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Philippines vs Hong Kong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 93-54
25-16 20-19 22-8 26-11
Position#11
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#26
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeAsia Cup· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Philippines v Hong Kong
24 Nov 2024
PHIL93
HONG54
24 Sep 2015
PHIL101
HONG50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hong Kong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
62-87
62
87
-25
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
80-41
80
41
+39
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
China
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
94-64
94
64
+30
101avg 90
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
106-53
106
53
+53
85avg 90
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 90
H21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
29-15
21-14
17-14
20-22
21-13
27-15
19-22
13-16
16-26
23-17
10-28
33-14
24-9
16-7
7-11
28-22
20-14
23-18
13-29
17-19
13-29
20-14
27-14
17-12
14-19
20-10
19-19
23-15
18-22
30-9
23-18
26-13
26-14
30-14
24-12
20-22
25-23
27-18
21-26
152.8Avg total
84.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.768.7166.3+29.0100%
Season at home (2)99.571.0170.5+28.5100%
Season away (1)94.064.0158.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.268.6152.8+15.690%
Last 5 (5)88.068.4156.4+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.585.6165.1-6.142%
vs Similar (7)86.977.6164.4+9.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.158.9146.0+28.291%
This opponent (Hong Kong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hong KongLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKong
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
88-101
88
101
-13
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Mongolia
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
50-95
50
95
-45
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#11
L
64-94
64
94
-30
46avg 40
H22/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
49-88
49
88
-39
29avg 40
A25/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
55-85
55
85
-30
45avg 40
A21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
18-14
18-20
18-15
22-24
25-23
18-26
23-28
22-15
24-26
13-15
12-10
10-24
17-20
18-19
17-18
17-20
20-10
17-18
15-16
10-22
2-23
21-23
17-27
17-32
11-16
15-29
29-18
15-23
22-18
9-30
18-23
7-27
19-26
12-15
11-20
12-23
10-28
12-16
21-18
149.4Avg total
64.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.878.4145.1-11.625%
Season at home (3)69.770.0139.7-0.367%
Season away (5)65.083.4148.4-18.40%
Last 10 (10)64.984.5149.4-19.620%
Last 5 (5)58.091.4149.4-33.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)65.992.6158.6-26.77%
vs Similar (1)74.050.0124.0+24.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +10.1+10.1Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +10.1+10.1Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
PhilippinesHong Kong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H26/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A30/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
57-23
57
23
+34
H02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
78.2Avg total
42.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.2+2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.582.1+5.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.878.2+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.778.2+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.743.181.8-4.417%-
vs Similar (7)40.643.984.4-3.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.330.575.7+14.891%-
This opponent (Hong Kong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hong KongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H26/09
Asian Games
Mongolia
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A28/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
12-45
12
45
-33
A30/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A02/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A25/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A21/11
Asia Cup
75.6Avg total
31.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.346.578.7-14.213%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.244.879.9-9.625%-
Last 30 away (18)30.347.677.9-17.36%-
Last 10 (10)31.544.175.6-12.620%-
Last 5 (5)25.047.672.6-22.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)31.947.479.3-15.510%-
vs Similar (1)42.019.061.0+23.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.226.1
53.0%
49.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.011.8
65.3%
70.1%11.8
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hong Kongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hong Kong: 54.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.712.0
31.0%
49.3%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.3
27.8%
32.7%22.0
🏀 Free throws12.38.7
70.3%
70.1%8.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/3 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philippines
WWWWWWWLWW
Hong Kong
LLLLLWLWLL
#11
League position
#26
+32.5
Net rating
-43.7
116.3
Offensive rating
71.0
83.8
Defensive rating
114.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
35.4%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
17.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.4%
3-point %
27.8%
63.5%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 71.0Defence83.8 · 114.7Shooting51.5% · 35.4%3-point %32.4% · 27.8%Ball care13.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds39.0% · 17.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Philippines   ■ Hong Kong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Philippines wins
0
Hong Kong wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Hong Kong v Philippines64-94
24/09/15Philippines v Hong Kong101-50
07/08/13Hong Kong v Philippines55-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HNew Zealand93-89
25/02/24HChinese Taipei106-53
22/02/24AHong Kong94-64
06/10/23AJordan70-60
04/10/23HChina77-76
03/10/23AIran84-83
02/10/23HQatar80-41
30/09/23AJordan62-87
28/09/23AThailand87-72
26/09/23HBahrain89-61
Hong Konglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AChinese Taipei55-85
25/02/24ANew Zealand49-88
22/02/24HPhilippines64-94
02/10/23ASaudi Arabia72-95
30/09/23AChina50-95
28/09/23AMongolia69-64
26/09/23HChinese Taipei62-81
26/02/23HMalaysia71-66
25/02/23AThailand88-101
24/02/23AMongolia69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.799.594.0
Allowed / game68.771.064.0
Point differential+29.0+28.5+30.0
Avg total166.3170.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hong Kong
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game66.869.765.0
Allowed / game78.470.083.4
Point differential-11.6-0.3-18.4
Avg total145.1139.7148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines330100%97.768.7+29.0
3 Lebanon330100%93.372.7+20.7
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan330100%75.058.0+17.0
6 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
7 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
8 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
9 New Zealand32167%88.770.3+18.3
10 Kazakhstan32167%45.346.0-0.7
11 Saudi Arabia32167%67.067.7-0.7
12 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
13 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
14 Iraq85362%76.073.6+2.4
15 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
16 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 Palestine83538%68.570.0-1.5
21 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
22 Syria31233%75.775.3+0.3
23 Chinese Taipei31233%69.083.3-14.3
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong82625%66.878.4-11.6
26 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
27 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
28 India3030%52.072.7-20.7
29 Indonesia4040%64.094.2-30.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines2520222693
Hong Kong161981154
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