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Phoenix Fuelmasters vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 93-83
31-19 23-28 24-19 15-17
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game99.1
vs
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game95.1
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup· Smart Araneta Coliseum
Other2023
Meetings · Phoenix Fuelmasters v Meralco Bolts
16 Oct 2026
PHOE105
MERA101
21 Mar 2026
PHOE86
MERA93
13 Apr 2025
PHOE109
MERA97
29 Nov 2024
PHOE109
MERA111
26 Apr 2024
PHOE76
MERA82
17 Jan 2024
PHOE107
MERA116
10 Jan 2024
PHOE93
MERA83
11 Mar 2022
PHOE90
MERA109
28 Jul 2021
PHOE80
MERA91
12 Oct 2020
PHOE116
MERA98
06 Oct 2019
PHOE94
MERA111
16 Jan 2019
PHOE93
MERA92
09 Nov 2018
PHOE103
MERA108
19 Sep 2018
PHOE96
MERA86
14 Feb 2018
PHOE90
MERA92
18 Aug 2017
PHOE104
MERA107
21 Dec 2016
PHOE94
MERA90
21 Feb 2016
PHOE87
MERA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Fuelmasters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Meralco Bolts winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuelmasters
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
105-132
105
132
-27
89avg 92
H22/03
Governors Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
113-101
113
101
+12
107avg 92
A10/11
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
92-107
92
107
-15
80avg 92
H12/11
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#6
W
99-98
99
98
+1
89avg 92
A18/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
100avg 92
H24/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
103-84
103
84
+19
no box
A29/11
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
88avg 92
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 92
H09/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
113avg 92
H20/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 92
A25/12
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-38
23-28
19-34
22-32
27-25
22-35
29-26
35-15
22-22
29-29
19-29
22-27
27-16
24-33
23-29
25-20
31-22
21-27
25-27
34-30
23-19
25-13
30-23
25-29
27-27
20-21
23-22
29-28
22-20
14-23
22-20
24-14
26-28
30-32
31-29
26-15
34-30
24-24
22-25
16-38
203.7Avg total
101.3Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)100.999.1200.0+1.878%
Season at home (5)99.498.4197.8+1.080%
Season away (4)102.8100.0202.8+2.875%
Last 10 (10)101.3102.4203.7-1.170%
Last 5 (5)98.696.0194.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)97.9111.7209.6-13.811%
vs Similar ◀ (11)99.598.8198.3+0.655%
vs Weaker (10)108.695.2203.8+13.490%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBolts
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#8
W
109-95
109
95
+14
100avg 88
A26/11
Commissioners Cup
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 88
A29/11
EASL
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
97-94
97
94
+3
91avg 88
H03/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
W
125-99
125
99
+26
129avg 88
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Ryukyu
#4
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
no box
H13/12
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
97avg 88
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
80avg 88
H22/12
Commissioners Cup
Seoul Knights
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
79avg 88
H27/12
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 88
H03/01
EASL
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 88
A06/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
23-21
28-28
29-25
30-25
18-20
18-20
26-32
29-17
25-17
28-28
15-32
16-25
33-23
43-16
33-35
17-21
21-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
28-19
25-24
25-38
25-24
25-29
25-31
21-26
20-20
13-25
23-19
24-17
21-21
26-21
11-24
19-23
20-16
15-21
22-21
28-22
189.5Avg total
96.3Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)99.895.1194.9+4.778%
Season at home (4)95.899.8195.5-4.050%
Season away (5)103.091.4194.4+11.6100%
Last 10 (10)96.393.2189.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)88.691.8180.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)91.498.9190.3-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (7)103.7101.0204.7+2.771%
vs Weaker (9)103.994.0197.9+9.989%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
Phoenix FuelmastersMeralco Bolts
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H22/03
Governors Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A10/11
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H12/11
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A18/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A29/11
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A25/12
Commissioners Cup
102.4Avg total
51.2Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.450.8101.2-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.350.6101.9+0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)49.650.9100.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)51.251.2102.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.496.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)47.456.7104.1-9.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.151.7101.8-1.636%-
vs Weaker (10)53.444.497.8+9.070%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/11
Commissioners Cup
New Taipei Kings
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A29/11
EASL
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H03/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Ryukyu
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H13/12
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Commissioners Cup
Seoul Knights
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/01
EASL
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/01
Commissioners Cup
88.1Avg total
46.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.947.495.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.248.696.8-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.545.993.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)46.142.088.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.148.191.2-5.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.648.399.9+3.357%-
vs Weaker (9)52.445.497.9+7.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 98.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
50.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.6
33.5%
32.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws26.116.1
61.7%
68.5%16.1
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 98.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.7
50.4%
50.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.7
34.5%
32.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.3
72.6%
68.5%18.3
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LWWWWWWLWL
Meralco Bolts
WLLLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#2
-0.7
Net rating
+2.3
107.2
Offensive rating
106.9
108.0
Defensive rating
104.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
34.5%
53.7%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 106.9Defence108.0 · 104.6Shooting52.9% · 51.0%3-point %33.5% · 34.5%Ball care17.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Phoenix Fuelmasters   ■ Meralco Bolts
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/23ASan Miguel Beermen96-117
20/12/23HNorthPort113-104
09/12/23HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel82-77
02/12/23HConverge FiberXers99-98
29/11/23ATerrafirma Dyip103-84
24/11/23HBlackwater Bossing111-106
18/11/23ARain or Shine Elasto Painters99-98
12/11/23HMagnolia Hotshots92-107
10/11/23ANLEX Road Warriors113-101
22/03/23HTNT Tropang Giga105-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AMagnolia Hotshots85-80
03/01/24HNew Taipei Kings77-89
27/12/23HSeoul Knights80-81
22/12/23HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-110
17/12/23AConverge FiberXers105-99
13/12/23HRyukyu97-88 OT
10/12/23ANorthPort125-99
03/12/23HNLEX Road Warriors97-94
29/11/23ANew Taipei Kings92-97
26/11/23ATNT Tropang Giga109-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Fuelmasters
Commissioners Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game100.999.4102.8
Allowed / game99.198.4100.0
Point differential+1.8+1.0+2.8
Avg total200.0197.8202.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Meralco Bolts
Commissioners Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%50%100%
Points / game99.895.8103.0
Allowed / game95.199.891.4
Point differential+4.7-4.0+11.6
Avg total194.9195.5194.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Magnolia Hotshots119282%100.288.5+11.6
2 Meralco Bolts97278%99.895.1+4.7
3 Phoenix Fuelmasters97278%100.999.1+1.8
4 San Miguel Beermen107370%105.999.6+6.3
5 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel107370%95.691.1+4.5
6 NorthPort116555%105.0107.2-2.2
7 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters105550%109.1107.9+1.2
8 TNT Tropang Giga104640%105.5103.4+2.1
9 NLEX Road Warriors93633%101.1106.9-5.8
10 Terrafirma Dyip102820%98.9110.8-11.9
11 Converge FiberXers91811%93.2100.7-7.4
12 Blackwater Bossing101910%94.3100.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Fuelmasters3123241593
Meralco Bolts1928191783
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