge, but their historical edge and the projected margin point to a comfortable win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.7 | 93.2 | 169.8 | -16.5 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 73.3 | 97.0 | 170.3 | -23.7 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 80.0 | 89.3 | 169.3 | -9.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.3 | 91.4 | 174.7 | -8.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 91.2 | 166.4 | -16.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 85.3 | 91.7 | 177.0 | -6.4 | 28% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 72.5 | 99.5 | 172.0 | -27.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 87.0 | 77.7 | 164.7 | +9.3 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 90.0 | 100.8 | 190.8 | -10.8 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 93.3 | 99.7 | 193.0 | -6.3 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 86.7 | 102.0 | 188.7 | -15.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.4 | 97.1 | 182.5 | -11.7 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.2 | 100.8 | 194.0 | -7.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (29) | 77.7 | 93.5 | 171.2 | -15.8 | 7% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 102.0 | 105.0 | 207.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 45.9 | 88.6 | -3.3 | 47% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.1 | 43.9 | 86.0 | -1.7 | 57% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.1 | 47.8 | 90.8 | -4.7 | 38% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.8 | 44.4 | 87.2 | -1.6 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 40.6 | 83.4 | +2.2 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 43.0 | 46.1 | 89.1 | -3.1 | 44% | 48% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 40.0 | 47.5 | 87.5 | -7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.3 | 43.3 | 84.7 | -2.0 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.2 | 47.4 | 86.6 | -8.2 | 17% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.7 | 45.7 | 86.3 | -5.0 | 20% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.7 | 49.2 | 86.9 | -11.5 | 13% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.4 | 47.4 | 87.8 | -7.0 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 46.6 | 87.8 | -5.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (29) | 39.1 | 47.4 | 86.5 | -8.4 | 17% | 41% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 43.0 | 47.0 | 90.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti +2 | 76.6% | 2.20 | 2.26 | 2.14 | - | - | - | +35.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +3 | 79.2% | 1.96 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.84 | - | - | +34.9pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +2.5 | 77.4% | 1.96 | 2.18 | 2.05 | 1.99 | 1.91 | 1.80 | +34.9pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +1.5 | 74.1% | 2.06 | 2.34 | 2.12 | 1.93 | 1.83 | - | +34.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti win | 71.8% | 2.27 | 2.50 | 2.49 | 2.39 | 2.38 | 2.32 | +34.5pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +3.5 | 79.7% | 1.89 | 2.02 | 1.91 | 1.89 | 1.84 | 1.83 | +33.4pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +4 | 81.7% | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.84 | 1.84 | - | - | +33.3pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +1 | 73.5% | 2.09 | 2.19 | 2.00 | - | - | - | +32.0pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti -1 | 71.1% | 2.31 | 2.31 | - | - | - | - | +31.9pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +4.5 | 82.1% | 1.78 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.71 | +31.7pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +5 | 84.0% | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.73 | - | - | +31.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +7.5 | 88.2% | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.51 | 1.42 | - | - | +30.3pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +8 | 89.6% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +30.2pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +6 | 86.1% | 1.64 | 1.66 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +30.2pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +5.5 | 84.4% | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.60 | +30.1pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +7 | 88.0% | 1.55 | 1.56 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +29.7pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +6.5 | 86.4% | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.59 | 1.51 | - | - | +28.9pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 92 | 80.3% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +27.7pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 91.5 | 78.2% | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +25.3pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 91 | 77.6% | 1.69 | 1.75 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 90 | 74.6% | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.72 | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 90.5 | 75.4% | 1.77 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.68 | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +8.5 | 89.8% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +24.1pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 89.5 | 72.4% | 1.86 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 1.79 | - | +23.9pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 89 | 71.4% | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 92.5 | 80.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 93.5 | 83.3% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +22.2pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti +9.5 | 91.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +22.1pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 94.5 | 85.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 95.5 | 87.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Municipal Galati under 96.5 | 89.2% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +18.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 79.5 | 84.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 83.5 | 73.8% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 84.5 | 70.5% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 82.5 | 76.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 81.5 | 79.8% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Petrolul Ploiesti over 80.5 | 82.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.1 | 25.4 | 56.7% | 50.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 18.0 | 5.5 | 32.6% | 16.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.1 | 16.6 | 75.1% | 16.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.6 | 21.4 | 56.7% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.7 | 7.9 | 32.6% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.1 | 15.5 | 75.1% | 15.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 | Municipal Galati v Petrolul Ploiesti | 88-90 |
| 14/12/25 | Petrolul Ploiesti v Municipal Galati | 105-96 |
| 15/03/25 | Municipal Galati v Petrolul Ploiesti | 79-75 |
| 08/11/24 | Petrolul Ploiesti v Municipal Galati | 99-94 |
| 29/03/24 | Municipal Galati v Petrolul Ploiesti | 89-103 |
| 04/03/24 | Petrolul Ploiesti v Municipal Galati | 96-75 |
| 11/05/23 | Municipal Galati v Petrolul Ploiesti | 86-74 |
| 08/05/23 | Petrolul Ploiesti v Municipal Galati | 71-86 |
| 06/04/23 | Petrolul Ploiesti v Municipal Galati | 87-76 |
| 11/03/23 | Municipal Galati v Petrolul Ploiesti | 77-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Corona Brasov | 80-97 |
| 31/10/26 | H | CSM Targu Mures | 81-110 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Rapid Bucuresti | 72-88 |
| 17/10/26 | A | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 76-68 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Valcea | 67-93 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Voluntari | 84-103 |
| 22/05/26 | H | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 103-71 |
| 20/05/26 | A | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 100-83 |
| 13/05/26 | H | Valcea | 95-104 |
| 10/05/26 | A | Valcea | 75-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 104-93 OT |
| 31/10/26 | A | Valcea | 67-97 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Voluntari | 94-101 |
| 17/10/26 | H | SCM Timisoara | 102-105 OT |
| 11/10/26 | A | SCM Craiova | 99-108 |
| 03/10/26 | H | CSM Oradea | 74-101 |
| 29/05/26 | H | CSM Targu Jiu | 81-88 |
| 25/05/26 | A | CSM Targu Jiu | 75-90 |
| 23/05/26 | A | CSM Targu Jiu | 70-92 |
| 17/05/26 | H | Corona Brasov | 88-96 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 17% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 76.7 | 73.3 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 93.2 | 97.0 | 89.3 |
| Point differential | -16.5 | -23.7 | -9.3 |
| Avg total | 169.8 | 170.3 | 169.3 |
| Over 176.5 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 17% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 90.0 | 93.3 | 86.7 |
| Allowed / game | 100.8 | 99.7 | 102.0 |
| Point differential | -10.8 | -6.3 | -15.3 |
| Avg total | 190.8 | 193.0 | 188.7 |
| Over 176.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 94.0 | 83.7 | +10.3 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.9 | 82.7 | +6.1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.7 | 78.2 | +9.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 87.2 | 77.6 | +9.6 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 103.0 | 99.2 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 88.0 | 82.0 | +6.0 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 94.6 | 93.6 | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 85.3 | 86.7 | -1.3 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.7 | 91.0 | -2.3 | |
| 10 | Rapid Bucuresti | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 89.5 | 94.7 | -5.2 |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 87.6 | 89.1 | -1.6 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.0 | 87.1 | -7.1 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 90.0 | 100.8 | -10.8 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 76.7 | 93.2 | -16.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 22 | 16 | 24 | 86 | |
| 13 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 81 |
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